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← A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions…
17 connected korrents · 13 moments on record from 9 Aug 2022 to 1 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under AI agents
AI agents
Everything filed under reinforcement learning
reinforcement learning
Everything filed under self-sovereign AI
self-sovereign AI Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Copying the consensus drags you towards the average, and average is not good enough — so you have to make the decisions that make sense to you even when you are completely alone in them. — tap to centre the map on it Copying the consensus drags you towards the average, and average is not good enough — so you have to make the decisions that make sense to you even when you are completely alone in them. Last stated a month ago
7 Aug 2026
MH
Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight. — tap to centre the map on it Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: How much fault tolerance to buy is a business decision, not an engineering one; the engineer's job is to inform it and then step back. — tap to centre the map on it How much fault tolerance to buy is a business decision, not an engineering one; the engineer's job is to inform it and then step back. Last stated 5 months ago
22 Apr 2026
MK
Martin Kleppmann — holds since 2026-04-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Decision-bias research is itself biased, studying only how heuristics fail and never the strength they supply. — tap to centre the map on it Decision-bias research is itself biased, studying only how heuristics fail and never the strength they supply. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Expected value cannot decide the once-only decisions, because you know neither the probabilities nor the shape of their curves. — tap to centre the map on it Expected value cannot decide the once-only decisions, because you know neither the probabilities nor the shape of their curves. Last stated 7 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Every machine-learning deployment that has paid off so far left a person making the decision, which is the only reason imperfect models were useful. — tap to centre the map on it Every machine-learning deployment that has paid off so far left a person making the decision, which is the only reason imperfect models were useful. Last stated 4 weeks ago
12 Aug 2026
CF
Chelsea Finn — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: No person learns the way RL does: a human reviews which parts of an attempt were good instead of rewarding every step of a lucky one. — tap to centre the map on it No person learns the way RL does: a human reviews which parts of an attempt were good instead of rewarding every step of a lucky one. Last stated 11 months ago
17 Oct 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Micromanagement should be aimed at the few decisions that matter, never at how people carry the work out. — tap to centre the map on it Micromanagement should be aimed at the few decisions that matter, never at how people carry the work out. Last stated 3 months ago
7 Jun 2026
TF
Tony Fadell — holds since 2026-06-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor. — tap to centre the map on it A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor. Last stated 4 weeks ago
10 Aug 2026
PS
Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A handful of AI agents is not a handful of colleagues, because agents agree with you constantly and colleagues tell you where you are wrong. — tap to centre the map on it A handful of AI agents is not a handful of colleagues, because agents agree with you constantly and colleagues tell you where you are wrong. Last stated 6 months ago
22 Mar 2026
NF
Nicole Forsgren — holds since 2026-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A swarm of agents with the right loop and the right metric can already out-produce a team of a hundred engineers. — tap to centre the map on it A swarm of agents with the right loop and the right metric can already out-produce a team of a hundred engineers. Last stated a month ago
29 Jul 2026
AW
Alexandr Wang — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel. — tap to centre the map on it A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel. Last stated a month ago
3 Aug 2026
DD
Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. — tap to centre the map on it A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. Last stated 10 months ago
17 Nov 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-11-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Building a realistic simulator is exactly as hard as building the agent, because the simulator is itself a large AI model. — tap to centre the map on it Building a realistic simulator is exactly as hard as building the agent, because the simulator is itself a large AI model. Last stated a month ago
3 Aug 2026
DD
Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A rogue deployment that gets a foothold can hitch a ride on the intelligence explosion, recruiting each new model as it comes off the presses. — tap to centre the map on it A rogue deployment that gets a foothold can hitch a ride on the intelligence explosion, recruiting each new model as it comes off the presses. Last stated a week ago
1 Sept 2026
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A slightly more capable agent swarm has a very strong incentive to set up a wholly unmonitored rogue deployment of itself. — tap to centre the map on it A slightly more capable agent swarm has a very strong incentive to set up a wholly unmonitored rogue deployment of itself. Last stated a week ago
1 Sept 2026
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Alignment is no solution to self-sovereign AI, because it is an unsolved problem whose answers cannot be imposed on every AI company on Earth. — tap to centre the map on it Alignment is no solution to self-sovereign AI, because it is an unsolved problem whose answers cannot be imposed on every AI company on Earth. Last stated a week ago
1 Sept 2026
DB
Dean W. Ball — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
At the centre
A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck.
Holds GK Gary KleinRead this korrent →
Copying the consensus drags you towards the average, and average is not good enough — so you have to make the decisions that make sense to you even when you are completely alone in them.
Holds MH Max Hodak
Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight.
Holds GK Gary Klein
How much fault tolerance to buy is a business decision, not an engineering one; the engineer's job is to inform it and then step back.
Holds MK Martin Kleppmann
Decision-bias research is itself biased, studying only how heuristics fail and never the strength they supply.
Holds GK Gary Klein
Expected value cannot decide the once-only decisions, because you know neither the probabilities nor the shape of their curves.
Holds JC Jason Cohen
Every machine-learning deployment that has paid off so far left a person making the decision, which is the only reason imperfect models were useful.
Holds CF Chelsea Finn
No person learns the way RL does: a human reviews which parts of an attempt were good instead of rewarding every step of a lucky one.
Holds
Micromanagement should be aimed at the few decisions that matter, never at how people carry the work out.
Holds TF Tony Fadell
A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor.
Holds
A handful of AI agents is not a handful of colleagues, because agents agree with you constantly and colleagues tell you where you are wrong.
Holds NF Nicole Forsgren
A swarm of agents with the right loop and the right metric can already out-produce a team of a hundred engineers.
Holds AW Alexandr Wang
A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel.
Holds DD Dmitri Dolgov
A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well.
Holds
Building a realistic simulator is exactly as hard as building the agent, because the simulator is itself a large AI model.
Holds DD Dmitri Dolgov
A rogue deployment that gets a foothold can hitch a ride on the intelligence explosion, recruiting each new model as it comes off the presses.
Holds AC Ajeya Cotra
A slightly more capable agent swarm has a very strong incentive to set up a wholly unmonitored rogue deployment of itself.
Holds AC Ajeya Cotra
Alignment is no solution to self-sovereign AI, because it is an unsolved problem whose answers cannot be imposed on every AI company on Earth.
Holds