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← A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they…
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 6 Dec 2012 to 24 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about America .
Everything filed under China
China
Everything filed under Europe
Europe
Everything filed under tariffs
tariffs
Everything filed under government
government
Everything filed under politics
politics Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. Last stated 14 years ago
6 Dec 2012
PT
Philip Tetlock — holds since 2012-12-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. Last stated 2 months ago
18 Aug 2026
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy. — tap to centre the map on it A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy. Last stated 2 weeks ago
24 Sept 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return. — tap to centre the map on it A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return. Last stated a month ago
2 Sept 2026
DD
Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Almost nobody in America is paying attention to the space race with China, and a Chinese landing at the lunar south pole will change that. — tap to centre the map on it Almost nobody in America is paying attention to the space race with China, and a Chinese landing at the lunar south pole will change that. Last stated 2 months ago
18 Aug 2026
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America cannot simply copy China's manufacturing methods, because which technology is correct depends on the local price of labour. — tap to centre the map on it America cannot simply copy China's manufacturing methods, because which technology is correct depends on the local price of labour. Last stated 8 months ago
12 Feb 2026
AV
Austin Vernon — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America cannot win manufacturing back by repatriating what left; it wins only by inventing the next wave of manufacturing and building that here. — tap to centre the map on it America cannot win manufacturing back by repatriating what left; it wins only by inventing the next wave of manufacturing and building that here. Last stated 2 months ago
28 Jul 2026
BS
Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America will keep leading on zero-to-one breakthroughs, but it is diffusion that decides how much productivity a technology actually releases, and China is better at that. — tap to centre the map on it America will keep leading on zero-to-one breakthroughs, but it is diffusion that decides how much productivity a technology actually releases, and China is better at that. Last stated a year ago
13 Aug 2025
KJ
Keyu Jin — holds since 2025-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: American Democrats and Republicans are converging toward a one-party political system, in the same form as China's, where elections occur but one party always wins. — tap to centre the map on it American Democrats and Republicans are converging toward a one-party political system, in the same form as China's, where elections occur but one party always wins. Last stated 2 months ago
28 Jul 2026
BS
Balaji Srinivasan — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens. — tap to centre the map on it A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens. Last stated 2 years ago
20 Jan 2025
DT
Donald Trump — holds since 2025-01-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off. — tap to centre the map on it A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off. Last stated a year ago
30 May 2025
GS
Guy Spier — holds since 2025-05-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home. — tap to centre the map on it Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home. Last stated a year ago
14 Apr 2025
JC
John H. Cochrane — holds since 2025-04-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work. — tap to centre the map on it A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work. Last stated 2 months ago
7 Aug 2026
MH
Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done. — tap to centre the map on it A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done. Last stated 5 years ago
28 Jan 2022
BD
Bret Devereaux — holds since 2022-01-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A new world order based on raw power is being drawn right now, and Europe has to fight for its place in it. — tap to centre the map on it A new world order based on raw power is being drawn right now, and Europe has to fight for its place in it. Last stated a year ago
10 Sept 2025
UL
Ursula von der Leyen — holds since 2025-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A backlash against women's economic rise is not automatic; it happens only where politicians choose to mobilise it. — tap to centre the map on it A backlash against women's economic rise is not automatic; it happens only where politicians choose to mobilise it. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Dec 2024
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2024-12-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A candidate's political success is increasingly disconnected from their actual record of accomplishment. — tap to centre the map on it A candidate's political success is increasingly disconnected from their actual record of accomplishment. Last stated a month ago
31 Aug 2026
DD
Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A citizen deciding politically should ask what is good for the community, not what is good for themselves — tap to centre the map on it A citizen deciding politically should ask what is good for the community, not what is good for themselves
JT
Joseph Tussman — holds since c. 2000 — tap for who they are
At the centre
A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments.
Holds Read this korrent →
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Holds
A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy.
Holds
A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return.
Holds
Almost nobody in America is paying attention to the space race with China, and a Chinese landing at the lunar south pole will change that.
Holds
America cannot simply copy China's manufacturing methods, because which technology is correct depends on the local price of labour.
Holds
America cannot win manufacturing back by repatriating what left; it wins only by inventing the next wave of manufacturing and building that here.
Holds
America will keep leading on zero-to-one breakthroughs, but it is diffusion that decides how much productivity a technology actually releases, and China is better at that.
Holds
American Democrats and Republicans are converging toward a one-party political system, in the same form as China's, where elections occur but one party always wins.
Holds
A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens.
Holds
A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off.
Holds
Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home.
Holds
A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work.
Holds
A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done.
Holds
A new world order based on raw power is being drawn right now, and Europe has to fight for its place in it.
Holds
A backlash against women's economic rise is not automatic; it happens only where politicians choose to mobilise it.
Holds
A candidate's political success is increasingly disconnected from their actual record of accomplishment.
Holds
A citizen deciding politically should ask what is good for the community, not what is good for themselves
Last stated c. 2000
Holds