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← AI is likely to become a more relevant issue before 2028.

17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 6 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under AI agents AI agents Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under OpenAI OpenAI Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under AI and science AI and science Everything filed under innovation innovation Everything filed under war war Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: AI is likely to become a more relevant issue before 2028. AI is likely to become a more relevantissue before 2028. Last stated today 6 Oct 2026 NS Nate Silver — holds since 2026-10-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: It is good that the agents-talking-to-agents scare happened in 2026 rather than in 2030, when AI could actually be scary enough to warrant it. — tap to centre the map on it It is good that theagents-talking-to-agents scarehappened in 2026 rather than in2030, when AI could actually bescary enough to warrant it. Last stated 8 months ago 12 Feb 2026 PS Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligenceis plausibly centuries or millenniaaway, and no trend supports ashorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: The biological risk from AI models has been overblown for years: people were shouting about it in 2021 and 2022 and it has not been an issue since. — tap to centre the map on it The biological risk from AI modelshas been overblown for years: peoplewere shouting about it in 2021 and2022 and it has not been an issuesince. Last stated 2 months ago 18 Aug 2026 MK Michael Kratsios — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Whatever the term, by 2030 AI progress will be so dramatic that the world will be dealing with its consequences, good and bad, in a big way. — tap to centre the map on it Whatever the term, by 2030 AIprogress will be so dramatic thatthe world will be dealing with itsconsequences, good and bad, in a bigway. Last stated a year ago 5 Jun 2025 SP Sundar Pichai — holds since 2025-06-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: Not every bottleneck on medical progress is one AI can remove, and which ones will remain can be guessed at now. — tap to centre the map on it Not every bottleneck on medicalprogress is one AI can remove, andwhich ones will remain can beguessed at now. Last stated a year ago 2 Aug 2025 JT Jacob Trefethen — holds since 2025-08-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff. — tap to centre the map on it AI's transformation of society willunfold gradually over decades, notin a single moment of takeoff. Last stated 3 months ago 15 Jul 2026 TF Tiago Forte — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI will be as central to how the world is run and to humanity's future as industrial technology was from 1870 to 1970. — tap to centre the map on it AI will be as central to how theworld is run and to humanity'sfuture as industrial technology wasfrom 1870 to 1970. Last stated 3 weeks ago 18 Sept 2026 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is roughly a 35 to 40 percent chance of something we would recognise as an AI takeover by 2040. — tap to centre the map on it There is roughly a 35 to 40 percentchance of something we wouldrecognise as an AI takeover by 2040. Last stated 2 months ago 11 Aug 2026 RG Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email isevidence of a bad vendor, not of alimit of AI. Last stated 9 months ago 1 Jan 2026 JL Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does notgive you a smarter model; theintelligence of the model is whatdecides how much of that window itcan actually attend to. Last stated 3 months ago 15 Jul 2026 DH Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it A body of publications is easy forAI models to consume via pretrainingcorpora but cumbersome for mosthumans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts,and paywalls. Last stated 3 weeks ago 17 Sept 2026 PC Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as anonprofit and bolt a for-profit armon later, whatever OpenAI's ownhistory suggests. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing aplausible-sounding name is the samephenomenon as a large oneconfidently stating a false fact. Last stated 8 months ago 12 Feb 2026 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. — tap to centre the map on it Advertising was a necessary phasefor the internet but a momentaryindustry, and an AI people pay foris better because they know theanswers are not influenced byadvertisers. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A collection of AI agents does not automatically form a functioning organization any more than a group of smart people does. — tap to centre the map on it A collection of AI agents does notautomatically form a functioningorganization any more than a groupof smart people does. Last stated 5 months ago 21 May 2026 RK Rohit Krishnan — holds since 2026-05-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company cannot be led by machines, because nobody would have recourse against them. — tap to centre the map on it A company cannot be led by machines,because nobody would have recourseagainst them. Last stated 3 weeks ago 15 Sept 2026 TL Tobias Lütke — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor. — tap to centre the map on it A computer-using agent needs amachine of its own, or you willspend the day fighting it for themouse cursor. Last stated 2 months ago 10 Aug 2026 PS Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2008 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre AI is likely to become a more relevant issue before 2028. Last stated 6 Oct 2026 · today Holds Nate Silver Read this korrent →