What Nate Silver thinks about behavioural science
Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight, author of The Signal and the Noise and On the Edge. Writes Silver Bulletin, where the predictions come with numbers and the numbers are later checked against what happened.
Nate Silver did not write this page.
We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.
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1 dated position, 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what Nate Silver has said — not written or endorsed by them.
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Our readingA lot of fans tend to stick to their priors long after those priors have any practical use.
Their wordsA lot of fans, whether or not they even realize it, tend to stick to their priors long after those priors have any practical use.