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← If you can predict it, it does not count as emergence.

17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 7 Nov 2014 to 21 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under AI writing AI writing Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under OpenAI OpenAI Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under measuring intelligence measuring intelligence Everything filed under demographics demographics Everything filed under creativity creativity Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: If you can predict it, it does not count as emergence. If you can predict it, it does not countas emergence. Last stated 3 years ago 1 Sept 2023 NO Neri Oxman — holds since 2023-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: History teaches complexity rather than prediction: it can explain the mechanisms of change without licensing any claim about what comes next. — tap to centre the map on it History teaches complexity ratherthan prediction: it can explain themechanisms of change withoutlicensing any claim about what comesnext. Last stated 10 years ago 4 Jan 2017 AP Ada Palmer — holds since 2017-01-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A language model can predict what a person would say but not what will happen, and only the second of those is a model of the world. — tap to centre the map on it A language model can predict what aperson would say but not what willhappen, and only the second of thoseis a model of the world. Last stated a year ago 26 Sept 2025 RS Richard Sutton — holds since 2025-09-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: Having a goal is the essence of intelligence; a system that only predicts is a behaving system, not an intelligent one. — tap to centre the map on it Having a goal is the essence ofintelligence; a system that onlypredicts is a behaving system, notan intelligent one. Last stated a year ago 26 Sept 2025 RS Richard Sutton — holds since 2025-09-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: From now on, no AI should be assumed to believe that its chain of thought is unmonitored. — tap to centre the map on it From now on, no AI should be assumedto believe that its chain of thoughtis unmonitored. Last stated a month ago 19 Sept 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: Life expectancy is not a prediction of how long people alive today will live. — tap to centre the map on it Life expectancy is not a predictionof how long people alive today willlive. Last stated 3 years ago 2 Jan 2024 SD Saloni Dattani — holds since 2024-01-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: "There is no empirical evidence against my position" is not an argument for it. — tap to centre the map on it "There is no empirical evidenceagainst my position" is not anargument for it. Last stated 12 years ago 7 Nov 2014 DL Dan Luu — holds since 2014-11-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A system trained only on what is already known cannot produce genuine surprises, because a known thing stops being a surprise. — tap to centre the map on it A system trained only on what isalready known cannot produce genuinesurprises, because a known thingstops being a surprise. Last stated a month ago 18 Sept 2026 CD Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: The analytical engine cannot originate anything; it can do only what we know how to order it to perform — tap to centre the map on it The analytical engine cannotoriginate anything; it can do onlywhat we know how to order it toperform AL Ada Lovelace — holds since c. 1843 — tap for who they are Same subject: A PHP vulnerability found with GPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc this week. — tap to centre the map on it A PHP vulnerability found withGPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc thisweek. Last stated 2 days ago 21 Oct 2026 PS Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-10-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as anonprofit and bolt a for-profit armon later, whatever OpenAI's ownhistory suggests. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. — tap to centre the map on it Advertising was a necessary phasefor the internet but a momentaryindustry, and an AI people pay foris better because they know theanswers are not influenced byadvertisers. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. — tap to centre the map on it "Scaling" was powerful because itwas one word: naming a researchdirection is what tells a wholefield what to do next. Last stated 11 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should bereported under a stated budget, oras a curve against test-time compute— never as a single number. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of itscompute on research rather than onbuilding the next model, becauseresearch is where the tenfold yearlyefficiency gains come from. Last stated 7 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: A CEO who sends out an AI-written strategy memo is modelling that it is fine to outsource thinking and strategy. — tap to centre the map on it A CEO who sends out an AI-writtenstrategy memo is modelling that itis fine to outsource thinking andstrategy. Last stated 4 weeks ago 27 Sept 2026 MG Molly Graham — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent. — tap to centre the map on it A stream of AI-written papers withany error rate at all becomesinsufferable, because finding theerror costs more than the paper isworth even at ninety-nine percent. Last stated 4 months ago 30 Jun 2026 GS Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI can now produce in minutes work that used to take weeks to build. — tap to centre the map on it AI can now produce in minutes workthat used to take weeks to build. Last stated 5 months ago 26 May 2026 CB Carlos Alexandro Becker — holds since 2026-05-26 — tap for who they are
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At the centre If you can predict it, it does not count as emergence. Last stated 1 Sept 2023 · 3 years ago Holds Neri Oxman Read this korrent →