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← Postmortems rarely reveal why a launch did what it did: you find…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 19 Oct 2021 to 17 Sept 2026.
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LLMs Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Postmortems rarely reveal why a launch did what it did: you find reasons you believe, but it might have turned out differently anyway. Postmortems rarely reveal why a launch did what it did: you find reasons you believe, but it might have turned out differently anyway. Last stated 8 months ago
15 Feb 2026
JF
Jason Fried — holds since 2026-02-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A pre-mortem has to treat the failure as certain and ask why it happened; asking what could go wrong is too tentative to work. — tap to centre the map on it A pre-mortem has to treat the failure as certain and ask why it happened; asking what could go wrong is too tentative to work. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When code passed its tests only because of a bug in the platform underneath, that is the platform's fault, not the developer's. — tap to centre the map on it When code passed its tests only because of a bug in the platform underneath, that is the platform's fault, not the developer's. Last stated 5 years ago
19 Oct 2021
KV
Kenton Varda — holds since 2021-10-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Industry after industry carries embedded assumptions that made sense decades ago and no longer do. — tap to centre the map on it Industry after industry carries embedded assumptions that made sense decades ago and no longer do. Last stated 7 months ago
15 Mar 2026
MA
Marc Andreessen — holds since 2026-03-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Coming into a project with a guess about what the data will show has, again and again, turned out to be wrong. — tap to centre the map on it Coming into a project with a guess about what the data will show has, again and again, turned out to be wrong. Last stated 6 months ago
8 May 2026
DR
David Reich — holds since 2026-05-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: It is probably still too early in understanding what works for anyone to simply build the right answer; everyone is exploring together. — tap to centre the map on it It is probably still too early in understanding what works for anyone to simply build the right answer; everyone is exploring together. Last stated a month ago
10 Sept 2026
AV
Ami Vora — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Anomalies cannot be sorted in advance: the same move that found Neptune failed completely for Mercury, so a field has to pursue both answers at once. — tap to centre the map on it Anomalies cannot be sorted in advance: the same move that found Neptune failed completely for Mercury, so a field has to pursue both answers at once. Last stated 7 months ago
7 Apr 2026
MN
Michael Nielsen — holds since 2026-04-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A product can be technically impressive yet fail because it launched before a real market for it existed. — tap to centre the map on it A product can be technically impressive yet fail because it launched before a real market for it existed. Last stated a month ago
11 Sept 2026
MS
M.G. Siegler — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An agent repeats its own history: whatever it did on the last change — ran the tests or skipped them — is what it will do on the next one, because it is predicting the next message in the conversation. — tap to centre the map on it An agent repeats its own history: whatever it did on the last change — ran the tests or skipped them — is what it will do on the next one, because it is predicting the next message in the conversation. Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. — tap to centre the map on it A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
VR
Venkatesh Rao — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. — tap to centre the map on it A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. Last stated 9 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. — tap to centre the map on it A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder should take half the valuation if it buys all of the control, because the right to be wrong in your own way is what founding was for. — tap to centre the map on it A founder should take half the valuation if it buys all of the control, because the right to be wrong in your own way is what founding was for. Last stated 5 months ago
2 Jun 2026
MP
Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI factories and foundries are too capital-intensive for venture money; they need government or sovereign funds behind them. — tap to centre the map on it AI factories and foundries are too capital-intensive for venture money; they need government or sovereign funds behind them. Last stated 4 months ago
18 Jun 2026
LT
Lip-Bu Tan — holds since 2026-06-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being formidable means getting what you want in any situation, and that is exactly why investors want it: a formidable founder's interests and theirs are the same. — tap to centre the map on it Being formidable means getting what you want in any situation, and that is exactly why investors want it: a formidable founder's interests and theirs are the same. Last stated 2 months ago
3 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about whether one is happening now cannot be settled now. — tap to centre the map on it A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about whether one is happening now cannot be settled now. Last stated 11 months ago
9 Dec 2025
HM
Howard Marks — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in advance; the diagnostic is mechanical rather than a matter of judgement. — tap to centre the map on it A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in advance; the diagnostic is mechanical rather than a matter of judgement. Last stated 2 months ago
21 Aug 2026
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Postmortems rarely reveal why a launch did what it did: you find reasons you believe, but it might have turned out differently anyway.
Holds Read this korrent →
A pre-mortem has to treat the failure as certain and ask why it happened; asking what could go wrong is too tentative to work.
Holds
When code passed its tests only because of a bug in the platform underneath, that is the platform's fault, not the developer's.
Holds
Industry after industry carries embedded assumptions that made sense decades ago and no longer do.
Holds
Coming into a project with a guess about what the data will show has, again and again, turned out to be wrong.
Holds
It is probably still too early in understanding what works for anyone to simply build the right answer; everyone is exploring together.
Holds
Anomalies cannot be sorted in advance: the same move that found Neptune failed completely for Mercury, so a field has to pursue both answers at once.
Holds
A product can be technically impressive yet fail because it launched before a real market for it existed.
Holds
An agent repeats its own history: whatever it did on the last change — ran the tests or skipped them — is what it will do on the next one, because it is predicting the next message in the conversation.
Holds
A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints.
Holds
A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally.
Holds
A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck.
Holds
A founder should take half the valuation if it buys all of the control, because the right to be wrong in your own way is what founding was for.
Holds
AI factories and foundries are too capital-intensive for venture money; they need government or sovereign funds behind them.
Holds
Being formidable means getting what you want in any situation, and that is exactly why investors want it: a formidable founder's interests and theirs are the same.
Holds
A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about whether one is happening now cannot be settled now.
Holds
A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate.
Holds
A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in advance; the diagnostic is mechanical rather than a matter of judgement.
Holds