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← The severity of an outcome is not necessarily proportional to the quality of the decisions that led to it.
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 19 Aug 2004 to 17 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under ambition
ambition
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
Everything filed under motivation
motivation
Everything filed under surgical outcomes
surgical outcomes
Everything filed under management
management Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: The severity of an outcome is not necessarily proportional to the quality of the decisions that led to it. The severity of an outcome is not necessarily proportional to the quality of the decisions that led to it. Last stated 13 years ago
29 Oct 2013
JA
John Allspaw — holds since 2013-10-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. — tap to centre the map on it A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. — tap to centre the map on it Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. Last stated 5 years ago
22 Feb 2022
NN
Neel Nanda — holds since 2022-02-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The causes of an outcome cannot be divided into slices that add up to 100 per cent, so a large effect from one cause does not leave a small remainder for the others. — tap to centre the map on it The causes of an outcome cannot be divided into slices that add up to 100 per cent, so a large effect from one cause does not leave a small remainder for the others. Last stated 2 years ago
24 Apr 2025
SD
Saloni Dattani — holds since 2025-04-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Non-risk-adjusted mortality data cannot support patient choice and only signal that a fuller review is required. — tap to centre the map on it Non-risk-adjusted mortality data cannot support patient choice and only signal that a fuller review is required. Last stated 22 years ago
19 Aug 2004
DS
David Spiegelhalter — holds since 2004-08-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Copying the consensus drags you towards the average, and average is not good enough — so you have to make the decisions that make sense to you even when you are completely alone in them. — tap to centre the map on it Copying the consensus drags you towards the average, and average is not good enough — so you have to make the decisions that make sense to you even when you are completely alone in them. Last stated 3 months ago
7 Aug 2026
MH
Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When a decision is called too complex to make, the real explanation is almost always weak leadership. — tap to centre the map on it When a decision is called too complex to make, the real explanation is almost always weak leadership. Last stated 3 months ago
2 Aug 2026
TV
Tom Verrilli — holds since 2026-08-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People don't really control most outcomes, so the sensible response to events is to look for the good in them. — tap to centre the map on it People don't really control most outcomes, so the sensible response to events is to look for the good in them. Last stated 4 years ago
21 Sept 2022
SC
Steve Coast — holds since 2022-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: It is difficult to judge or make a decision without understanding the values of the decision-maker. — tap to centre the map on it It is difficult to judge or make a decision without understanding the values of the decision-maker. Last stated 3 months ago
28 Jul 2026
JS
Jennifer Shahade — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. — tap to centre the map on it "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. Last stated 9 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress — tap to centre the map on it A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress Last stated 4 years ago
4 Nov 2022
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2022-11-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. — tap to centre the map on it A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
VR
Venkatesh Rao — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. — tap to centre the map on it A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. Last stated 9 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A group’s culture depends on what its members do, not on who they are — tap to centre the map on it A group’s culture depends on what its members do, not on who they are Last stated 9 years ago
6 Feb 2018
DC
Daniel Coyle — holds since 2018-02-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. — tap to centre the map on it A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. Last stated 3 years ago
10 Jan 2024
CH
Cate Hall — holds since 2024-01-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. — tap to centre the map on it A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jun 2024
AS
Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death — tap to centre the map on it A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death
TH
Thomas Hobbes — holds since c. 1651 — tap for who they are
At the centre
The severity of an outcome is not necessarily proportional to the quality of the decisions that led to it.
Holds Read this korrent →
A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck.
Holds
Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable.
Holds
The causes of an outcome cannot be divided into slices that add up to 100 per cent, so a large effect from one cause does not leave a small remainder for the others.
Holds
Non-risk-adjusted mortality data cannot support patient choice and only signal that a fuller review is required.
Holds
Copying the consensus drags you towards the average, and average is not good enough — so you have to make the decisions that make sense to you even when you are completely alone in them.
Holds
When a decision is called too complex to make, the real explanation is almost always weak leadership.
Holds
People don't really control most outcomes, so the sensible response to events is to look for the good in them.
Holds
It is difficult to judge or make a decision without understanding the values of the decision-maker.
Holds
"If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company.
Holds
A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us.
Holds
A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress
Holds
A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints.
Holds
A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally.
Holds
A group’s culture depends on what its members do, not on who they are
Holds
A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out.
Holds
A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them.
Holds
A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death
Last stated c. 1651
Holds