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← Whatever the term, by 2030 AI progress will be so dramatic that the…
17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 6 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under measuring intelligence
measuring intelligence
Everything filed under AI agents
AI agents
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Read this korrent: Whatever the term, by 2030 AI progress will be so dramatic that the world will be dealing with its consequences, good and bad, in a big way.
Whatever the term, by 2030 AI progress will be so dramatic that the world will be dealing with its consequences, good and bad, in a big way.
Last stated a year ago
5 Jun 2025
SP
Sundar Pichai — holds since 2025-06-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI is likely to become a more relevant issue before 2028. — tap to centre the map on it
AI is likely to become a more relevant issue before 2028.
Last stated 2 weeks ago
6 Oct 2026
NS
Nate Silver — holds since 2026-10-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb. — tap to centre the map on it
AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb.
Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it
Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate.
Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming. — tap to centre the map on it
No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming.
Last stated 2 months ago
1 Sept 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI's impact will be bigger than the internet's, and more profound. — tap to centre the map on it
AI's impact will be bigger than the internet's, and more profound.
Last stated 4 months ago
18 Jun 2026
LT
Lip-Bu Tan — holds since 2026-06-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As AI advances, thinking philosophically about its implications will become a common job and pastime for large numbers of people. — tap to centre the map on it
As AI advances, thinking philosophically about its implications will become a common job and pastime for large numbers of people.
Last stated 2 months ago
24 Aug 2026
JC
Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is going to be a huge amount of societal pushback against AI, because technology leaders wrongly assume people adopt whatever ships. — tap to centre the map on it
There is going to be a huge amount of societal pushback against AI, because technology leaders wrongly assume people adopt whatever ships.
Last stated 6 months ago
26 Apr 2026
ES
Evan Spiegel — holds since 2026-04-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: It is good that the agents-talking-to-agents scare happened in 2026 rather than in 2030, when AI could actually be scary enough to warrant it. — tap to centre the map on it
It is good that the agents-talking-to-agents scare happened in 2026 rather than in 2030, when AI could actually be scary enough to warrant it.
Last stated 8 months ago
12 Feb 2026
PS
Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it
A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad.
Last stated a year ago
7 Oct 2025
MM
Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it
A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
Last stated 2 years ago
7 May 2024
BS
Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it
A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score.
Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
HK
Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. — tap to centre the map on it
A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve.
Last stated a month ago
15 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them. — tap to centre the map on it
Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them.
Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
CD
Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. — tap to centre the map on it
Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect.
Last stated 7 years ago
5 Nov 2019
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Last stated 10 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JL
Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it
A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls.
Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
PC
Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2008 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are faded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind
At the centre
Whatever the term, by 2030 AI progress will be so dramatic that the world will be dealing with its consequences, good and bad, in a big way.
Last stated 5 Jun 2025 · a year ago
Holds Sundar Pichai
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
AI is likely to become a more relevant issue before 2028.
Last stated 6 Oct 2026 · 2 weeks ago
Holds Nate Silver
Similar wording
AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb.
Last stated 23 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds Demis Hassabis
Similar wording
Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate.
Last stated 13 Dec 2023 · 3 years ago
No longer holds Scott Aaronson
Similar wording
No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming.
Last stated 1 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Sam Altman
Similar wording
AI's impact will be bigger than the internet's, and more profound.
Last stated 18 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Lip-Bu Tan
Similar wording
As AI advances, thinking philosophically about its implications will become a common job and pastime for large numbers of people.
Last stated 24 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Jack Clark
Similar wording
There is going to be a huge amount of societal pushback against AI, because technology leaders wrongly assume people adopt whatever ships.
Last stated 26 Apr 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds Evan Spiegel
Similar wording
It is good that the agents-talking-to-agents scare happened in 2026 rather than in 2030, when AI could actually be scary enough to warrant it.
Last stated 12 Feb 2026 · 8 months ago
Holds Peter Steinberger
Same subject: AI alignment
A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad.
Last stated 7 Oct 2025 · a year ago
Holds Mr. Money Mustache
Same subject: AI alignment
A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
Last stated 7 May 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Buck Shlegeris
Same subject: AI alignment
A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score.
Last stated 26 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Henrik Karlsson
Same subject: measuring intelligence
A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve.
Last stated 15 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Paul Graham
Same subject: measuring intelligence
Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them.
Last stated 18 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Cory Doctorow
Same subject: measuring intelligence
Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect.
Last stated 5 Nov 2019 · 7 years ago
Holds François Chollet
Same subject: LLMs
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Last stated 1 Jan 2026 · 10 months ago
Holds Jason Lemkin
Same subject: LLMs
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Last stated 15 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Dex Horthy
Same subject: LLMs
A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls.
Last stated 17 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Patrick Collison