Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.
← In risk management, severe but low-probability outcomes should shape…
17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 14 Sept 2008 to 17 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under nuclear power
nuclear power
Everything filed under motivation
motivation Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: In risk management, severe but low-probability outcomes should shape policy responses, not just the likeliest scenario. In risk management, severe but low-probability outcomes should shape policy responses, not just the likeliest scenario. Last stated 4 weeks ago
4 Sept 2026
AD
Andrew Dessler — holds since 2026-09-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Nuclear safety should be pursued by reducing the consequence of an accident rather than its odds, because something unpredictable always happens. — tap to centre the map on it Nuclear safety should be pursued by reducing the consequence of an accident rather than its odds, because something unpredictable always happens. Last stated 2 months ago
15 Aug 2026
IT
Isaiah Taylor — holds since 2026-08-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: High consequences cannot be what makes work engineering, because most traditional engineering is low-stakes too. — tap to centre the map on it High consequences cannot be what makes work engineering, because most traditional engineering is low-stakes too. Last stated 6 years ago
18 Jan 2021
HW
Hillel Wayne — holds since 2021-01-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People don't really control most outcomes, so the sensible response to events is to look for the good in them. — tap to centre the map on it People don't really control most outcomes, so the sensible response to events is to look for the good in them. Last stated 4 years ago
21 Sept 2022
SC
Steve Coast — holds since 2022-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI risk is probably a totally manageable problem that will be brutally mismanaged, the way pandemic response was. — tap to centre the map on it AI risk is probably a totally manageable problem that will be brutally mismanaged, the way pandemic response was. Last stated 2 months ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Empirical knowledge of rare events’ role is inversely proportional to their impact — tap to centre the map on it Empirical knowledge of rare events’ role is inversely proportional to their impact Last stated 18 years ago
14 Sept 2008
NT
Nassim Nicholas Taleb — holds since 2008-09-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI capabilities will keep advancing rapidly, creating serious risks by default that can still be mitigated through deliberate foresight and action. — tap to centre the map on it AI capabilities will keep advancing rapidly, creating serious risks by default that can still be mitigated through deliberate foresight and action. Last stated a year ago
25 Sept 2025
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-09-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The risk of succumbing to the rigor mortis of success is usually far greater than the risk of making a mistake by not considering and mitigating all possible bad outcomes up front — tap to centre the map on it The risk of succumbing to the rigor mortis of success is usually far greater than the risk of making a mistake by not considering and mitigating all possible bad outcomes up front Last stated 3 years ago
20 Jul 2023
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2023-07-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago
7 May 2024
BS
Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. — tap to centre the map on it A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. Last stated 2 weeks ago
17 Sept 2026
VR
Venkatesh Rao — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. — tap to centre the map on it A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. Last stated 8 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. — tap to centre the map on it A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Blaming and shaming people only makes them defensive, dig in their heels, or tune out, rather than change their minds. — tap to centre the map on it Blaming and shaming people only makes them defensive, dig in their heels, or tune out, rather than change their minds. Last stated 4 months ago
9 Jun 2026
AG
Adam Grant — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Imaginary social trends can spuriously shape people's real beliefs and behaviors. — tap to centre the map on it Imaginary social trends can spuriously shape people's real beliefs and behaviors. Last stated 5 years ago
7 Mar 2022
AM
Adam Mastroianni — holds since 2022-03-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Public scrutiny of a new technology tends to jump only after a deadly incident, otherwise rising slowly over decades — tap to centre the map on it Public scrutiny of a new technology tends to jump only after a deadly incident, otherwise rising slowly over decades Last stated 9 months ago
15 Jan 2026
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2026-01-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A product that speeds up turning intention into reality increases appetite for continued use, then charges for that continuation. — tap to centre the map on it A product that speeds up turning intention into reality increases appetite for continued use, then charges for that continuation. Last stated a month ago
19 Aug 2026
KR
Kenneth Reitz — holds since 2026-08-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A small amount of friction is enough to reshape a behavior, because most wants are not strong enough to survive a minor inconvenience. — tap to centre the map on it A small amount of friction is enough to reshape a behavior, because most wants are not strong enough to survive a minor inconvenience. Last stated 9 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JC
James Clear — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A society cannot remove the desire for status, only change what earns it. — tap to centre the map on it A society cannot remove the desire for status, only change what earns it. Last stated 4 weeks ago
6 Sept 2026
RH
Rob Henderson — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are
At the centre
In risk management, severe but low-probability outcomes should shape policy responses, not just the likeliest scenario.
Holds Read this korrent →
Nuclear safety should be pursued by reducing the consequence of an accident rather than its odds, because something unpredictable always happens.
Holds
High consequences cannot be what makes work engineering, because most traditional engineering is low-stakes too.
Holds
People don't really control most outcomes, so the sensible response to events is to look for the good in them.
Holds
AI risk is probably a totally manageable problem that will be brutally mismanaged, the way pandemic response was.
Holds
Empirical knowledge of rare events’ role is inversely proportional to their impact
Holds
AI capabilities will keep advancing rapidly, creating serious risks by default that can still be mitigated through deliberate foresight and action.
Holds
The risk of succumbing to the rigor mortis of success is usually far greater than the risk of making a mistake by not considering and mitigating all possible bad outcomes up front
Holds
A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
Holds
A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints.
Holds
A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally.
Holds
A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck.
Holds
Blaming and shaming people only makes them defensive, dig in their heels, or tune out, rather than change their minds.
Holds
Imaginary social trends can spuriously shape people's real beliefs and behaviors.
Holds
Public scrutiny of a new technology tends to jump only after a deadly incident, otherwise rising slowly over decades
Holds
A product that speeds up turning intention into reality increases appetite for continued use, then charges for that continuation.
Holds
A small amount of friction is enough to reshape a behavior, because most wants are not strong enough to survive a minor inconvenience.
Holds
A society cannot remove the desire for status, only change what earns it.
Holds