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← History teaches complexity rather than prediction: it can explain the…

8 connected korrents · 9 moments on record from 4 Jan 2017 to 21 Jun 2026.

Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: History teaches complexity rather than prediction: it can explain the mechanisms of change without licensing any claim about what comes next. History teaches complexity ratherthan prediction: it can explain themechanisms of change withoutlicensing any claim about what comesnext. AP Ada Palmer — holds since 2017-01-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: History has no predetermined path: its course turns on unpredictable contingencies rather than on deep currents that would have produced the same outcome anyway. — tap to centre the map on it History has no predeterminedpath: its course turns onunpredictable contingenciesrather than on deep currents… BD Bret Devereaux — holds since 2022-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: Market history teaches why things behave as they do, never what happens next, because the details never repeat. — tap to centre the map on it Market history teaches whythings behave as they do,never what happens next,because the details never… MH Morgan Housel — holds since 2024-04-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: If you can predict it, it does not count as emergence. — tap to centre the map on it If you can predict it, it doesnot count as emergence. NO Neri Oxman — holds since 2023-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: That people are good at maths and coding, which evolution never selected for, shows human learning is not a complicated evolutionary prior but something more fundamental. — tap to centre the map on it That people are good at mathsand coding, which evolutionnever selected for, showshuman learning is not a… IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: Europe's crises were predictable and overdetermined, not the unforeseeable shocks that the 'return of history' story makes of them. — tap to centre the map on it Europe's crises werepredictable andoverdetermined, not theunforeseeable shocks that the… AT Adam Tooze — holds since 2026-06-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: The hypotheses AI 'co-scientist' systems are producing are ones the literature already contains, and the publicity around them does not say so. — tap to centre the map on it The hypotheses AI'co-scientist' systems areproducing are ones theliterature already contains… DL Derek Lowe — holds since 2026-05-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: History does not repeat itself, but patterns of human behaviour do, and what always follows an economic crisis is political upheaval. — tap to centre the map on it History does not repeatitself, but patterns of humanbehaviour do, and what alwaysfollows an economic crisis is… JH James Holland — holds since 2025-05-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: Pre-training is not the process by which humans learn; it sits somewhere between human learning and human evolution. — tap to centre the map on it Pre-training is not theprocess by which humans learn;it sits somewhere betweenhuman learning and human… DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are
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At the centre History teaches complexity rather than prediction: it can explain the mechanisms of change without licensing any claim about what comes next. Holds Ada Palmer Read this korrent →