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← Major historical events do not necessarily have deep intellectual or…

17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 6 Dec 2012 to 11 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under Europe Europe Everything filed under America America Everything filed under Russia Russia Everything filed under war war Everything filed under climate change climate change Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Major historical events do not necessarily have deep intellectual or ideological causes; assuming so is a common fallacy. Major historical events do not necessarilyhave deep intellectual or ideologicalcauses; assuming so is a common fallacy. Last stated 2 months ago 17 Sept 2026 MY Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: History has no predetermined path: its course turns on unpredictable contingencies rather than on deep currents that would have produced the same outcome anyway. — tap to centre the map on it History has no predetermined path:its course turns on unpredictablecontingencies rather than on deepcurrents that would have producedthe same outcome anyway. Last stated 4 years ago 26 Aug 2022 BD Bret Devereaux — holds since 2022-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: The historical occurrence of extreme natural events does not by itself show whether their odds have changed over time. — tap to centre the map on it The historical occurrence of extremenatural events does not by itselfshow whether their odds have changedover time. Last stated 2 months ago 28 Aug 2026 ZH Zeke Hausfather — holds since 2026-08-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: Hitler's rise to power was mainly the product of contingent political and economic mistakes rather than deep ideological inevitability. — tap to centre the map on it Hitler's rise to power was mainlythe product of contingent politicaland economic mistakes rather thandeep ideological inevitability. Last stated 2 months ago 17 Sept 2026 MY Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: Knowing both the deep history of a field and its bleeding edge is what makes someone genuinely differentiated in it. — tap to centre the map on it Knowing both the deep history of afield and its bleeding edge is whatmakes someone genuinelydifferentiated in it. Last stated 5 months ago 9 Jun 2026 BG Bill Gurley — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: The hardest thing for a future historian to recover will be how little the world outside understood, because whatever happened looks inevitable in retrospect. — tap to centre the map on it The hardest thing for a futurehistorian to recover will be howlittle the world outside understood,because whatever happened looksinevitable in retrospect. Last stated 9 months ago 13 Feb 2026 DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Hitler did not mind that his early audiences were drunk, because drunk people are more susceptible to right-wing populism. — tap to centre the map on it Hitler did not mind that his earlyaudiences were drunk, because drunkpeople are more susceptible toright-wing populism. Last stated a year ago 19 Sept 2025 NO Norman Ohler — holds since 2025-09-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. — tap to centre the map on it A fox who sees many factors in playcannot judge in a blink; they reason'on the one hand, and on the other'and must reconcile the conflictingarguments. Last stated 14 years ago 6 Dec 2012 PT Philip Tetlock — holds since 2012-12-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: There was no "Dark Ages": the term described gaps in the surviving sources, and its popular use is not a live scholarly position but a settled error. — tap to centre the map on it There was no "Dark Ages": the termdescribed gaps in the survivingsources, and its popular use is nota live scholarly position but asettled error. Last stated 11 months ago 25 Nov 2025 EJ Eleanor Janega — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: 'As long as it takes' lacks urgency, and it is a formula available to Ukraine's allies precisely because they are not the ones doing the fighting. — tap to centre the map on it 'As long as it takes' lacks urgency,and it is a formula available toUkraine's allies precisely becausethey are not the ones doing thefighting. Last stated a year ago 10 Oct 2025 LF Lawrence Freedman — holds since 2025-10-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: 9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actions fundamentally shaped the world we live in today. — tap to centre the map on it 9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actionsfundamentally shaped the world welive in today. Last stated 2 months ago 11 Sept 2026 MY Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible. — tap to centre the map on it A ceasefire along the current lineswould end the killing and stillleave a long-term settlement betweenRussia and Ukraine possible. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Aug 2026 BM Branko Milanovic — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A nation of a million people cannot rule hundreds of millions by warfare; the Mongol Empire lasted because it offered its subjects things they actually wanted. — tap to centre the map on it A nation of a million people cannotrule hundreds of millions bywarfare; the Mongol Empire lastedbecause it offered its subjectsthings they actually wanted. Last stated a year ago 31 Jul 2025 JW Jack Weatherford — holds since 2025-07-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: A nuclear war between the United States and Russia would kill five billion people. — tap to centre the map on it A nuclear war between the UnitedStates and Russia would kill fivebillion people. Last stated 3 years ago 22 Mar 2024 AJ Annie Jacobsen — holds since 2024-03-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: A price cap on Russian oil can reduce Russian oil revenue even with limited compliance, by strengthening buyers' bargaining position. — tap to centre the map on it A price cap on Russian oil canreduce Russian oil revenue even withlimited compliance, by strengtheningbuyers' bargaining position. Last stated 4 years ago 11 Oct 2022 SJ Simon Johnson — holds since 2022-10-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: “Happy Juneteenth” is an oxymoron, since the promise it marks has been perpetually broken. — tap to centre the map on it “Happy Juneteenth” is an oxymoron,since the promise it marks has beenperpetually broken. Last stated 5 months ago 19 Jun 2026 RJ Robert Jones, Jr. — holds since 2026-06-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Super Intelligence" is being used as a signal of fealty to President Trump. — tap to centre the map on it "Super Intelligence" is being usedas a signal of fealty to PresidentTrump. Last stated 4 weeks ago 11 Oct 2026 MS M.G. Siegler — holds since 2026-10-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A ban on diesel exports would raise overall fuel prices and damage America's energy superpower status. — tap to centre the map on it A ban on diesel exports would raiseoverall fuel prices and damageAmerica's energy superpower status. Last stated a month ago 1 Oct 2026 AE Alex Epstein — holds since 2026-10-01 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Major historical events do not necessarily have deep intellectual or ideological causes; assuming so is a common fallacy. Last stated 17 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago Holds Matthew Yglesias Read this korrent →