Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.
← What the industrial revolution took 70 to 150 years to deliver, AI may deliver in 20 to 25.
17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 17 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under innovation
innovation
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under ambition
ambition
Everything filed under creativity
creativity
Everything filed under recursive self-improvement
recursive self-improvement
Everything filed under scaling laws
scaling laws Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: What the industrial revolution took 70 to 150 years to deliver, AI may deliver in 20 to 25. What the industrial revolution took 70 to 150 years to deliver, AI may deliver in 20 to 25. Last stated 11 months ago
12 Nov 2025
SN
Satya Nadella — holds since 2025-11-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb. — tap to centre the map on it AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb. Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level AI will arrive in 5 to 20 years with 90% confidence, not in the decades-to-centuries range previously assumed. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI will arrive in 5 to 20 years with 90% confidence, not in the decades-to-centuries range previously assumed. Last stated 3 years ago
12 Aug 2023
YB
Yoshua Bengio — holds since 2023-08-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Once AI can do AI research, a single year should deliver four or five years worth of AI progress. — tap to centre the map on it Once AI can do AI research, a single year should deliver four or five years worth of AI progress. Last stated 2 months ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Getting five years of AI progress out of one year takes roughly eight years of algorithmic progress, because the compute you would have had must be made up too. — tap to centre the map on it Getting five years of AI progress out of one year takes roughly eight years of algorithmic progress, because the compute you would have had must be made up too. Last stated 2 months ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI products should probably aim at where the models will be in two to three months, neither anchored in the present nor futuristic and unusable. — tap to centre the map on it AI products should probably aim at where the models will be in two to three months, neither anchored in the present nor futuristic and unusable. Last stated a month ago
10 Sept 2026
TS
Tara Seshan — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff. — tap to centre the map on it AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff. Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
TF
Tiago Forte — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The current ease of building software with AI will be seen as normal and commonplace within 12 to 24 months, though few realize it yet. — tap to centre the map on it The current ease of building software with AI will be seen as normal and commonplace within 12 to 24 months, though few realize it yet. Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
TY
Tynan — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A contest between five paid firms is not the way to get good creative work. — tap to centre the map on it A contest between five paid firms is not the way to get good creative work. Last stated 2 months ago
14 Aug 2026
SK
Susan Kare — holds since 2026-08-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A feeling of responsibility is probably the greatest inhibitor of creativity; great ideas came from people not paid to have them — tap to centre the map on it A feeling of responsibility is probably the greatest inhibitor of creativity; great ideas came from people not paid to have them
IA
Isaac Asimov — holds since c. 1959 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A free-wheeling, anarchic neural organization may be the secret of human creativity, at the price of susceptibility to mental illness — tap to centre the map on it A free-wheeling, anarchic neural organization may be the secret of human creativity, at the price of susceptibility to mental illness Last stated 14 years ago
8 Jan 2013
DD
Daniel Dennett — holds since 2013-01-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. Last stated 10 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JL
Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
PC
Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. — tap to centre the map on it "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. Last stated 9 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress — tap to centre the map on it A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress Last stated 4 years ago
4 Nov 2022
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2022-11-04 — tap for who they are
At the centre
What the industrial revolution took 70 to 150 years to deliver, AI may deliver in 20 to 25.
Holds Read this korrent →
AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb.
Holds
Human-level AI will arrive in 5 to 20 years with 90% confidence, not in the decades-to-centuries range previously assumed.
Holds
Once AI can do AI research, a single year should deliver four or five years worth of AI progress.
Holds
Getting five years of AI progress out of one year takes roughly eight years of algorithmic progress, because the compute you would have had must be made up too.
Holds
AI products should probably aim at where the models will be in two to three months, neither anchored in the present nor futuristic and unusable.
Holds
AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff.
Holds
The current ease of building software with AI will be seen as normal and commonplace within 12 to 24 months, though few realize it yet.
Holds
Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate.
No longer holds
A contest between five paid firms is not the way to get good creative work.
Holds
A feeling of responsibility is probably the greatest inhibitor of creativity; great ideas came from people not paid to have them
Last stated c. 1959
Holds
A free-wheeling, anarchic neural organization may be the secret of human creativity, at the price of susceptibility to mental illness
Holds
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Holds
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Holds
A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls.
Holds
"If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company.
Holds
A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us.
Holds
A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress
Holds