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← The market is a massively parallelized, decentralized and highly imperfect value-attribution machine.

17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 21 Jul 2016 to 9 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under investing investing Everything filed under OpenAI OpenAI Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under benchmarks benchmarks Everything filed under market efficiency market efficiency Everything filed under Silicon Valley Silicon Valley Everything filed under capitalism capitalism Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: The market is a massively parallelized, decentralized and highly imperfect value-attribution machine. The market is a massively parallelized,decentralized and highly imperfectvalue-attribution machine. Last stated 2 days ago 9 Oct 2026 PC Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-10-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI pricing is a big market delusion: each company’s implied revenues look plausible alone, but added together they exceed any market that could exist. — tap to centre the map on it AI pricing is a big market delusion:each company’s implied revenues lookplausible alone, but added togetherthey exceed any market that couldexist. Last stated 10 months ago 3 Dec 2025 AD Aswath Damodaran — holds since 2025-12-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: In a commoditizing market, the platform that aggregates volume wins over the lab with a marginal benchmark lead. — tap to centre the map on it In a commoditizing market, theplatform that aggregates volume winsover the lab with a marginalbenchmark lead. Last stated 4 days ago 7 Oct 2026 TT Tomasz Tunguz — holds since 2026-10-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Prediction markets are notoriously bad at handling very small probabilities. — tap to centre the map on it Prediction markets are notoriouslybad at handling very smallprobabilities. Last stated 4 days ago 7 Oct 2026 SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2026-10-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI models are not commodities, and people who think they are fungible have not actually used them. — tap to centre the map on it AI models are not commodities, andpeople who think they are fungiblehave not actually used them. Last stated a month ago 6 Sept 2026 AA Anish Acharya — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: Samuelson's random-walk analogy for stock prices was mathematical showing-off dressed up as a claim about the real world. — tap to centre the map on it Samuelson's random-walk analogy forstock prices was mathematicalshowing-off dressed up as a claimabout the real world. Last stated 3 years ago 30 May 2023 AG Andrew Gelman — holds since 2023-05-27 — tap for who they are AG Andrew Gelman — no longer holds since 2023-05-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: Tech marketing assumes that whatever sells to the rich today sells to everyone tomorrow, but some things stop working when everybody buys them. — tap to centre the map on it Tech marketing assumes that whateversells to the rich today sells toeveryone tomorrow, but some thingsstop working when everybody buysthem. Last stated 10 years ago 21 Jul 2016 JW Jarrett Walker — holds since 2016-07-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: Competition breaks down once someone accrues dominant market power — tap to centre the map on it Competition breaks down once someoneaccrues dominant market power Last stated 5 years ago 13 Jan 2022 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2022-01-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: The best-performing AI model in a category earns outsized pricing power over models that are merely close to it. — tap to centre the map on it The best-performing AI model in acategory earns outsized pricingpower over models that are merelyclose to it. Last stated 4 weeks ago 14 Sept 2026 BH Byrne Hobart — holds since 2026-09-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about whether one is happening now cannot be settled now. — tap to centre the map on it A bubble can only be identified inretrospect, so arguing about whetherone is happening now cannot besettled now. Last stated 10 months ago 9 Dec 2025 HM Howard Marks — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate aself-fulfilling ('sunspot') debtcrisis simply by credibly committingto buy as many bonds as needed atthe low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A founder who does not know their own goal dies by a thousand compromises and ends up running a company they do not want to work at. — tap to centre the map on it A founder who does not know theirown goal dies by a thousandcompromises and ends up running acompany they do not want to work at. Last stated 4 months ago 2 Jun 2026 MP Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as anonprofit and bolt a for-profit armon later, whatever OpenAI's ownhistory suggests. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. — tap to centre the map on it Advertising was a necessary phasefor the internet but a momentaryindustry, and an AI people pay foris better because they know theanswers are not influenced byadvertisers. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Agents are going to be incorporated into mainstream interfaces — tap to centre the map on it Agents are going to be incorporatedinto mainstream interfaces Last stated 7 months ago 25 Mar 2026 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-03-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. — tap to centre the map on it "Scaling" was powerful because itwas one word: naming a researchdirection is what tells a wholefield what to do next. Last stated 11 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should bereported under a stated budget, oras a curve against test-time compute— never as a single number. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of itscompute on research rather than onbuilding the next model, becauseresearch is where the tenfold yearlyefficiency gains come from. Last stated 7 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre The market is a massively parallelized, decentralized and highly imperfect value-attribution machine. Last stated 9 Oct 2026 · 2 days ago Holds Patrick Collison Read this korrent →