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← Whatever the term, by 2030 AI progress will be so dramatic that the…

17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 6 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under measuring intelligence measuring intelligence Everything filed under AI agents AI agents Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Whatever the term, by 2030 AI progress will be so dramatic that the world will be dealing with its consequences, good and bad, in a big way. Whatever the term, by 2030 AI progresswill be so dramatic that the world will bedealing with its consequences, good andbad, in a big way. Last stated a year ago 5 Jun 2025 SP Sundar Pichai — holds since 2025-06-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI is likely to become a more relevant issue before 2028. — tap to centre the map on it AI is likely to become a morerelevant issue before 2028. Last stated 2 weeks ago 6 Oct 2026 NS Nate Silver — holds since 2026-10-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb. — tap to centre the map on it AI will have ten times the impact ofthe Industrial Revolution and arriveten times faster, which is what willmake it hard for society to absorb. Last stated a year ago 23 Jul 2025 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligenceis plausibly centuries or millenniaaway, and no trend supports ashorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming. — tap to centre the map on it No one fully understands theconsequences of how capable AI isbecoming. Last stated 2 months ago 1 Sept 2026 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI's impact will be bigger than the internet's, and more profound. — tap to centre the map on it AI's impact will be bigger than theinternet's, and more profound. Last stated 4 months ago 18 Jun 2026 LT Lip-Bu Tan — holds since 2026-06-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: As AI advances, thinking philosophically about its implications will become a common job and pastime for large numbers of people. — tap to centre the map on it As AI advances, thinkingphilosophically about itsimplications will become a commonjob and pastime for large numbers ofpeople. Last stated 2 months ago 24 Aug 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is going to be a huge amount of societal pushback against AI, because technology leaders wrongly assume people adopt whatever ships. — tap to centre the map on it There is going to be a huge amountof societal pushback against AI,because technology leaders wronglyassume people adopt whatever ships. Last stated 6 months ago 26 Apr 2026 ES Evan Spiegel — holds since 2026-04-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: It is good that the agents-talking-to-agents scare happened in 2026 rather than in 2030, when AI could actually be scary enough to warrant it. — tap to centre the map on it It is good that theagents-talking-to-agents scarehappened in 2026 rather than in2030, when AI could actually bescary enough to warrant it. Last stated 8 months ago 12 Feb 2026 PS Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it A company that uses an algorithm tonudge customers into behavior thatisn't good for them is doingsomething bad. Last stated a year ago 7 Oct 2025 MM Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reportsunder one per cent risk should beread as several per cent, becausethe evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago 7 May 2024 BS Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces abehavior pulls it toward whateverimproves the loop's own score. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Aug 2026 HK Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. — tap to centre the map on it A unit of measure needs defining,perhaps via a chain of increasinglyhard problems, each pair of which asingle model can solve. Last stated a month ago 15 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them. — tap to centre the map on it Being able to statistically predictwhat someone will say does not meanyou understand them. Last stated a month ago 18 Sept 2026 CD Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. — tap to centre the map on it Both the special-purpose-programsview and the blank-slate view ofhuman intelligence are likelyincorrect. Last stated 7 years ago 5 Nov 2019 FC François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email isevidence of a bad vendor, not of alimit of AI. Last stated 10 months ago 1 Jan 2026 JL Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does notgive you a smarter model; theintelligence of the model is whatdecides how much of that window itcan actually attend to. Last stated 3 months ago 15 Jul 2026 DH Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it A body of publications is easy forAI models to consume via pretrainingcorpora but cumbersome for mosthumans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts,and paywalls. Last stated a month ago 17 Sept 2026 PC Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Whatever the term, by 2030 AI progress will be so dramatic that the world will be dealing with its consequences, good and bad, in a big way. Last stated 5 Jun 2025 · a year ago Holds Sundar Pichai Read this korrent →