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← A deep theoretical understanding to predict AI behavior is unattainable.
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 24 Feb 2018 to 23 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under AI agents
AI agents
Everything filed under reinforcement learning
reinforcement learning
Everything filed under AI sentience
AI sentience
Everything filed under AI and jobs
AI and jobs Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: A deep theoretical understanding to predict AI behavior is unattainable. A deep theoretical understanding to predict AI behavior is unattainable. Last stated a week ago
23 Sept 2026
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario. — tap to centre the map on it An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario. Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The current capabilities of existing AI models are barely being used and are often not even well understood. — tap to centre the map on it The current capabilities of existing AI models are barely being used and are often not even well understood. Last stated 2 weeks ago
18 Sept 2026
EM
Ethan Mollick — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching. — tap to centre the map on it Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching. Last stated a month ago
20 Aug 2026
AD
Aswath Damodaran — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
HM
Howard Marks — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Current AI systems are very unlikely to be close to achieving genuine sentience. — tap to centre the map on it Current AI systems are very unlikely to be close to achieving genuine sentience. Last stated 3 months ago
16 Jul 2026
SJ
Steven Johnson — holds since 2026-07-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Whether advanced AI poses an existential risk to humanity is currently unknowable. — tap to centre the map on it Whether advanced AI poses an existential risk to humanity is currently unknowable. Last stated 2 weeks ago
15 Sept 2026
MS
M.G. Siegler — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Predicting that AI would write 90% of the code was never a prediction that we would need 90% fewer software engineers. — tap to centre the map on it Predicting that AI would write 90% of the code was never a prediction that we would need 90% fewer software engineers. Last stated 8 months ago
13 Feb 2026
DA
Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The 'machine god' metaphor for AI is unhelpful and limits thinking about the technology. — tap to centre the map on it The 'machine god' metaphor for AI is unhelpful and limits thinking about the technology. Last stated a week ago
22 Sept 2026
BD
Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Future AI, say in fifteen years, will not be built on the LLM stack; it will have to move to symbolic learning. — tap to centre the map on it Future AI, say in fifteen years, will not be built on the LLM stack; it will have to move to symbolic learning. Last stated 2 months ago
7 Aug 2026
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. Last stated 4 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. — tap to centre the map on it A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. Last stated 4 months ago
4 Jun 2026
PT
Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A slow takeoff is significantly more likely than a fast one: AI that is nearly as powerful will have transformed the world before the incredibly powerful kind arrives. — tap to centre the map on it A slow takeoff is significantly more likely than a fast one: AI that is nearly as powerful will have transformed the world before the incredibly powerful kind arrives. Last stated 9 years ago
24 Feb 2018
PC
Paul Christiano — holds since 2018-02-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A collection of AI agents does not automatically form a functioning organization any more than a group of smart people does. — tap to centre the map on it A collection of AI agents does not automatically form a functioning organization any more than a group of smart people does. Last stated 4 months ago
21 May 2026
RK
Rohit Krishnan — holds since 2026-05-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company cannot be led by machines, because nobody would have recourse against them. — tap to centre the map on it A company cannot be led by machines, because nobody would have recourse against them. Last stated 2 weeks ago
15 Sept 2026
TL
Tobias Lütke — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor. — tap to centre the map on it A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor. Last stated 2 months ago
10 Aug 2026
PS
Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel. — tap to centre the map on it A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel. Last stated 2 months ago
3 Aug 2026
DD
Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. — tap to centre the map on it A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. Last stated 10 months ago
17 Nov 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-11-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Building a realistic simulator is exactly as hard as building the agent, because the simulator is itself a large AI model. — tap to centre the map on it Building a realistic simulator is exactly as hard as building the agent, because the simulator is itself a large AI model. Last stated 2 months ago
3 Aug 2026
DD
Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
At the centre
A deep theoretical understanding to predict AI behavior is unattainable.
Holds Read this korrent →
An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario.
Holds
The current capabilities of existing AI models are barely being used and are often not even well understood.
Holds
Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching.
Holds
Current AI systems are very unlikely to be close to achieving genuine sentience.
Holds
Whether advanced AI poses an existential risk to humanity is currently unknowable.
Holds
Predicting that AI would write 90% of the code was never a prediction that we would need 90% fewer software engineers.
Holds
The 'machine god' metaphor for AI is unhelpful and limits thinking about the technology.
Holds
Future AI, say in fifteen years, will not be built on the LLM stack; it will have to move to symbolic learning.
Holds
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Holds
A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that.
Holds
A slow takeoff is significantly more likely than a fast one: AI that is nearly as powerful will have transformed the world before the incredibly powerful kind arrives.
Holds
A collection of AI agents does not automatically form a functioning organization any more than a group of smart people does.
Holds
A company cannot be led by machines, because nobody would have recourse against them.
Holds
A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor.
Holds
A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel.
Holds
A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well.
Holds
Building a realistic simulator is exactly as hard as building the agent, because the simulator is itself a large AI model.
Holds