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← A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 6 Feb 2018 to 17 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
Everything filed under documentation
documentation
Everything filed under optimism
optimism
Everything filed under agency
agency
Everything filed under motivation
motivation
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck.
A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck.
Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Keeping track of decisions and how they turned out allows later evaluation of the procedures that produced the good and the bad ones. — tap to centre the map on it
Keeping track of decisions and how they turned out allows later evaluation of the procedures that produced the good and the bad ones.
Last stated 7 years ago
12 Oct 2019
DK
Daniel Kahneman — holds since 2019-10-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Copying the consensus drags you towards the average, and average is not good enough — so you have to make the decisions that make sense to you even when you are completely alone in them. — tap to centre the map on it
Copying the consensus drags you towards the average, and average is not good enough — so you have to make the decisions that make sense to you even when you are completely alone in them.
Last stated 3 months ago
7 Aug 2026
MH
Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Mistakes do not equal failure; they can lead to the best things in a life — tap to centre the map on it
Mistakes do not equal failure; they can lead to the best things in a life
Last stated 4 years ago
18 May 2022
TS
Taylor Swift — holds since 2022-05-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight. — tap to centre the map on it
Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight.
Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The best in the world make consistently good decisions largely because circumstances rarely force a decision on them, as they almost always operate from a position of strength. — tap to centre the map on it
The best in the world make consistently good decisions largely because circumstances rarely force a decision on them, as they almost always operate from a position of strength.
Last stated 3 years ago
3 Oct 2023
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2023-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People don't really control most outcomes, so the sensible response to events is to look for the good in them. — tap to centre the map on it
People don't really control most outcomes, so the sensible response to events is to look for the good in them.
Last stated 4 years ago
21 Sept 2022
SC
Steve Coast — holds since 2022-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Decisions often require an extra level of awareness than you expect, and taking a beat to reconsider the deeper set of options before deciding sometimes prevents you from going down a bad path. — tap to centre the map on it
Decisions often require an extra level of awareness than you expect, and taking a beat to reconsider the deeper set of options before deciding sometimes prevents you from going down a bad path.
Last stated 3 months ago
29 Jul 2026
CD
Charlie Deets — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: How much fault tolerance to buy is a business decision, not an engineering one; the engineer's job is to inform it and then step back. — tap to centre the map on it
How much fault tolerance to buy is a business decision, not an engineering one; the engineer's job is to inform it and then step back.
Last stated 6 months ago
22 Apr 2026
MK
Martin Kleppmann — holds since 2026-04-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. — tap to centre the map on it
A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints.
Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
VR
Venkatesh Rao — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. — tap to centre the map on it
A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally.
Last stated 9 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A group’s culture depends on what its members do, not on who they are — tap to centre the map on it
A group’s culture depends on what its members do, not on who they are
Last stated 9 years ago
6 Feb 2018
DC
Daniel Coyle — holds since 2018-02-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Blaming and shaming people only makes them defensive, dig in their heels, or tune out, rather than change their minds. — tap to centre the map on it
Blaming and shaming people only makes them defensive, dig in their heels, or tune out, rather than change their minds.
Last stated 5 months ago
9 Jun 2026
AG
Adam Grant — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Imaginary social trends can spuriously shape people's real beliefs and behaviors. — tap to centre the map on it
Imaginary social trends can spuriously shape people's real beliefs and behaviors.
Last stated 5 years ago
7 Mar 2022
AM
Adam Mastroianni — holds since 2022-03-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Public scrutiny of a new technology tends to jump only after a deadly incident, otherwise rising slowly over decades — tap to centre the map on it
Public scrutiny of a new technology tends to jump only after a deadly incident, otherwise rising slowly over decades
Last stated 9 months ago
15 Jan 2026
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2026-01-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A product that speeds up turning intention into reality increases appetite for continued use, then charges for that continuation. — tap to centre the map on it
A product that speeds up turning intention into reality increases appetite for continued use, then charges for that continuation.
Last stated 2 months ago
19 Aug 2026
KR
Kenneth Reitz — holds since 2026-08-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A small amount of friction is enough to reshape a behavior, because most wants are not strong enough to survive a minor inconvenience. — tap to centre the map on it
A small amount of friction is enough to reshape a behavior, because most wants are not strong enough to survive a minor inconvenience.
Last stated 10 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JC
James Clear — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A society cannot remove the desire for status, only change what earns it. — tap to centre the map on it
A society cannot remove the desire for status, only change what earns it.
Last stated 2 months ago
6 Sept 2026
RH
Rob Henderson — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck.
Last stated 9 Aug 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Gary Klein
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
Keeping track of decisions and how they turned out allows later evaluation of the procedures that produced the good and the bad ones.
Last stated 12 Oct 2019 · 7 years ago
Holds Daniel Kahneman
Similar wording
Copying the consensus drags you towards the average, and average is not good enough — so you have to make the decisions that make sense to you even when you are completely alone in them.
Last stated 7 Aug 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Max Hodak
Similar wording
Mistakes do not equal failure; they can lead to the best things in a life
Last stated 18 May 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Taylor Swift
Similar wording
Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight.
Last stated 9 Aug 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Gary Klein
Similar wording
The best in the world make consistently good decisions largely because circumstances rarely force a decision on them, as they almost always operate from a position of strength.
Last stated 3 Oct 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Shane Parrish
Similar wording
People don't really control most outcomes, so the sensible response to events is to look for the good in them.
Last stated 21 Sept 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Steve Coast
Similar wording
Decisions often require an extra level of awareness than you expect, and taking a beat to reconsider the deeper set of options before deciding sometimes prevents you from going down a bad path.
Last stated 29 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Charlie Deets
Similar wording
How much fault tolerance to buy is a business decision, not an engineering one; the engineer's job is to inform it and then step back.
Last stated 22 Apr 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds Martin Kleppmann
Same subject: behavioural science
A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints.
Last stated 17 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Venkatesh Rao
Same subject: behavioural science
A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally.
Last stated 25 Jan 2026 · 9 months ago
Holds Jason Cohen
Same subject: behavioural science
A group’s culture depends on what its members do, not on who they are
Last stated 6 Feb 2018 · 9 years ago
Holds Daniel Coyle
Same subject: attitude change
Blaming and shaming people only makes them defensive, dig in their heels, or tune out, rather than change their minds.
Last stated 9 Jun 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Adam Grant
Same subject: attitude change
Imaginary social trends can spuriously shape people's real beliefs and behaviors.
Last stated 7 Mar 2022 · 5 years ago
Holds Adam Mastroianni
Same subject: attitude change
Public scrutiny of a new technology tends to jump only after a deadly incident, otherwise rising slowly over decades
Last stated 15 Jan 2026 · 9 months ago
Holds Miles Brundage
Same subject: motivation
A product that speeds up turning intention into reality increases appetite for continued use, then charges for that continuation.
Last stated 19 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Kenneth Reitz
Same subject: motivation
A small amount of friction is enough to reshape a behavior, because most wants are not strong enough to survive a minor inconvenience.
Last stated 1 Jan 2026 · 10 months ago
Holds James Clear
Same subject: motivation
A society cannot remove the desire for status, only change what earns it.
Last stated 6 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Rob Henderson