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← History has no predetermined path: its course turns on unpredictable…
17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 4 Jan 2017 to 17 Sept 2026.
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energy
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war
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climate change
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Europe
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politics
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investing Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: History has no predetermined path: its course turns on unpredictable contingencies rather than on deep currents that would have produced the same outcome anyway. History has no predetermined path: its course turns on unpredictable contingencies rather than on deep currents that would have produced the same outcome anyway. Last stated 4 years ago
26 Aug 2022
BD
Bret Devereaux — holds since 2022-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: History teaches complexity rather than prediction: it can explain the mechanisms of change without licensing any claim about what comes next. — tap to centre the map on it History teaches complexity rather than prediction: it can explain the mechanisms of change without licensing any claim about what comes next. Last stated 10 years ago
4 Jan 2017
AP
Ada Palmer — holds since 2017-01-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Major historical events do not necessarily have deep intellectual or ideological causes; assuming so is a common fallacy. — tap to centre the map on it Major historical events do not necessarily have deep intellectual or ideological causes; assuming so is a common fallacy. Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
MY
Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The historical occurrence of extreme natural events does not by itself show whether their odds have changed over time. — tap to centre the map on it The historical occurrence of extreme natural events does not by itself show whether their odds have changed over time. Last stated 2 months ago
28 Aug 2026
ZH
Zeke Hausfather — holds since 2026-08-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The hardest thing for a future historian to recover will be how little the world outside understood, because whatever happened looks inevitable in retrospect. — tap to centre the map on it The hardest thing for a future historian to recover will be how little the world outside understood, because whatever happened looks inevitable in retrospect. Last stated 8 months ago
13 Feb 2026
DA
Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: History does not repeat itself, but patterns of human behaviour do, and what always follows an economic crisis is political upheaval. — tap to centre the map on it History does not repeat itself, but patterns of human behaviour do, and what always follows an economic crisis is political upheaval. Last stated a year ago
24 May 2025
JH
James Holland — holds since 2025-05-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Mapping out exactly what will happen in uncertain times probably locks you out of trying new things; leaders should frame the chaos so it feels safe to engage with. — tap to centre the map on it Mapping out exactly what will happen in uncertain times probably locks you out of trying new things; leaders should frame the chaos so it feels safe to engage with. Last stated a month ago
10 Sept 2026
AV
Ami Vora — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Europe's crises were predictable and overdetermined, not the unforeseeable shocks that the 'return of history' story makes of them. — tap to centre the map on it Europe's crises were predictable and overdetermined, not the unforeseeable shocks that the 'return of history' story makes of them. Last stated 4 months ago
21 Jun 2026
AT
Adam Tooze — holds since 2026-06-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Market history teaches why things behave as they do, never what happens next, because the details never repeat. — tap to centre the map on it Market history teaches why things behave as they do, never what happens next, because the details never repeat. Last stated 3 years ago
7 Apr 2024
MH
Morgan Housel — holds since 2024-04-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Carbon intensity" metrics let oil companies claim climate progress even as their total emissions rise from increased production. — tap to centre the map on it "Carbon intensity" metrics let oil companies claim climate progress even as their total emissions rise from increased production. Last stated a month ago
9 Sept 2026
EA
Emily Atkin — holds since 2026-09-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A hybrid-electric airliner ends up heavier and more complex than the aircraft it replaces and delivers no fuel saving at all. — tap to centre the map on it A hybrid-electric airliner ends up heavier and more complex than the aircraft it replaces and delivers no fuel saving at all. Last stated 6 years ago
2 Apr 2021
BF
Bjorn Fehrm — holds since 2021-04-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Mars base is not a backup plan for climate change or nuclear war, because self-sufficiency there is centuries away. — tap to centre the map on it A Mars base is not a backup plan for climate change or nuclear war, because self-sufficiency there is centuries away. Last stated 2 years ago
22 Dec 2024
AF
Adam Frank — holds since 2024-12-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: 'As long as it takes' lacks urgency, and it is a formula available to Ukraine's allies precisely because they are not the ones doing the fighting. — tap to centre the map on it 'As long as it takes' lacks urgency, and it is a formula available to Ukraine's allies precisely because they are not the ones doing the fighting. Last stated a year ago
10 Oct 2025
LF
Lawrence Freedman — holds since 2025-10-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: 9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actions fundamentally shaped the world we live in today. — tap to centre the map on it 9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actions fundamentally shaped the world we live in today. Last stated a month ago
11 Sept 2026
MY
Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible. — tap to centre the map on it A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible. Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
BM
Branko Milanovic — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Food from thin air" is not from thin air: it runs on water, minerals, ammonia and industrial plant. — tap to centre the map on it "Food from thin air" is not from thin air: it runs on water, minerals, ammonia and industrial plant. Last stated 4 months ago
30 Jun 2026
CS
Chris Smaje — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. Last stated 5 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A data centre should be split into independent power blocks fed directly at 1500 volts DC, rather than run through one central distribution system. — tap to centre the map on it A data centre should be split into independent power blocks fed directly at 1500 volts DC, rather than run through one central distribution system. Last stated 3 years ago
18 Apr 2024
AV
Austin Vernon — holds since 2024-04-18 — tap for who they are
At the centre
History has no predetermined path: its course turns on unpredictable contingencies rather than on deep currents that would have produced the same outcome anyway.
Holds Read this korrent →
History teaches complexity rather than prediction: it can explain the mechanisms of change without licensing any claim about what comes next.
Holds
Major historical events do not necessarily have deep intellectual or ideological causes; assuming so is a common fallacy.
Holds
The historical occurrence of extreme natural events does not by itself show whether their odds have changed over time.
Holds
The hardest thing for a future historian to recover will be how little the world outside understood, because whatever happened looks inevitable in retrospect.
Holds
History does not repeat itself, but patterns of human behaviour do, and what always follows an economic crisis is political upheaval.
Holds
Mapping out exactly what will happen in uncertain times probably locks you out of trying new things; leaders should frame the chaos so it feels safe to engage with.
Holds
Europe's crises were predictable and overdetermined, not the unforeseeable shocks that the 'return of history' story makes of them.
Holds
Market history teaches why things behave as they do, never what happens next, because the details never repeat.
Holds
"Carbon intensity" metrics let oil companies claim climate progress even as their total emissions rise from increased production.
Holds
A hybrid-electric airliner ends up heavier and more complex than the aircraft it replaces and delivers no fuel saving at all.
Holds
A Mars base is not a backup plan for climate change or nuclear war, because self-sufficiency there is centuries away.
Holds
'As long as it takes' lacks urgency, and it is a formula available to Ukraine's allies precisely because they are not the ones doing the fighting.
Holds
9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actions fundamentally shaped the world we live in today.
Holds
A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible.
Holds
"Food from thin air" is not from thin air: it runs on water, minerals, ammonia and industrial plant.
Holds
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Holds
A data centre should be split into independent power blocks fed directly at 1500 volts DC, rather than run through one central distribution system.
Holds