Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.
← Industry leaders' predictions about AI are not more reliable than…
17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 15 Jun 2012 to 17 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under humility
humility
Everything filed under AI and human skill
AI and human skill
Everything filed under coding agents
coding agents
Everything filed under AI and jobs
AI and jobs
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under politics
politics Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Industry leaders' predictions about AI are not more reliable than outside observers' because they are shaped by vested commercial interests. Industry leaders' predictions about AI are not more reliable than outside observers' because they are shaped by vested commercial interests. Last stated 2 years ago
18 Dec 2024
AN
Arvind Narayanan — holds since 2024-12-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching. — tap to centre the map on it Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching. Last stated 2 months ago
20 Aug 2026
AD
Aswath Damodaran — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
HM
Howard Marks — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI's business results are lagging because organisations have a low tolerance for non-determinism, not because the models are not good enough. — tap to centre the map on it AI's business results are lagging because organisations have a low tolerance for non-determinism, not because the models are not good enough. Last stated 7 months ago
11 Mar 2026
SY
Steve Yegge — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Individual economists' forecasts about AI and the labour market are close to worthless, and aggregated forecasts from prediction markets should replace them. — tap to centre the map on it Individual economists' forecasts about AI and the labour market are close to worthless, and aggregated forecasts from prediction markets should replace them. Last stated 5 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The technical core of the AI industry lacks a high hit rate for predicting model success in real-world usage. — tap to centre the map on it The technical core of the AI industry lacks a high hit rate for predicting model success in real-world usage. Last stated a week ago
17 Oct 2026
NL
Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-10-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most current predictions about AI's imminent impact on the job market are naive. — tap to centre the map on it Most current predictions about AI's imminent impact on the job market are naive. Last stated a year ago
25 Sept 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-09-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The AI industry's near-term trajectory is driven more by finance and politics than by the underlying technology. — tap to centre the map on it The AI industry's near-term trajectory is driven more by finance and politics than by the underlying technology. Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
RS
Robin Sloan — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is an unwarranted hype cycle regarding the capabilities of local AI models. — tap to centre the map on it There is an unwarranted hype cycle regarding the capabilities of local AI models. Last stated 8 months ago
8 Mar 2026
RC
Rui Carmo — holds since 2026-03-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is going to be a huge amount of societal pushback against AI, because technology leaders wrongly assume people adopt whatever ships. — tap to centre the map on it There is going to be a huge amount of societal pushback against AI, because technology leaders wrongly assume people adopt whatever ships. Last stated 6 months ago
26 Apr 2026
ES
Evan Spiegel — holds since 2026-04-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A CEO grading themselves a failure for their mistakes does not help; every CEO makes thousands of mistakes — tap to centre the map on it A CEO grading themselves a failure for their mistakes does not help; every CEO makes thousands of mistakes Last stated 14 years ago
15 Jun 2012
BH
Ben Horowitz — holds since 2012-06-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A designer's assumption about where a component belongs is a personal assumption and does not mean that the market or the users will react to the component that way. — tap to centre the map on it A designer's assumption about where a component belongs is a personal assumption and does not mean that the market or the users will react to the component that way. Last stated 7 months ago
2 Apr 2026
MS
Marvin Schwaibold — holds since 2026-04-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A designer's PRs should be very small and manageable if the designer is not comfortable reviewing or writing the code themselves. — tap to centre the map on it A designer's PRs should be very small and manageable if the designer is not comfortable reviewing or writing the code themselves. Last stated 5 months ago
26 May 2026
AM
Andy Madrick — holds since 2026-05-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A machine doing your work better than you is no reason to stop doing it, because the point of the work was never that only you could do it. — tap to centre the map on it A machine doing your work better than you is no reason to stop doing it, because the point of the work was never that only you could do it. Last stated 5 months ago
2 Jun 2026
LS
L. M. Sacasas — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A skill being automated is not a reason to stop learning it: practising what machines already do is often the stepping stone to what only people can do. — tap to centre the map on it A skill being automated is not a reason to stop learning it: practising what machines already do is often the stepping stone to what only people can do. Last stated 11 months ago
18 Nov 2025
SY
Scott H. Young — holds since 2025-11-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A well-written email does not need an AI summary, and an executive who delegates his reading to one has stopped doing the job. — tap to centre the map on it A well-written email does not need an AI summary, and an executive who delegates his reading to one has stopped doing the job. Last stated a year ago
21 May 2025
EZ
Ed Zitron — holds since 2025-05-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "I don't know" becomes a kind of superpower when you can work with Claude Code to figure things out. — tap to centre the map on it "I don't know" becomes a kind of superpower when you can work with Claude Code to figure things out. Last stated 7 months ago
19 Mar 2026
KP
Kris Puckett — holds since 2026-03-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A coding agent does not learn from its mistakes the way a person does -- it repeats the same error indefinitely unless a human notices and writes it down. — tap to centre the map on it A coding agent does not learn from its mistakes the way a person does -- it repeats the same error indefinitely unless a human notices and writes it down. Last stated 7 months ago
25 Mar 2026
MZ
Mario Zechner — holds since 2026-03-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A coding agent left to run over a weekend returns work that is half good, a quarter garbage and a quarter in need of repair. — tap to centre the map on it A coding agent left to run over a weekend returns work that is half good, a quarter garbage and a quarter in need of repair. Last stated a year ago
18 Aug 2025
CB
Clay Bavor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are