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← Major historical events do not necessarily have deep intellectual or…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 6 Dec 2012 to 11 Oct 2026.
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Read this korrent: Major historical events do not necessarily have deep intellectual or ideological causes; assuming so is a common fallacy.
Major historical events do not necessarily have deep intellectual or ideological causes; assuming so is a common fallacy.
Last stated 2 months ago
17 Sept 2026
MY
Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: History has no predetermined path: its course turns on unpredictable contingencies rather than on deep currents that would have produced the same outcome anyway. — tap to centre the map on it
History has no predetermined path: its course turns on unpredictable contingencies rather than on deep currents that would have produced the same outcome anyway.
Last stated 4 years ago
26 Aug 2022
BD
Bret Devereaux — holds since 2022-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The historical occurrence of extreme natural events does not by itself show whether their odds have changed over time. — tap to centre the map on it
The historical occurrence of extreme natural events does not by itself show whether their odds have changed over time.
Last stated 2 months ago
28 Aug 2026
ZH
Zeke Hausfather — holds since 2026-08-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Hitler's rise to power was mainly the product of contingent political and economic mistakes rather than deep ideological inevitability. — tap to centre the map on it
Hitler's rise to power was mainly the product of contingent political and economic mistakes rather than deep ideological inevitability.
Last stated 2 months ago
17 Sept 2026
MY
Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Knowing both the deep history of a field and its bleeding edge is what makes someone genuinely differentiated in it. — tap to centre the map on it
Knowing both the deep history of a field and its bleeding edge is what makes someone genuinely differentiated in it.
Last stated 5 months ago
9 Jun 2026
BG
Bill Gurley — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The hardest thing for a future historian to recover will be how little the world outside understood, because whatever happened looks inevitable in retrospect. — tap to centre the map on it
The hardest thing for a future historian to recover will be how little the world outside understood, because whatever happened looks inevitable in retrospect.
Last stated 9 months ago
13 Feb 2026
DA
Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Hitler did not mind that his early audiences were drunk, because drunk people are more susceptible to right-wing populism. — tap to centre the map on it
Hitler did not mind that his early audiences were drunk, because drunk people are more susceptible to right-wing populism.
Last stated a year ago
19 Sept 2025
NO
Norman Ohler — holds since 2025-09-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. — tap to centre the map on it
A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments.
Last stated 14 years ago
6 Dec 2012
PT
Philip Tetlock — holds since 2012-12-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There was no "Dark Ages": the term described gaps in the surviving sources, and its popular use is not a live scholarly position but a settled error. — tap to centre the map on it
There was no "Dark Ages": the term described gaps in the surviving sources, and its popular use is not a live scholarly position but a settled error.
Last stated 11 months ago
25 Nov 2025
EJ
Eleanor Janega — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: 'As long as it takes' lacks urgency, and it is a formula available to Ukraine's allies precisely because they are not the ones doing the fighting. — tap to centre the map on it
'As long as it takes' lacks urgency, and it is a formula available to Ukraine's allies precisely because they are not the ones doing the fighting.
Last stated a year ago
10 Oct 2025
LF
Lawrence Freedman — holds since 2025-10-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: 9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actions fundamentally shaped the world we live in today. — tap to centre the map on it
9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actions fundamentally shaped the world we live in today.
Last stated 2 months ago
11 Sept 2026
MY
Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible. — tap to centre the map on it
A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible.
Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
BM
Branko Milanovic — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A nation of a million people cannot rule hundreds of millions by warfare; the Mongol Empire lasted because it offered its subjects things they actually wanted. — tap to centre the map on it
A nation of a million people cannot rule hundreds of millions by warfare; the Mongol Empire lasted because it offered its subjects things they actually wanted.
Last stated a year ago
31 Jul 2025
JW
Jack Weatherford — holds since 2025-07-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A nuclear war between the United States and Russia would kill five billion people. — tap to centre the map on it
A nuclear war between the United States and Russia would kill five billion people.
Last stated 3 years ago
22 Mar 2024
AJ
Annie Jacobsen — holds since 2024-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A price cap on Russian oil can reduce Russian oil revenue even with limited compliance, by strengthening buyers' bargaining position. — tap to centre the map on it
A price cap on Russian oil can reduce Russian oil revenue even with limited compliance, by strengthening buyers' bargaining position.
Last stated 4 years ago
11 Oct 2022
SJ
Simon Johnson — holds since 2022-10-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: “Happy Juneteenth” is an oxymoron, since the promise it marks has been perpetually broken. — tap to centre the map on it
“Happy Juneteenth” is an oxymoron, since the promise it marks has been perpetually broken.
Last stated 5 months ago
19 Jun 2026
RJ
Robert Jones, Jr. — holds since 2026-06-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Super Intelligence" is being used as a signal of fealty to President Trump. — tap to centre the map on it
"Super Intelligence" is being used as a signal of fealty to President Trump.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
11 Oct 2026
MS
M.G. Siegler — holds since 2026-10-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A ban on diesel exports would raise overall fuel prices and damage America's energy superpower status. — tap to centre the map on it
A ban on diesel exports would raise overall fuel prices and damage America's energy superpower status.
Last stated a month ago
1 Oct 2026
AE
Alex Epstein — holds since 2026-10-01 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2012 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are