David Reich
Geneticist at Harvard Medical School whose laboratory studies human history and biological change through ancient DNA.
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Their wordsBut, what's not been successful is learning about uh biology and biological change. And one big reason for that has been that the sample sizes have been too small.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 1st of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsUh and 98% of it is other factors, especially genetic drift. So it's overwhelmingly migrations and population structure causing fluctuations in frequency.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 2nd of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd really from a statistical point of view, what happens at these times of migration is there's just huge fluctuations in frequencies, and these are extremely uninformative times for looking and detecting natural selection.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 3rd of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsIn fact, multiple analyses we do suggest that the genome is vibrating with natural selection, and uh there's all sorts of weaker effects that are there that would be picked up in larger studies even than we've done. Uh and that uh in fact, almost every position in the DNA is uh correlated to a position that in being dragged in one way or the other uh by natural selection. Instead of being quiescent, natural selection is everywhere.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 4th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsIt may still be the case, and I guess it is, that immune traits are the most selected category, but is not at all the case, and in fact, we can prove it's not the case that behavioral traits are not selected.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 5th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsour cartoon picture is that the big transition is farming, but the genetic data, the biological readout is saying our genome is reacting much more strongly to this these events that happened 5,000 years ago.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 6th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd so one possible explanation for that is just that there's only a handful of generations maybe five over which the natural selection would operate. And so maybe if the selection was 2% a generation you would still only see maybe a 10% compounded effect and there's just not enough time to detect it. But the Bronze Age is not 300 years, it's 3,000 years. It's the power of compound interest and you have enough time to begin to see a strong effect.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 7th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd what you see when you look at intelligence is you see that this maxes out in the Bronze Age between 5,000, 4,000, 3,000, 2,000 years ago. And the impact in the last 2,000 years is almost nothing. There's no evidence of natural selection at all.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 8th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsThere seems to be some kind of general trait that maybe you could think of as executive function or maybe propensity to defer gratification or something or I'm just just waving my hands that is under selection and it pushes all these traits in the same direction one way or the other
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 9th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsSo we just could not see a way this could happen by chance and once we saw that we really felt quite convinced that this was a real signal and that really somehow there has been natural selection to increase the genetic changes that today manifest themselves as more years of school at predicting more years of schooling.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 10th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsFirst of all, I think we are speaking from the point of view of a society which intensely values this particular trait, you know, ability to score well on IQ tests or things like them or to go to school for a long time or whatever it is. And I think this is unprecedented in human history that we live in a time like this.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 11th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsmy sense is that these complex traits have not pushed in one direction because there's advantage there's spectrums where there's advantages to both ends of the spectrum
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 12th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd so, maybe what you're seeing is that this group of people in Europe and the Middle East over the last 10,000 years has moved into a a period of relatively more stable food, where building up stores of fat are not as advantageous, and there's been selection against this combination of traits.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 13th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsYour fat store from, you know, the latest hunt is not going to carry you through to the famine 3 years later. And so survival of famines is a different thing than building up body fat for being able to survive 2 weeks later.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 14th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsBut I think it's highly likely that if natural selection was pushed pushed any of these traits in more in one direction than it is, the mean would move.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 15th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsSo for complex traits, ones underpinned by many mutations, all the variation already exists to move the population to a different adaptive set point that's optimal in the environment which it's in.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 16th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsSo we're talking about strong measurable selection coefficients on the order of half a percent or more in this study and all of those are going to work in small populations or large populations. It's not going to be affected by the population size.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 17th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsThis is like a crazy result because uh it looks like there's no key selective sweeps that have occurred in this period that is ancestral to everyone living today.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 18th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsSo, the cognitive resources for doing this must have all been in place, but it's a very long fuse.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 19th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsSo, there's many places in your DNA where you're more closely related to a Neanderthal on your mother's side than you are to your father.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 20th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsSo, uh I'm interested in the possibility that actually the right way to think about Neanderthals is actually as somehow culturally modern humans. Uh and uh even though that genetically they're mostly Denisovans.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 21st of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsbut it is the tracer dye, right? Like it tracks into European languages and important aspects of Indo-European culture are coming through Yamnaya.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 22nd of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsthere's as populations become more apart, there begins to be biological incompatibilities rapidly developing, probably as the square of the distance separation, because you need pairs of interacting genes, and therefore it's the square of the separation.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 23rd of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsI think that, you know, the model that we've put together collectively about the relationships between archaic and modern humans is sort of accreted over time. There was this, you know, idea that modern humans are distinct and that Neanderthals and Denisovans are like sisters of each other. And then over time we developed and detected additional mixture events like this modern human into Neanderthal and then this other ones I didn't even talk about like super divergent lineage going into Denisovans and like all this other stuff.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 24th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsThe work that I've been involved in is consistently shown that I was wrong in my biases coming into the work and I've really been almost traumatized by this. Like again and again I've come into a project with some kind of guess about what the data was showing and then the data doesn't show that.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 25th of 26 in this recording
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Their wordsOur interpretation of this result is that once you slide the statistic above five, essentially all the signals of natural selection are real.
↗David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farmingyoutube.com 26th of 26 in this recording