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← Predicting that AI would write 90% of the code was never a prediction…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments on record from 22 Mar 2025 to 3 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under AI writing
AI writing
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simplicity Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Predicting that AI would write 90% of the code was never a prediction that we would need 90% fewer software engineers. Predicting that AI would write 90% of the code was never a prediction that we would need 90% fewer software engineers. Last stated 7 months ago
13 Feb 2026
DA
Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The prediction that 90% of code will be AI-written by the end of 2025 deserves skepticism, though manual programming may yet become a horse: ridden for love, not transport. — tap to centre the map on it The prediction that 90% of code will be AI-written by the end of 2025 deserves skepticism, though manual programming may yet become a horse: ridden for love, not transport. Last stated a year ago
12 Jul 2025
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2025-07-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Saying that coding will be automated away first betrays a misunderstanding of software engineering, because coding is only a small part of the work. — tap to centre the map on it Saying that coding will be automated away first betrays a misunderstanding of software engineering, because coding is only a small part of the work. Last stated 2 months ago
1 Jul 2026
KB
Kent Beck — holds since 2026-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: That AI lets anyone prototype does not mean everyone should be shipping code to production. — tap to centre the map on it That AI lets anyone prototype does not mean everyone should be shipping code to production. Last stated 2 months ago
19 Jul 2026
ES
Elizabeth Stone — holds since 2026-07-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Coding models are worst at exactly the thing an AI research explosion would need: code that has never been written before. — tap to centre the map on it Coding models are worst at exactly the thing an AI research explosion would need: code that has never been written before. Last stated 11 months ago
17 Oct 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Leaning on AI trades knowledge for speed, and the price may be a generation of programmers in which juniors stay juniors forever. — tap to centre the map on it Leaning on AI trades knowledge for speed, and the price may be a generation of programmers in which juniors stay juniors forever. Last stated a year ago
22 Mar 2025
TH
ThePrimeagen — holds since 2025-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will do to software what the cloud did: expand the market massively rather than crush the margins of the incumbent. — tap to centre the map on it AI will do to software what the cloud did: expand the market massively rather than crush the margins of the incumbent. Last stated 10 months ago
12 Nov 2025
SN
Satya Nadella — holds since 2025-11-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI acceleration threatens 'less software': without the constraint of scarce hours, even 37signals will likely build too much. — tap to centre the map on it AI acceleration threatens 'less software': without the constraint of scarce hours, even 37signals will likely build too much. Last stated a month ago
26 Jul 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-07-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI models have reached the level of a junior engineer on longer-running, agent-based coding tasks. — tap to centre the map on it AI models have reached the level of a junior engineer on longer-running, agent-based coding tasks. Last stated a month ago
30 Jul 2026
JD
Jeff Dean — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A benchmark that ranks Claude Code last while it stays first in use is measuring the wrong thing, and has been for a year. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark that ranks Claude Code last while it stays first in use is measuring the wrong thing, and has been for a year. Last stated 5 days ago
3 Sept 2026
DR
Dax Raad — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A language model asked to summarize its own system prompt risks that prompt's content biasing the summary it produces. — tap to centre the map on it A language model asked to summarize its own system prompt risks that prompt's content biasing the summary it produces. Last stated 6 days ago
2 Sept 2026
SW
Simon Willison — holds since 2026-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A trust that owns the mission protects a company better than founder control does, which is why Anthropic needs no dual-class shares. — tap to centre the map on it A trust that owns the mission protects a company better than founder control does, which is why Anthropic needs no dual-class shares. Last stated 4 months ago
10 May 2026
ER
Eric Ries — holds since 2026-05-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent. — tap to centre the map on it A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent. Last stated 2 months ago
30 Jun 2026
GS
Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI-generated writing tends to repeat the same themes, names, and underlying ideas across different outputs. — tap to centre the map on it AI-generated writing tends to repeat the same themes, names, and underlying ideas across different outputs. Last stated a week ago
31 Aug 2026
EM
Ethan Mollick — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI-written prose is an inferior read because a model emits a statistical average -- code's audience is a machine, writing's audience is people. — tap to centre the map on it AI-written prose is an inferior read because a model emits a statistical average -- code's audience is a machine, writing's audience is people. Last stated a week ago
1 Sept 2026
GO
Gergely Orosz — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A coding agent does not learn from its mistakes the way a person does -- it repeats the same error indefinitely unless a human notices and writes it down. — tap to centre the map on it A coding agent does not learn from its mistakes the way a person does -- it repeats the same error indefinitely unless a human notices and writes it down. Last stated 5 months ago
25 Mar 2026
MZ
Mario Zechner — holds since 2026-03-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A coding-agent company should not train its own model: it has to stay neutral ground for models to compete on. — tap to centre the map on it A coding-agent company should not train its own model: it has to stay neutral ground for models to compete on. Last stated 5 days ago
3 Sept 2026
DR
Dax Raad — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A machine can complete the task and completely miss the job -- coding makes this easy to see precisely because its tasks are so legible and verifiable. — tap to centre the map on it A machine can complete the task and completely miss the job -- coding makes this easy to see precisely because its tasks are so legible and verifiable. Last stated 4 weeks ago
14 Aug 2026
SP
Sunil Pai — holds since 2026-08-14 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Predicting that AI would write 90% of the code was never a prediction that we would need 90% fewer software engineers.
Holds DA Dario AmodeiRead this korrent →
The prediction that 90% of code will be AI-written by the end of 2025 deserves skepticism, though manual programming may yet become a horse: ridden for love, not transport.
Holds
Saying that coding will be automated away first betrays a misunderstanding of software engineering, because coding is only a small part of the work.
Holds KB Kent Beck
That AI lets anyone prototype does not mean everyone should be shipping code to production.
Holds ES Elizabeth Stone
Coding models are worst at exactly the thing an AI research explosion would need: code that has never been written before.
Holds
Leaning on AI trades knowledge for speed, and the price may be a generation of programmers in which juniors stay juniors forever.
Holds TH ThePrimeagen
AI will do to software what the cloud did: expand the market massively rather than crush the margins of the incumbent.
Holds SN Satya Nadella
AI acceleration threatens 'less software': without the constraint of scarce hours, even 37signals will likely build too much.
Holds
AI models have reached the level of a junior engineer on longer-running, agent-based coding tasks.
Holds JD Jeff Dean
A benchmark that ranks Claude Code last while it stays first in use is measuring the wrong thing, and has been for a year.
Holds
A language model asked to summarize its own system prompt risks that prompt's content biasing the summary it produces.
Holds
A trust that owns the mission protects a company better than founder control does, which is why Anthropic needs no dual-class shares.
Holds ER Eric Ries
A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent.
Holds GS Grant Sanderson
AI-generated writing tends to repeat the same themes, names, and underlying ideas across different outputs.
Holds EM Ethan Mollick
AI-written prose is an inferior read because a model emits a statistical average -- code's audience is a machine, writing's audience is people.
Holds
A coding agent does not learn from its mistakes the way a person does -- it repeats the same error indefinitely unless a human notices and writes it down.
Holds
A coding-agent company should not train its own model: it has to stay neutral ground for models to compete on.
Holds
A machine can complete the task and completely miss the job -- coding makes this easy to see precisely because its tasks are so legible and verifiable.
Holds