What Nate Silver thinks about humility

@nate-silver · 58 positions · 1 change of mind · On ppll ↗

Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight, author of The Signal and the Noise and On the Edge. Writes Silver Bulletin, where the predictions come with numbers and the numbers are later checked against what happened.

Nate Silver did not write this page.

We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.

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Only Nate Silver on humility. See everyone on humility

1 dated position, c. 2012, in their own words. Our reading of what Nate Silver has said — not written or endorsed by them.

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1. c. 2012

   Our readingWe have a prediction problem and need to admit it

   Their wordsWe need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem.

   ↗The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don't (The Penguin Press, 2012)archive.org All 8 from this book