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← The causes of an outcome cannot be divided into slices that add up to…
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 19 Aug 2004 to 19 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under motivation
motivation
Everything filed under peer review
peer review
Everything filed under discipline
discipline
Everything filed under metascience
metascience
Everything filed under surgical outcomes
surgical outcomes Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: The causes of an outcome cannot be divided into slices that add up to 100 per cent, so a large effect from one cause does not leave a small remainder for the others. The causes of an outcome cannot be divided into slices that add up to 100 per cent, so a large effect from one cause does not leave a small remainder for the others. Last stated a year ago
24 Apr 2025
SD
Saloni Dattani — holds since 2025-04-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The belief that something will happen can cause its consequences to be felt even if the event itself does not occur — tap to centre the map on it The belief that something will happen can cause its consequences to be felt even if the event itself does not occur Last stated 3 days ago
19 Oct 2026
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2026-10-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People don't really control most outcomes, so the sensible response to events is to look for the good in them. — tap to centre the map on it People don't really control most outcomes, so the sensible response to events is to look for the good in them. Last stated 4 years ago
21 Sept 2022
SC
Steve Coast — holds since 2022-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Letting one calculation take over a giving decision is disturbing, and there is still a strong case for it if you want your ethics to be principled and about other people. — tap to centre the map on it Letting one calculation take over a giving decision is disturbing, and there is still a strong case for it if you want your ethics to be principled and about other people. Last stated 5 years ago
15 Feb 2022
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2022-02-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Any harm can in principle be outweighed by a small enough benefit delivered to a large enough number of people. — tap to centre the map on it Any harm can in principle be outweighed by a small enough benefit delivered to a large enough number of people. Last stated 5 years ago
2 Feb 2022
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2022-02-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Large replication projects answer the wrong question, because most individual studies do not matter either way. — tap to centre the map on it Large replication projects answer the wrong question, because most individual studies do not matter either way. Last stated 4 years ago
11 Apr 2023
AM
Adam Mastroianni — holds since 2023-04-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Having a biochemical pathway does not mean something will produce an outcome, though any real outcome has a mechanism behind it. — tap to centre the map on it Having a biochemical pathway does not mean something will produce an outcome, though any real outcome has a mechanism behind it. Last stated 2 years ago
12 Aug 2024
LN
Layne Norton — holds since 2024-08-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: What limits science is how it is funded and organised, not how much money it gets. — tap to centre the map on it What limits science is how it is funded and organised, not how much money it gets. Last stated 7 years ago
23 Jun 2019
JR
José Luis Ricón — holds since 2019-06-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Non-risk-adjusted mortality data cannot support patient choice and only signal that a fuller review is required. — tap to centre the map on it Non-risk-adjusted mortality data cannot support patient choice and only signal that a fuller review is required. Last stated 22 years ago
19 Aug 2004
DS
David Spiegelhalter — holds since 2004-08-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. — tap to centre the map on it A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. Last stated 3 years ago
10 Jan 2024
CH
Cate Hall — holds since 2024-01-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. — tap to centre the map on it A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jun 2024
AS
Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death — tap to centre the map on it A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death
TH
Thomas Hobbes — holds since c. 1651 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Automatic filters cannot replace community acceptance, and human referees cannot be removed from mathematical publication. — tap to centre the map on it Automatic filters cannot replace community acceptance, and human referees cannot be removed from mathematical publication. Last stated 2 months ago
17 Aug 2026
TT
Terence Tao — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Combining multiple AI models' outputs into one final answer tends to discard most of the good ideas that only one model produced. — tap to centre the map on it Combining multiple AI models' outputs into one final answer tends to discard most of the good ideas that only one model produced. Last stated 4 months ago
15 Jun 2026
RK
Rohit Krishnan — holds since 2026-06-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Fear of strong AI models killing everyone was not based on peer-reviewed research showing high doom odds, nor indicated by market prices. — tap to centre the map on it Fear of strong AI models killing everyone was not based on peer-reviewed research showing high doom odds, nor indicated by market prices. Last stated 4 weeks ago
26 Sept 2026
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-09-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A feeling outlasts the memory of what caused it: amnesic patients stayed sad long after they had forgotten the sad film they were shown. — tap to centre the map on it A feeling outlasts the memory of what caused it: amnesic patients stayed sad long after they had forgotten the sad film they were shown. Last stated 2 months ago
17 Aug 2026
RA
Ralph Adolphs — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A habit only survives difficulty if the person enjoys it, which makes enjoyment a better predictor of persistence than discipline. — tap to centre the map on it A habit only survives difficulty if the person enjoys it, which makes enjoyment a better predictor of persistence than discipline. Last stated 10 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JC
James Clear — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A person cannot expect to find lasting balance between conflicting parts of their psychology. — tap to centre the map on it A person cannot expect to find lasting balance between conflicting parts of their psychology. Last stated 4 months ago
11 Jun 2026
SC
Sasha Chapin — holds since 2026-06-11 — tap for who they are
At the centre
The causes of an outcome cannot be divided into slices that add up to 100 per cent, so a large effect from one cause does not leave a small remainder for the others.
Holds Read this korrent →
The belief that something will happen can cause its consequences to be felt even if the event itself does not occur
Holds
People don't really control most outcomes, so the sensible response to events is to look for the good in them.
Holds
Letting one calculation take over a giving decision is disturbing, and there is still a strong case for it if you want your ethics to be principled and about other people.
Holds
Any harm can in principle be outweighed by a small enough benefit delivered to a large enough number of people.
Holds
Large replication projects answer the wrong question, because most individual studies do not matter either way.
Holds
Having a biochemical pathway does not mean something will produce an outcome, though any real outcome has a mechanism behind it.
Holds
What limits science is how it is funded and organised, not how much money it gets.
Holds
Non-risk-adjusted mortality data cannot support patient choice and only signal that a fuller review is required.
Holds
A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out.
Holds
A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them.
Holds
A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death
Last stated c. 1651
Holds
Automatic filters cannot replace community acceptance, and human referees cannot be removed from mathematical publication.
Holds
Combining multiple AI models' outputs into one final answer tends to discard most of the good ideas that only one model produced.
Holds
Fear of strong AI models killing everyone was not based on peer-reviewed research showing high doom odds, nor indicated by market prices.
Holds
A feeling outlasts the memory of what caused it: amnesic patients stayed sad long after they had forgotten the sad film they were shown.
Holds
A habit only survives difficulty if the person enjoys it, which makes enjoyment a better predictor of persistence than discipline.
Holds
A person cannot expect to find lasting balance between conflicting parts of their psychology.
Holds