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Andrew Dessler

Andrew Dessler

@andrew-dessler · 20 positions · 0 changes of mind

Professor of atmospheric sciences at Texas A&M; writes The Climate Brink with Zeke Hausfather.

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  1. So the increase in PWAT is not just a weirdo statistic. It is a statement about the ceiling on the worst rain events we can face.

    The Atmosphere Just Set a Water Vapor Recordtheclimatebrink.com 1st of 2 in this piece

  2. climate change

    Given that we can connect increases in PWAT to global warming, we can confidently conclude that climate change made this rain event more intense than it otherwise would have been.

    The Atmosphere Just Set a Water Vapor Recordtheclimatebrink.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

  3. 10 days earlier
  4. the temperatures produced under RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5 are a reasonable upper bound on what the future climate might be.

    The Worst Case Is Still on the Tabletheclimatebrink.com 1st of 3 in this piece

  5. Keeping the RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5 runs as a plausible upper limit is particularly important given that recent research has emphasized the possibility that models are underestimating future warming.

    The Worst Case Is Still on the Tabletheclimatebrink.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

  6. In fact, conventional risk management tells us that, when consequences are severe, low-probability extreme outcomes can determine the response.

    The Worst Case Is Still on the Tabletheclimatebrink.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

  7. 3 weeks earlier
  8. The catch is that the future world that has been warmed by greenhouse gases and a present-day world that has been temporarily warmed by El Niño can have the same global-average temperature while having significant differences in the impacts of this warming.

    Is this El Niño a glimpse of a future, hotter Earth?theclimatebrink.com

  9. 5 days earlier
  10. climate change

    Climate change is absolutely making these wildfires more severe - there should be zero doubt about that.

    ♫ Smoke Gets in Your Eyes ♫theclimatebrink.com 1st of 3 in this piece

  11. Americaclimate change

    You read that right: The cost of climate-worsened wildfire smoke alone is larger than what earlier studies said every other estimated cost of climate change would be, combined.

    ♫ Smoke Gets in Your Eyes ♫theclimatebrink.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

  12. This should turbocharge our resolve to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases.

    ♫ Smoke Gets in Your Eyes ♫theclimatebrink.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

  13. 9 days earlier
  14. America

    The relevant human activity was not fossil-fuel combustion but bad farming practices that contributed to the Dust Bowl.

    Fixing one of climate’s worst plotstheclimatebrink.com 1st of 3 in this piece

  15. America

    Irrigation cools the surface, and the expansion of agriculture and irrigation in the central U.S. in the middle of the 20th century played a key role in why heatwaves were low in the middle of the 20th century

    Fixing one of climate’s worst plotstheclimatebrink.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

  16. This differs from the Dust Bowl because it is a global signal, occurring essentially everywhere. This is almost certainly due to greenhouse gas emissions from human activities.

    Fixing one of climate’s worst plotstheclimatebrink.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

  17. 5 days earlier
  18. If you cool the Earth by 10 degrees Fahrenheit, you end up with a completely different planet.

    Wildfires are remaking the worldtheclimatebrink.com 1st of 3 in this piece

  19. climate change

    The transformation to come will be decidedly nonlinear, meaning it will not occur as small impacts over many years but rather a series of infrequent, huge events of enormous destructive power.

    Wildfires are remaking the worldtheclimatebrink.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

  20. climate change

    At this point, we've missed the boat at completely preventing climate change. Our atmosphere has been fundamentally altered by carbon pollution.

    Wildfires are remaking the worldtheclimatebrink.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

  21. 2 days earlier
  22. If you do not adjust the data for known biases, you're getting the wrong answer.

    Raw Data, Wrong Answerstheclimatebrink.com 1st of 3 in this piece

  23. the opposition to adjustments is entirely instrumental: climate skeptics like the results that the raw, biased data give them for the US, and they don't like the results that bias-corrected data give them.

    Raw Data, Wrong Answerstheclimatebrink.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

  24. Americaclimate change

    the heat of the 1930s was a regional event, due to a combination of unforced variability and human activities (poor agricultural land management).

    Raw Data, Wrong Answerstheclimatebrink.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

  25. 3 weeks earlier
  26. climate change

    the temperatures seen in France show that climate models continue to underpredict the magnitude of heatwaves for a particular level of global warming.

    Deadly heat wave in France shows the future of climate risktheclimatebrink.com 1st of 2 in this piece

  27. energy

    Without a move away from fossil fuels, future heatwaves will keep testing the limits of public health systems and more people will die.

    Deadly heat wave in France shows the future of climate risktheclimatebrink.com 2nd of 2 in this piece