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← AI pricing is a big market delusion: each company’s implied revenues…

17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 14 Mar 2024 to 25 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under investing investing Everything filed under startups startups Everything filed under stock market stock market Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under OpenAI OpenAI Everything filed under coding agents coding agents Everything filed under venture capital venture capital Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: AI pricing is a big market delusion: each company’s implied revenues look plausible alone, but added together they exceed any market that could exist. AI pricing is a big market delusion: eachcompany’s implied revenues look plausiblealone, but added together they exceed anymarket that could exist. Last stated 11 months ago 3 Dec 2025 AD Aswath Damodaran — holds since 2025-12-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: The revenue growth and margins needed to justify Nvidia’s and OpenAI’s late-2025 pricing are improbable. — tap to centre the map on it The revenue growth and marginsneeded to justify Nvidia’s andOpenAI’s late-2025 pricing areimprobable. Last stated 11 months ago 3 Dec 2025 AD Aswath Damodaran — holds since 2025-12-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: The best-performing AI model in a category earns outsized pricing power over models that are merely close to it. — tap to centre the map on it The best-performing AI model in acategory earns outsized pricingpower over models that are merelyclose to it. Last stated 2 months ago 14 Sept 2026 BH Byrne Hobart — holds since 2026-09-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: When the subsidies behind AI pricing run out, the companies that embraced AI programming will cut back on it. — tap to centre the map on it When the subsidies behind AI pricingrun out, the companies that embracedAI programming will cut back on it. Last stated 4 months ago 24 Jun 2026 NE NeetCode — holds since 2026-06-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI will enable one-person companies to reach very high valuations. — tap to centre the map on it AI will enable one-person companiesto reach very high valuations. Last stated 3 years ago 14 Mar 2024 CH Chip Huyen — holds since 2024-03-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: Even the most advanced AI cannot be followed blindly in investing, where value added is zero-sum and what is widely known is therefore worth little. — tap to centre the map on it Even the most advanced AI cannot befollowed blindly in investing, wherevalue added is zero-sum and what iswidely known is therefore worthlittle. Last stated 5 months ago 10 Jun 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-06-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: Industry leaders' predictions about AI are not more reliable than outside observers' because they are shaped by vested commercial interests. — tap to centre the map on it Industry leaders' predictions aboutAI are not more reliable thanoutside observers' because they areshaped by vested commercialinterests. Last stated 2 years ago 18 Dec 2024 AN Arvind Narayanan — holds since 2024-12-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI models are not commodities, and people who think they are fungible have not actually used them. — tap to centre the map on it AI models are not commodities, andpeople who think they are fungiblehave not actually used them. Last stated 2 months ago 6 Sept 2026 AA Anish Acharya — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI is a bubble driven by hyper-rich corporations rather than small investors, which may make it longer lasting but no less painful when it pops. — tap to centre the map on it AI is a bubble driven by hyper-richcorporations rather than smallinvestors, which may make it longerlasting but no less painful when itpops. Last stated 3 months ago 21 Jul 2026 AL Annie Lowrey — holds since 2026-07-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A "good business" now means one that can display quarter-on-quarter stock growth, not one that makes good products at a fair price. — tap to centre the map on it A "good business" now means one thatcan display quarter-on-quarter stockgrowth, not one that makes goodproducts at a fair price. Last stated a year ago 21 May 2025 EZ Ed Zitron — holds since 2025-05-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A high, stable dividend yield gives a stock's valuation a downside floor that growth stocks without dividends lack. — tap to centre the map on it A high, stable dividend yield givesa stock's valuation a downside floorthat growth stocks without dividendslack. Last stated 8 months ago 3 Mar 2026 SB Sanjay Bakshi — holds since 2026-03-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A society's prosperity comes from its productivity, not from the financial system or stock market. — tap to centre the map on it A society's prosperity comes fromits productivity, not from thefinancial system or stock market. Last stated a month ago 25 Sept 2026 MM Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2026-09-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit. — tap to centre the map on it A first-time founder has anadvantage over a repeat winner,because past success makes it tooeasy to raise money and hire againsta big vision before there isproduct-market fit. Last stated 5 months ago 14 Jun 2026 MP Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: A founder should take half the valuation if it buys all of the control, because the right to be wrong in your own way is what founding was for. — tap to centre the map on it A founder should take half thevaluation if it buys all of thecontrol, because the right to bewrong in your own way is whatfounding was for. Last stated 5 months ago 2 Jun 2026 MP Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: A venture capital "regatta", where most of the race happens before the Series A, is replacing the VC factory model. — tap to centre the map on it A venture capital "regatta", wheremost of the race happens before theSeries A, is replacing the VCfactory model. Last stated 2 years ago 9 Dec 2024 SL Sam Lessin — holds since 2024-12-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: “Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now. — tap to centre the map on it “Why now?” is the wrong question tomake a founder answer — the honestanswer can simply be that youstarted now. Last stated 3 months ago 28 Jul 2026 BS Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero. — tap to centre the map on it A belief nobody else shares is awarning, and a belief everybodyshares is also a warning; the rightnumber of people who agree with youis small but not zero. Last stated 3 months ago 28 Jul 2026 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A billboard buys only short, shallow awareness, so it does not work for education or for a startup before product-market fit. — tap to centre the map on it A billboard buys only short, shallowawareness, so it does not work foreducation or for a startup beforeproduct-market fit. Last stated 5 months ago 9 Jun 2026 EK Emily Kramer — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are
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At the centre AI pricing is a big market delusion: each company’s implied revenues look plausible alone, but added together they exceed any market that could exist. Last stated 3 Dec 2025 · 11 months ago Holds Aswath Damodaran Read this korrent →