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← Scaling up spending on expert human data has not been a major driver of progress in AI research.
17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 22 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under scaling laws
scaling laws
Everything filed under neural networks
neural networks
Everything filed under benchmarks
benchmarks
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under reinforcement learning
reinforcement learning
Everything filed under team size
team size
Everything filed under AI and science
AI and science
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: Scaling up spending on expert human data has not been a major driver of progress in AI research.
Scaling up spending on expert human data has not been a major driver of progress in AI research.
Last stated 2 months ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The AI research cycle from idea to experiment will likely soon be 10x faster, but that may not make researchers 10x more productive in the field's net understanding. — tap to centre the map on it
The AI research cycle from idea to experiment will likely soon be 10x faster, but that may not make researchers 10x more productive in the field's net understanding.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
22 Sept 2026
NL
Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An AI as good as a top researcher will not be priced like one, because it competes against the other labs rather than against humans. — tap to centre the map on it
An AI as good as a top researcher will not be priced like one, because it competes against the other labs rather than against humans.
Last stated a year ago
15 Aug 2025
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-08-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Progress in AI takes a very strong dozen or two researchers, not hundreds or thousands of them. — tap to centre the map on it
Progress in AI takes a very strong dozen or two researchers, not hundreds or thousands of them.
Last stated 4 months ago
10 Jun 2026
MZ
Mark Zuckerberg — holds since 2026-06-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Not every bottleneck on medical progress is one AI can remove, and which ones will remain can be guessed at now. — tap to centre the map on it
Not every bottleneck on medical progress is one AI can remove, and which ones will remain can be guessed at now.
Last stated a year ago
2 Aug 2025
JT
Jacob Trefethen — holds since 2025-08-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. — tap to centre the map on it
AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard.
Last stated 2 years ago
2 Feb 2025
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2022-09-12 — tap for who they are
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-02-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The least verifiable part of AI research is the judgement call about what goes into the one big training run. — tap to centre the map on it
The least verifiable part of AI research is the judgement call about what goes into the one big training run.
Last stated 2 months ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Because a few specialists already devote themselves to superintelligent AI, the rest of us have correspondingly less reason to spend our own effort on it. — tap to centre the map on it
Because a few specialists already devote themselves to superintelligent AI, the rest of us have correspondingly less reason to spend our own effort on it.
Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is essentially no cognitive task humans do where AI improvement is failing to transfer at all. — tap to centre the map on it
There is essentially no cognitive task humans do where AI improvement is failing to transfer at all.
Last stated 2 months ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it
A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score.
Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
HK
Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel. — tap to centre the map on it
A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel.
Last stated 3 months ago
3 Aug 2026
DD
Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. — tap to centre the map on it
A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well.
Last stated 11 months ago
17 Nov 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-11-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A layer should learn a residual with reference to its own input rather than an unreferenced function, which is what makes great depth trainable. — tap to centre the map on it
A layer should learn a residual with reference to its own input rather than an unreferenced function, which is what makes great depth trainable.
Last stated 11 years ago
10 Dec 2015
JS
Jian Sun — holds since 2015-12-10 — tap for who they are
KH
Kaiming He — holds since 2015-12-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A small enough winning ticket learns faster than the network it was cut out of, and ends up more accurate than it. — tap to centre the map on it
A small enough winning ticket learns faster than the network it was cut out of, and ends up more accurate than it.
Last stated 9 years ago
9 Mar 2018
MC
Michael Carbin — holds since 2018-03-09 — tap for who they are
JF
Jonathan Frankle — holds since 2018-03-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A transduction model can rely entirely on self-attention for input and output representations without sequence-aligned RNNs or convolution. — tap to centre the map on it
A transduction model can rely entirely on self-attention for input and output representations without sequence-aligned RNNs or convolution.
Last stated 9 years ago
12 Jun 2017
IP
Illia Polosukhin — holds since 2017-06-12 — tap for who they are
JU
Jakob Uszkoreit — holds since 2017-06-12 — tap for who they are
NP
Niki Parmar — holds since 2017-06-12 — tap for who they are
AV
Ashish Vaswani — holds since 2017-06-12 — tap for who they are
NS
Noam Shazeer — holds since 2017-06-12 — tap for who they are
AG
Aidan N. Gomez — holds since 2017-06-12 — tap for who they are
+2
2 more
Same subject: A benchmark that ranks Claude Code last while it stays first in use is measuring the wrong thing, and has been for a year. — tap to centre the map on it
A benchmark that ranks Claude Code last while it stays first in use is measuring the wrong thing, and has been for a year.
Last stated 2 months ago
3 Sept 2026
DR
Dax Raad — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A carmaker's claim to be the safest is mostly an artefact of comparing a new car against a fleet average twelve years old. — tap to centre the map on it
A carmaker's claim to be the safest is mostly an artefact of comparing a new car against a fleet average twelve years old.
Last stated 3 years ago
19 Dec 2023
PK
Philip Koopman — holds since 2023-12-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company should define what great looks like for its own role rather than borrow another company's definition. — tap to centre the map on it
A company should define what great looks like for its own role rather than borrow another company's definition.
Last stated 2 months ago
9 Aug 2026
AW
Adam Ward — holds since 2026-08-09 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2008 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are faded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind
At the centre
Scaling up spending on expert human data has not been a major driver of progress in AI research.
Last stated 11 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Ryan Greenblatt
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
The AI research cycle from idea to experiment will likely soon be 10x faster, but that may not make researchers 10x more productive in the field's net understanding.
Last stated 22 Sept 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Nathan Lambert
Similar wording
An AI as good as a top researcher will not be priced like one, because it competes against the other labs rather than against humans.
Last stated 15 Aug 2025 · a year ago
Holds Casey Handmer
Similar wording
Progress in AI takes a very strong dozen or two researchers, not hundreds or thousands of them.
Last stated 10 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Mark Zuckerberg
Similar wording
Not every bottleneck on medical progress is one AI can remove, and which ones will remain can be guessed at now.
Last stated 2 Aug 2025 · a year ago
Holds Jacob Trefethen
Similar wording
AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard.
Last stated 2 Feb 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Ajeya Cotra Scott Alexander Miles Brundage
Similar wording
The least verifiable part of AI research is the judgement call about what goes into the one big training run.
Last stated 11 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Ryan Greenblatt
Similar wording
Because a few specialists already devote themselves to superintelligent AI, the rest of us have correspondingly less reason to spend our own effort on it.
Last stated 13 Dec 2023 · 3 years ago
No longer holds Scott Aaronson
Similar wording
There is essentially no cognitive task humans do where AI improvement is failing to transfer at all.
Last stated 11 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Ryan Greenblatt
Same subject: reinforcement learning
A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score.
Last stated 26 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Henrik Karlsson
Same subject: reinforcement learning
A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel.
Last stated 3 Aug 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Dmitri Dolgov
Same subject: reinforcement learning
A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well.
Last stated 17 Nov 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds Andrej Karpathy
Same subject: neural networks
A layer should learn a residual with reference to its own input rather than an unreferenced function, which is what makes great depth trainable.
Last stated 10 Dec 2015 · 11 years ago
Holds Jian Sun Kaiming He
Same subject: neural networks
A small enough winning ticket learns faster than the network it was cut out of, and ends up more accurate than it.
Last stated 9 Mar 2018 · 9 years ago
Holds Michael Carbin Jonathan Frankle
Same subject: neural networks
A transduction model can rely entirely on self-attention for input and output representations without sequence-aligned RNNs or convolution.
Last stated 12 Jun 2017 · 9 years ago
Holds Illia Polosukhin Jakob Uszkoreit Niki Parmar Ashish Vaswani Noam Shazeer Aidan N. Gomez Llion Jones Łukasz Kaiser
Same subject: benchmarks
A benchmark that ranks Claude Code last while it stays first in use is measuring the wrong thing, and has been for a year.
Last stated 3 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Dax Raad
Same subject: benchmarks
A carmaker's claim to be the safest is mostly an artefact of comparing a new car against a fleet average twelve years old.
Last stated 19 Dec 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Philip Koopman
Same subject: benchmarks
A company should define what great looks like for its own role rather than borrow another company's definition.
Last stated 9 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Adam Ward