Terence Tao
Mathematician at UCLA, Fields Medal 2006. Writes at terrytao.wordpress.com.
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Their wordsIf something holds 99.99% of the time, that's good enough for most things. But mathematicians are one of the few people who really care about whether really 100% of all situations are covered by it.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 1st of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsI'm much more comfortable with the fox paradigm. Yeah. So yeah, I like looking for analogies, narratives. I spend a lot of time… If there's a result, I see it in one field, and I like the result, it's a cool result, but I don't like the proof, it uses types of mathematics that I'm not super familiar with, I often try to re-prove it myself using the tools that I favor.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 2nd of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsBut I have faith that we've been doing this for centuries and we've made progress before. There's no reason why we should stop.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 3rd of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsYeah, that was a leading candidate for many decades. I think it's slowly pulling out of fashion. It's not matching experiment.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 4th of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsSo right now I estimate that the time and effort taken to formalize it, proof is about 10 times the amount taken to write it out. So it's doable, but it's annoying.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 5th of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsI think the platform that Lean and other software tools, so GitHub and things like that will allow experimental mathematics to scale up to a much greater degree than we can do now.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 6th of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsYeah, these are great work that shows what's possible. The approach doesn't scale currently. Three days of Google's server time can solve one high school math format there. This is not a scalable prospect, especially with the exponential increase as the complexity increases.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 7th of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsVery rarely do you transform into a simpler problem. So if they can pick up a sense of smell, then they could maybe start competing with a human level of mathematicians.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 8th of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd that's a phase shift, because suddenly it makes sense when you write a paper to write it in Lean first, or through a conversation with AI, which is generally on the fly with you, and it becomes natural for journals to accept.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 9th of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsThere are certainly math results which could only have been accomplished because there was a human authentication and an AI involved, but it's hard to disentangle credit. I mean, these tools, they do not replicate all the skills needed to do mathematics, but they can replicate some non-trivial percentage of them, 30, 40%, so they can fill in gaps.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 10th of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsYeah, this decade I can see it making a conjecture between two things that people would thought was unrelated.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 11th of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsThe dream is you just feed it all this data, and this is here is a new patent that we didn't see before, but it actually, even the current state of the art even struggles to discover old laws of physics from the data.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 12th of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsSo I think in 10 years we will have many more much closer results, we may not have the whole thing. So twin primes is somewhat close. The Riemann hypothesis I have no clue.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 13th of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsI can tell you with complete certainty the twin prime conjecture is true. The random model gives overwhelming odds it is true, I just can't prove it.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 14th of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsCertainly more on the no than on the yes. The funny thing about P equals NP is that we have also a lot more obstructions than we do for almost any other problem.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 15th of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsIt's becoming much more a thing of the past. So I think you just have to be adaptable and flexible. I think people will have to get skills that are transferable, like learning one specific programing language or one specific subject of mathematics or something. That itself is not a super transferable skill, but sort of knowing how to reason with abstract concepts or how to problem solve when things go wrong.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 16th of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsSo the next step then is to try anything no matter how stupid and in fact almost the stupider, the better, which technically is almost guaranteed to fail, but the way it fails is going to be instructive.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 17th of 18 in this recording
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Their wordsso the mathematical community plural is incredibly super intelligent entity that no single human mathematician can come closer to replicating.
↗Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472youtube.com 18th of 18 in this recording