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← Even with AI among the most incredible technologies humanity has…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 19 Oct 2026.
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war Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Even with AI among the most incredible technologies humanity has invented, society and the economy will probably adapt to it more slowly than the field's timelines assume. Even with AI among the most incredible technologies humanity has invented, society and the economy will probably adapt to it more slowly than the field's timelines assume. Last stated 2 months ago
23 Aug 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-08-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff. — tap to centre the map on it AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff. Last stated 4 months ago
15 Jul 2026
TF
Tiago Forte — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Society has catching up to do: AI is incredibly powerful and not always right, and people who argue 'but my agent said so' have not learned that yet. — tap to centre the map on it Society has catching up to do: AI is incredibly powerful and not always right, and people who argue 'but my agent said so' have not learned that yet. Last stated 9 months ago
12 Feb 2026
PS
Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb. — tap to centre the map on it AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb. Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will be as central to how the world is run and to humanity's future as industrial technology was from 1870 to 1970. — tap to centre the map on it AI will be as central to how the world is run and to humanity's future as industrial technology was from 1870 to 1970. Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The world is much earlier in the transition to AI than people realize. — tap to centre the map on it The world is much earlier in the transition to AI than people realize. Last stated 2 weeks ago
19 Oct 2026
AO
Anton Osika — holds since 2026-10-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Humanity deserves a C- for how it adapted to the Industrial Revolution, and a C- for AI would be the end of us — tap to centre the map on it Humanity deserves a C- for how it adapted to the Industrial Revolution, and a C- for AI would be the end of us Last stated 3 years ago
11 Jan 2024
YH
Yuval Noah Harari — holds since 2024-01-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible. — tap to centre the map on it "Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible. Last stated 3 years ago
25 Oct 2023
AH
Anton Howes — holds since 2023-10-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. — tap to centre the map on it A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. Last stated 5 months ago
2 Jun 2026
JJ
Justin Jackson — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves. — tap to centre the map on it A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves. Last stated 3 months ago
21 Jul 2026
RT
Ruxandra Teslo — holds since 2026-07-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. Last stated a year ago
7 Oct 2025
MM
Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago
7 May 2024
BS
Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
HK
Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A suitably advanced digital computer can acquire general intelligence. — tap to centre the map on it A suitably advanced digital computer can acquire general intelligence. Last stated 12 years ago
16 Jan 2015
SH
Sam Harris — holds since 2015-01-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. — tap to centre the map on it A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. Last stated 2 months ago
15 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them. — tap to centre the map on it Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them. Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
CD
Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Even with AI among the most incredible technologies humanity has invented, society and the economy will probably adapt to it more slowly than the field's timelines assume.
Holds Read this korrent →
AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff.
Holds
Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate.
No longer holds
Society has catching up to do: AI is incredibly powerful and not always right, and people who argue 'but my agent said so' have not learned that yet.
Holds
AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb.
Holds
AI will be as central to how the world is run and to humanity's future as industrial technology was from 1870 to 1970.
Holds
The world is much earlier in the transition to AI than people realize.
Holds
Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival.
No longer holds
Humanity deserves a C- for how it adapted to the Industrial Revolution, and a C- for AI would be the end of us
Holds
"Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible.
Holds
A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use.
Holds
A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves.
Holds
A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad.
Holds
A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
Holds
A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score.
Holds
A suitably advanced digital computer can acquire general intelligence.
Holds
A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve.
Holds
Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them.
Holds