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← Maximizing the speed of AI capability advancement no longer maximizes the overall rate of technological progress.
17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 15 Jul 2021 to 27 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under innovation
innovation
Everything filed under AI and science
AI and science
Everything filed under ambition
ambition
Everything filed under startups
startups
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under recursive self-improvement
recursive self-improvement
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Maximizing the speed of AI capability advancement no longer maximizes the overall rate of technological progress. Maximizing the speed of AI capability advancement no longer maximizes the overall rate of technological progress. Last stated 3 weeks ago
13 Sept 2026
VR
Venkatesh Rao — holds since 2026-09-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. — tap to centre the map on it AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. Last stated 2 years ago
2 Feb 2025
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2022-09-12 — tap for who they are
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-02-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI capability progress in a given skill tends to arrive as a sudden phase change rather than as steady improvement. — tap to centre the map on it AI capability progress in a given skill tends to arrive as a sudden phase change rather than as steady improvement. Last stated a month ago
24 Aug 2026
JC
Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The current speed of AI progress could be sustained all the way into recursive self-improvement. — tap to centre the map on it The current speed of AI progress could be sustained all the way into recursive self-improvement. Last stated 4 weeks ago
6 Sept 2026
JP
Jakub Pachocki — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The current preference cascade on pacing the AI frontier is insufficient to ensure survival. — tap to centre the map on it The current preference cascade on pacing the AI frontier is insufficient to ensure survival. Last stated 2 weeks ago
18 Sept 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: In most technology-driven industries, capability advantages are held for longer and are harder to fast-follow than is the case with AI models. — tap to centre the map on it In most technology-driven industries, capability advantages are held for longer and are harder to fast-follow than is the case with AI models. Last stated 6 months ago
26 Mar 2026
SK
Sriram Krishnan — holds since 2026-03-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The pace of AI research progress is difficult to measure and may not directly translate to a proportional increase in overall scientific understanding or company output. — tap to centre the map on it The pace of AI research progress is difficult to measure and may not directly translate to a proportional increase in overall scientific understanding or company output. Last stated a week ago
22 Sept 2026
NL
Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There will be no sudden fast takeoff in AI, even though model progress is happening faster than ever. — tap to centre the map on it There will be no sudden fast takeoff in AI, even though model progress is happening faster than ever. Last stated 4 weeks ago
6 Sept 2026
AA
Anish Acharya — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The rapid advancement of AI models means that the best model in the world will be quickly surpassed by competitors. — tap to centre the map on it The rapid advancement of AI models means that the best model in the world will be quickly surpassed by competitors. Last stated 5 days ago
27 Sept 2026
SW
Simon Willison — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A compound's AI origin story is not by itself a reason to expect it to do better in the clinic. — tap to centre the map on it A compound's AI origin story is not by itself a reason to expect it to do better in the clinic. Last stated 2 years ago
13 May 2024
DL
Derek Lowe — holds since 2024-05-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A computational discovery platform does not make a biotech fast, because the thousand other steps of drug development are still the bottleneck. — tap to centre the map on it A computational discovery platform does not make a biotech fast, because the thousand other steps of drug development are still the bottleneck. Last stated 2 years ago
17 Sept 2024
AT
Alex Telford — holds since 2024-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A computational method can regularly predict protein structures with atomic accuracy even when no similar structure is known. — tap to centre the map on it A computational method can regularly predict protein structures with atomic accuracy even when no similar structure is known. Last stated 5 years ago
15 Jul 2021
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2021-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. — tap to centre the map on it "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. Last stated 8 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it. — tap to centre the map on it A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it. Last stated 2 years ago
23 Mar 2025
RV
Rahul Vohra — holds since 2025-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: “Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now. — tap to centre the map on it “Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now. Last stated 2 months ago
28 Jul 2026
BS
Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero. — tap to centre the map on it A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero. Last stated 2 months ago
28 Jul 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A business succeeds through a small number of highly effective distribution channels, not many mediocre ones. — tap to centre the map on it A business succeeds through a small number of highly effective distribution channels, not many mediocre ones. Last stated 3 years ago
17 Feb 2024
AW
Adam Wiggins — holds since 2024-02-17 — tap for who they are