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At the centre AI will transform how scientific discovery is done, and within two or three years a working scientist's job will already look dramatically different. Holds MKMichael Kratsios Read this korrent →

• Similar wording Once AI can do AI research, a single year should deliver four or five years worth of AI progress. Holds RGRyan Greenblatt
• Similar wording Powerful AI will compress the biological and medical progress of the next 50-100 years into 5-10 years. Holds DADario Amodei
• Similar wording Within a decade AI will do the bulk of what mathematicians spend their time on, and we will discover that was never the important part of the job. Holds TTTerence Tao
• Similar wording AI could displace half of all entry-level white-collar jobs within one to five years, even while it accelerates economic growth. Holds DADario Amodei
• Similar wording AI research will be fully automated around 2030 or 2031, and AI will beat humans at essentially any job by about 2033. Holds RGRyan Greenblatt
• Similar wording AI will not on its own compress decades of medical progress into a few years, because the binding constraint is human data, clinical trials and regulation rather than intelligence. Holds RTRuxandra TesloJTJacob Trefethen
• Similar wording Getting five years of AI progress out of one year takes roughly eight years of algorithmic progress, because the compute you would have had must be made up too. Holds RGRyan Greenblatt
• Similar wording People will find new kinds of useful work as AI advances, though it will not resemble the jobs of today. Holds SASam Altman