What Nate Silver thinks about AI alignment
Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight, author of The Signal and the Noise and On the Edge. Writes Silver Bulletin, where the predictions come with numbers and the numbers are later checked against what happened.
Nate Silver did not write this page.
We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.
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3 dated positions, 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what Nate Silver has said — not written or endorsed by them.
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Their wordsConversely, expert ratings imply a much different political environment. The Cook Political Report, for example, counts seven races as “toss-ups,” including states like New Hampshire where models and prediction markets imply that Democrats are heavy favorites. This cautious view is misaligned with the long history of strong opposition performance in midterm elections, especially when the incumbent president is as unpopular as Trump.
↗Expert ratings are ignoring signs of a blue wavenatesilver.net
- 5 days earlier
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Their wordsIt just seems like common-sense risk management that the industry needs far more regulation, and probably some sort of enforceable slowdown.
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Their wordsI think AI has basically been hitting its marks so far as anticipated by people who are really worried about existential threats.