Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.
← Monetary policy operates with long and variable lags, so attempts to fine-tune the economy make things worse.
17 connected korrents · 11 moments from 5 Sept 2010 to 13 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under interest rates
interest rates
Everything filed under demographics
demographics
Everything filed under economists
economists
Everything filed under AI and jobs
AI and jobs
Everything filed under tariffs
tariffs
Everything filed under fiscal policy
fiscal policy
Everything filed under AI and jobs
AI and jobs
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: Monetary policy operates with long and variable lags, so attempts to fine-tune the economy make things worse.
Monetary policy operates with long and variable lags, so attempts to fine-tune the economy make things worse.
Last stated 16 years ago
6 Sept 2010
SS
Scott Sumner — holds since 2010-09-05 — tap for who they are
SS
Scott Sumner — no longer holds since 2010-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The real interest rate in the long run is determined by market forces, not by monetary policy. — tap to centre the map on it
The real interest rate in the long run is determined by market forces, not by monetary policy.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
14 Sept 2026
SS
Scott Sumner — holds since 2026-09-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Japan's decades of stagnation were caused by its shrinking working-age population rather than by its monetary policy. — tap to centre the map on it
Japan's decades of stagnation were caused by its shrinking working-age population rather than by its monetary policy.
Last stated 2 years ago
1 Nov 2024
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2024-11-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Milton Friedman's best-known policy prescription, targeting the money supply, is no longer regarded as correct. — tap to centre the map on it
Milton Friedman's best-known policy prescription, targeting the money supply, is no longer regarded as correct.
Last stated 3 years ago
1 Oct 2023
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Monetary policy works by managing expectations. — tap to centre the map on it
Monetary policy works by managing expectations.
Last stated today
13 Oct 2026
BD
Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-10-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Lowering inflation does not necessarily require long recessions or high unemployment. — tap to centre the map on it
Lowering inflation does not necessarily require long recessions or high unemployment.
Last stated today
13 Oct 2026
JC
John H. Cochrane — holds since 2026-10-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Tariff policy is too erratic to reliably predict or plan around. — tap to centre the map on it
Tariff policy is too erratic to reliably predict or plan around.
Last stated 2 years ago
31 Mar 2025
NB
Nat Bullard — holds since 2025-03-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Automatic fiscal stabilizers give fiscal policy an advantage over monetary policy in stabilizing output because they act faster. — tap to centre the map on it
Automatic fiscal stabilizers give fiscal policy an advantage over monetary policy in stabilizing output because they act faster.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The Great Depression was produced by government mismanagement, not by instability inherent in the private economy — tap to centre the map on it
The Great Depression was produced by government mismanagement, not by instability inherent in the private economy
MF
Milton Friedman — holds since c. 1962 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. — tap to centre the map on it
A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it.
Last stated a year ago
16 Jul 2025
JD
Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it
A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. — tap to centre the map on it
A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total. — tap to centre the map on it
Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Central banks should hold inflation-protected bonds as primary assets — tap to centre the map on it
Central banks should hold inflation-protected bonds as primary assets
Last stated 2 weeks ago
1 Oct 2026
JC
John H. Cochrane — holds since 2026-10-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Holding real assets should help central banks control inflation. — tap to centre the map on it
Holding real assets should help central banks control inflation.
Last stated 2 weeks ago
1 Oct 2026
JC
John H. Cochrane — holds since 2026-10-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. — tap to centre the map on it
A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending.
Last stated 2 months ago
21 Aug 2026
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases. — tap to centre the map on it
A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Canceling government bonds held by a central bank creates no fiscal space, because the reduction in government interest payments is exactly offset by an equal reduction in the profits the central bank remits to the government. — tap to centre the map on it
Canceling government bonds held by a central bank creates no fiscal space, because the reduction in government interest payments is exactly offset by an equal reduction in the profits the central bank remits to the government.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2010 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are faded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind