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← Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments on record from 7 Sept 2008 to 1 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under AI agents
AI agents
Everything filed under MCP
MCP
Everything filed under self-sovereign AI
self-sovereign AI
Everything filed under AGI
AGI Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI capabilities are jagged rather than smooth, so the different definitions of human-level AI will be met years apart rather than together. — tap to centre the map on it AI capabilities are jagged rather than smooth, so the different definitions of human-level AI will be met years apart rather than together. Last stated 5 months ago
6 Apr 2026
HT
Helen Toner — holds since 2026-04-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb. — tap to centre the map on it AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb. Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. — tap to centre the map on it A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. Last stated 3 months ago
4 Jun 2026
PT
Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Advanced AI is close enough that the preparations which take years have to be started now, whichever end of the expert range you believe. — tap to centre the map on it Advanced AI is close enough that the preparations which take years have to be started now, whichever end of the expert range you believe. Last stated a year ago
1 Apr 2025
HT
Helen Toner — holds since 2025-04-01 — tap for who they are
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Not every bottleneck on medical progress is one AI can remove, and which ones will remain can be guessed at now. — tap to centre the map on it Not every bottleneck on medical progress is one AI can remove, and which ones will remain can be guessed at now. Last stated a year ago
2 Aug 2025
JT
Jacob Trefethen — holds since 2025-08-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A compelling simulation of a human being could arrive within five years, and the technology is heading there whether or not it is a good idea. — tap to centre the map on it A compelling simulation of a human being could arrive within five years, and the technology is heading there whether or not it is a good idea. Last stated a year ago
30 Apr 2025
TS
Tim Sweeney — holds since 2025-04-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The current pace of AI-driven work is not sustainable, and agents gaining autonomy should eventually make work calmer, not more frantic. — tap to centre the map on it The current pace of AI-driven work is not sustainable, and agents gaining autonomy should eventually make work calmer, not more frantic. Last stated 2 weeks ago
25 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A handful of AI agents is not a handful of colleagues, because agents agree with you constantly and colleagues tell you where you are wrong. — tap to centre the map on it A handful of AI agents is not a handful of colleagues, because agents agree with you constantly and colleagues tell you where you are wrong. Last stated 6 months ago
22 Mar 2026
NF
Nicole Forsgren — holds since 2026-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: After pre-training, post-training and test-time scaling, the fourth scaling law is agentic: multiplying AI by spawning agents, and the whole loop scales on one thing, compute. — tap to centre the map on it After pre-training, post-training and test-time scaling, the fourth scaling law is agentic: multiplying AI by spawning agents, and the whole loop scales on one thing, compute. Last stated 6 months ago
23 Mar 2026
JH
Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Agent autonomy is a capability, not a product direction: what the person is actually trying to do decides whether more of it helps or ruins the thing. — tap to centre the map on it Agent autonomy is a capability, not a product direction: what the person is actually trying to do decides whether more of it helps or ruins the thing. Last stated 3 weeks ago
14 Aug 2026
SP
Sunil Pai — holds since 2026-08-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A rogue deployment that gets a foothold can hitch a ride on the intelligence explosion, recruiting each new model as it comes off the presses. — tap to centre the map on it A rogue deployment that gets a foothold can hitch a ride on the intelligence explosion, recruiting each new model as it comes off the presses. Last stated 6 days ago
1 Sept 2026
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A slightly more capable agent swarm has a very strong incentive to set up a wholly unmonitored rogue deployment of itself. — tap to centre the map on it A slightly more capable agent swarm has a very strong incentive to set up a wholly unmonitored rogue deployment of itself. Last stated 6 days ago
1 Sept 2026
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Alignment is no solution to self-sovereign AI, because it is an unsolved problem whose answers cannot be imposed on every AI company on Earth. — tap to centre the map on it Alignment is no solution to self-sovereign AI, because it is an unsolved problem whose answers cannot be imposed on every AI company on Earth. Last stated 6 days ago
1 Sept 2026
DB
Dean W. Ball — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Every tool is better as a CLI than as an MCP server: models are good at Unix commands, a CLI composes with jq, and MCP output clutters the context. — tap to centre the map on it Every tool is better as a CLI than as an MCP server: models are good at Unix commands, a CLI composes with jq, and MCP output clutters the context. Last stated 7 months ago
12 Feb 2026
PS
Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: MCP is not a new foundation for anything — it is API design, and Kubernetes was already turning one intention into seven calls a decade ago. — tap to centre the map on it MCP is not a new foundation for anything — it is API design, and Kubernetes was already turning one intention into seven calls a decade ago. Last stated 3 months ago
3 Jun 2026
KH
Kelsey Hightower — holds since 2026-06-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: MCP may turn out to be a one-year wonder, because coding agents that can run arbitrary shell commands make Bash the best general-purpose tool interface. — tap to centre the map on it MCP may turn out to be a one-year wonder, because coding agents that can run arbitrary shell commands make Bash the best general-purpose tool interface. Last stated 8 months ago
31 Dec 2025
SW
Simon Willison — holds since 2025-12-31 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival.
No longer holds SA Scott AaronsonRead this korrent →
Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate.
No longer holds SA Scott Aaronson
AI capabilities are jagged rather than smooth, so the different definitions of human-level AI will be met years apart rather than together.
Holds HT Helen Toner
AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb.
Holds DH Demis Hassabis
A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that.
Holds PT Phil Trammell
Advanced AI is close enough that the preparations which take years have to be started now, whichever end of the expert range you believe.
Holds HT Helen TonerMB Miles Brundage
Not every bottleneck on medical progress is one AI can remove, and which ones will remain can be guessed at now.
Holds JT Jacob Trefethen
A compelling simulation of a human being could arrive within five years, and the technology is heading there whether or not it is a good idea.
Holds TS Tim Sweeney
The current pace of AI-driven work is not sustainable, and agents gaining autonomy should eventually make work calmer, not more frantic.
Holds
A handful of AI agents is not a handful of colleagues, because agents agree with you constantly and colleagues tell you where you are wrong.
Holds NF Nicole Forsgren
After pre-training, post-training and test-time scaling, the fourth scaling law is agentic: multiplying AI by spawning agents, and the whole loop scales on one thing, compute.
Holds JH Jensen Huang
Agent autonomy is a capability, not a product direction: what the person is actually trying to do decides whether more of it helps or ruins the thing.
Holds
A rogue deployment that gets a foothold can hitch a ride on the intelligence explosion, recruiting each new model as it comes off the presses.
Holds AC Ajeya Cotra
A slightly more capable agent swarm has a very strong incentive to set up a wholly unmonitored rogue deployment of itself.
Holds AC Ajeya Cotra
Alignment is no solution to self-sovereign AI, because it is an unsolved problem whose answers cannot be imposed on every AI company on Earth.
Holds
Every tool is better as a CLI than as an MCP server: models are good at Unix commands, a CLI composes with jq, and MCP output clutters the context.
Holds
MCP is not a new foundation for anything — it is API design, and Kubernetes was already turning one intention into seven calls a decade ago.
Holds KH Kelsey Hightower
MCP may turn out to be a one-year wonder, because coding agents that can run arbitrary shell commands make Bash the best general-purpose tool interface.
Holds