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← The era of singular intelligence indices should be phased out soon, but it will take a long time.

17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 28 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under AI and jobs AI and jobs Everything filed under measuring intelligence measuring intelligence Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under innovation innovation Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: The era of singular intelligence indices should be phased out soon, but it will take a long time. The era of singular intelligence indicesshould be phased out soon, but it willtake a long time. Last stated 2 days ago 28 Oct 2026 NL Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-10-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: In this era fluency with AI tools beats years of accumulated experience, so seniority is now a liability rather than an edge. — tap to centre the map on it In this era fluency with AI toolsbeats years of accumulatedexperience, so seniority is now aliability rather than an edge. Last stated 3 months ago 28 Jul 2026 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: The time it takes for mainstream adoption of new behaviors is shrinking because AI moves exponentially fast and interfaces are easy — tap to centre the map on it The time it takes for mainstreamadoption of new behaviors isshrinking because AI movesexponentially fast and interfacesare easy Last stated 3 weeks ago 11 Oct 2026 PL Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-10-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. — tap to centre the map on it We are already in an intelligenceexplosion and have been for decades,so AI will show up as more of thesame exponential rather than a breakin it. Last stated a year ago 17 Oct 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI is most likelycenturies or millennia away, sothere is no reason to reorganiseone's work around its arrival. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: At the present pace of the AI race, AIs will take over within ten years, but this is not yet inevitable — tap to centre the map on it At the present pace of the AI race,AIs will take over within ten years,but this is not yet inevitable Last stated 2 months ago 26 Aug 2026 YH Yuval Noah Harari — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: In this AI era the tools change so fast that there is a lot of value in being uncomfortably early to ideas. — tap to centre the map on it In this AI era the tools change sofast that there is a lot of value inbeing uncomfortably early to ideas. Last stated 3 months ago 4 Aug 2026 NP Nate Parrott — holds since 2026-08-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: Advanced AI is close enough that the preparations which take years have to be started now, whichever end of the expert range you believe. — tap to centre the map on it Advanced AI is close enough that thepreparations which take years haveto be started now, whichever end ofthe expert range you believe. Last stated 2 years ago 1 Apr 2025 HT Helen Toner — holds since 2025-04-01 — tap for who they are MB Miles Brundage — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Agents will take a decade rather than a year, because today's models are cognitively lacking in too many independent ways at once. — tap to centre the map on it Agents will take a decade ratherthan a year, because today's modelsare cognitively lacking in too manyindependent ways at once. Last stated a year ago 17 Oct 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company must cut half its engineers to pay for the other half's tokens, and that is what the layoffs are actually about. — tap to centre the map on it A company must cut half itsengineers to pay for the otherhalf's tokens, and that is what thelayoffs are actually about. Last stated 8 months ago 11 Mar 2026 SY Steve Yegge — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A home is an asset that is likely to perform poorly exactly when a person needs it most due to its correlation with local labor market shocks. — tap to centre the map on it A home is an asset that is likely toperform poorly exactly when a personneeds it most due to its correlationwith local labor market shocks. Last stated 3 months ago 30 Jul 2026 JD Jerusalem Demsas — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: A labor market stuck in a low-hiring equilibrium will see employment decline outright unless hiring rates recover. — tap to centre the map on it A labor market stuck in a low-hiringequilibrium will see employmentdecline outright unless hiring ratesrecover. Last stated 10 months ago 11 Jan 2026 JP Joseph Politano — holds since 2026-01-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. — tap to centre the map on it A unit of measure needs defining,perhaps via a chain of increasinglyhard problems, each pair of which asingle model can solve. Last stated a month ago 15 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them. — tap to centre the map on it Being able to statistically predictwhat someone will say does not meanyou understand them. Last stated a month ago 18 Sept 2026 CD Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. — tap to centre the map on it Both the special-purpose-programsview and the blank-slate view ofhuman intelligence are likelyincorrect. Last stated 7 years ago 5 Nov 2019 FC François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it A company that uses an algorithm tonudge customers into behavior thatisn't good for them is doingsomething bad. Last stated a year ago 7 Oct 2025 MM Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reportsunder one per cent risk should beread as several per cent, becausethe evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago 7 May 2024 BS Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces abehavior pulls it toward whateverimproves the loop's own score. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Aug 2026 HK Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
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At the centre The era of singular intelligence indices should be phased out soon, but it will take a long time. Last stated 28 Oct 2026 · 2 days ago Holds Nathan Lambert Read this korrent →