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← Change from already-capable AI is inevitable no matter how the…
17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 29 Oct 2026.
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Everything filed under AGI
AGI Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Change from already-capable AI is inevitable no matter how the frontier is paced, though it will be uneven and not all at once. Change from already-capable AI is inevitable no matter how the frontier is paced, though it will be uneven and not all at once. Last stated 2 months ago
18 Sept 2026
EM
Ethan Mollick — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: At the present pace of the AI race, AIs will take over within ten years, but this is not yet inevitable — tap to centre the map on it At the present pace of the AI race, AIs will take over within ten years, but this is not yet inevitable Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
YH
Yuval Noah Harari — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Economic growth from AI waits on change management, not on model capability: the work artifact and the workflow have to change first. — tap to centre the map on it Economic growth from AI waits on change management, not on model capability: the work artifact and the workflow have to change first. Last stated 12 months ago
12 Nov 2025
SN
Satya Nadella — holds since 2025-11-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Futures in which AI replaces human judgment should not be accepted as inevitable. — tap to centre the map on it Futures in which AI replaces human judgment should not be accepted as inevitable. Last stated 5 days ago
29 Oct 2026
PW
Petra Wille — holds since 2026-10-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The current preference cascade on pacing the AI frontier is insufficient to ensure survival. — tap to centre the map on it The current preference cascade on pacing the AI frontier is insufficient to ensure survival. Last stated 2 months ago
18 Sept 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff. — tap to centre the map on it AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff. Last stated 4 months ago
15 Jul 2026
TF
Tiago Forte — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will soon require deep, strategic adaptation, just as climate breakdown does. — tap to centre the map on it AI will soon require deep, strategic adaptation, just as climate breakdown does. Last stated 2 weeks ago
23 Oct 2026
RR
Rupert Read — holds since 2026-10-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming. — tap to centre the map on it No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming. Last stated 2 months ago
1 Sept 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. Last stated 10 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JL
Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. Last stated 4 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. Last stated 2 months ago
17 Sept 2026
PC
Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. Last stated 9 months ago
12 Feb 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An AI can already earn an A on a university economics midterm, years earlier than informed forecasters expected. — tap to centre the map on it An AI can already earn an A on a university economics midterm, years earlier than informed forecasters expected. Last stated 4 years ago
21 Mar 2023
BC
Bryan Caplan — holds since 2023-03-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Bing's Sydney, not ChatGPT, was the first truly fantastic chatbot. — tap to centre the map on it Bing's Sydney, not ChatGPT, was the first truly fantastic chatbot. Last stated 2 months ago
15 Sept 2026
TL
Tobias Lütke — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. — tap to centre the map on it AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. Last stated 2 years ago
2 Feb 2025
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2022-09-12 — tap for who they are
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-02-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As models keep growing, AI is running out of enough high-quality unique training tokens to keep up. — tap to centre the map on it As models keep growing, AI is running out of enough high-quality unique training tokens to keep up. Last stated 4 months ago
24 Jun 2026
LW
Lilian Weng — holds since 2026-06-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Current techniques restrict pre-trained representation power because standard language models are unidirectional. — tap to centre the map on it Current techniques restrict pre-trained representation power because standard language models are unidirectional. Last stated 8 years ago
11 Oct 2018
KT
Kristina Toutanova — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are
MC
Ming-Wei Chang — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are
KL
Kenton Lee — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are
JD
Jacob Devlin — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Change from already-capable AI is inevitable no matter how the frontier is paced, though it will be uneven and not all at once.
Holds Read this korrent →
At the present pace of the AI race, AIs will take over within ten years, but this is not yet inevitable
Holds
Economic growth from AI waits on change management, not on model capability: the work artifact and the workflow have to change first.
Holds
Futures in which AI replaces human judgment should not be accepted as inevitable.
Holds
The current preference cascade on pacing the AI frontier is insufficient to ensure survival.
Holds
AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff.
Holds
AI will soon require deep, strategic adaptation, just as climate breakdown does.
Holds
No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming.
Holds
Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival.
No longer holds
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Holds
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Holds
A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls.
Holds
A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact.
Holds
An AI can already earn an A on a university economics midterm, years earlier than informed forecasters expected.
Holds
Bing's Sydney, not ChatGPT, was the first truly fantastic chatbot.
Holds
AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard.
Holds
As models keep growing, AI is running out of enough high-quality unique training tokens to keep up.
Holds
Current techniques restrict pre-trained representation power because standard language models are unidirectional.
Holds