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← AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff.

17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 19 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under innovation innovation Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under ambition ambition Everything filed under creativity creativity Everything filed under startups startups Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under AI and jobs AI and jobs Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff. AI's transformation of society will unfoldgradually over decades, not in a singlemoment of takeoff. Last stated 4 months ago 15 Jul 2026 TF Tiago Forte — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligenceis plausibly centuries or millenniaaway, and no trend supports ashorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb. — tap to centre the map on it AI will have ten times the impact ofthe Industrial Revolution and arriveten times faster, which is what willmake it hard for society to absorb. Last stated a year ago 23 Jul 2025 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI will eliminate many millions of jobs within the next few years, and that disruption will shape the politics of everything else about AI. — tap to centre the map on it AI will eliminate many millions ofjobs within the next few years, andthat disruption will shape thepolitics of everything else aboutAI. Last stated 2 years ago 15 Feb 2025 MB Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-02-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: The world is much earlier in the transition to AI than people realize. — tap to centre the map on it The world is much earlier in thetransition to AI than peoplerealize. Last stated 2 weeks ago 19 Oct 2026 AO Anton Osika — holds since 2026-10-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI represents the largest change to society in a very long time, perhaps ever. — tap to centre the map on it AI represents the largest change tosociety in a very long time, perhapsever. Last stated 7 months ago 10 Apr 2026 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2026-04-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: As AI advances, thinking philosophically about its implications will become a common job and pastime for large numbers of people. — tap to centre the map on it As AI advances, thinkingphilosophically about itsimplications will become a commonjob and pastime for large numbers ofpeople. Last stated 2 months ago 24 Aug 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI is most likelycenturies or millennia away, sothere is no reason to reorganiseone's work around its arrival. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Even with AI among the most incredible technologies humanity has invented, society and the economy will probably adapt to it more slowly than the field's timelines assume. — tap to centre the map on it Even with AI among the mostincredible technologies humanity hasinvented, society and the economywill probably adapt to it moreslowly than the field's timelinesassume. Last stated 2 months ago 23 Aug 2026 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2026-08-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: A contest between five paid firms is not the way to get good creative work. — tap to centre the map on it A contest between five paid firms isnot the way to get good creativework. Last stated 3 months ago 14 Aug 2026 SK Susan Kare — holds since 2026-08-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: A culture that is uncompromising but also kind and supportive is the most fertile ground for creativity. — tap to centre the map on it A culture that is uncompromising butalso kind and supportive is the mostfertile ground for creativity. Last stated 7 months ago 12 Apr 2026 ES Evan Spiegel — holds since 2026-04-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A feeling of responsibility is probably the greatest inhibitor of creativity; great ideas came from people not paid to have them — tap to centre the map on it A feeling of responsibility isprobably the greatest inhibitor ofcreativity; great ideas came frompeople not paid to have them IA Isaac Asimov — holds since c. 1959 — tap for who they are Same subject: "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. — tap to centre the map on it "If you're not growing, you'redying" is truer of the person thanof the company. Last stated 9 months ago 25 Jan 2026 JC Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it A common-sense utopia is much closerto the present day than it is to thebest futures actually available tous. Last stated a year ago 3 Aug 2025 WM William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress — tap to centre the map on it A company can run at a fast pacesustainably without constantoverwork or undue stress Last stated 4 years ago 4 Nov 2022 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2022-11-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: “Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now. — tap to centre the map on it “Why now?” is the wrong question tomake a founder answer — the honestanswer can simply be that youstarted now. Last stated 3 months ago 28 Jul 2026 BS Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero. — tap to centre the map on it A belief nobody else shares is awarning, and a belief everybodyshares is also a warning; the rightnumber of people who agree with youis small but not zero. Last stated 3 months ago 28 Jul 2026 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A big venture firm's edge is deploying capital into what is obviously working; a small firm's is backing a founder or idea that is not yet obvious. — tap to centre the map on it A big venture firm's edge isdeploying capital into what isobviously working; a small firm's isbacking a founder or idea that isnot yet obvious. Last stated a year ago 23 Jul 2025 JS Jon Sakoda — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2008 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff. Last stated 15 Jul 2026 · 4 months ago Holds Tiago Forte Read this korrent →