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← The world's roughly 193 sovereign nation-states are unlikely to remain a fixed number indefinitely; more will emerge.

17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 22 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under government government Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under data centers data centers Everything filed under humility humility Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: The world's roughly 193 sovereign nation-states are unlikely to remain a fixed number indefinitely; more will emerge. The world's roughly 193 sovereignnation-states are unlikely to remain afixed number indefinitely; more willemerge. Last stated 3 months ago 28 Jul 2026 BS Balaji Srinivasan — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: Continual learning will probably be solved within a year or two, but the trillions of dollars do not depend on solving it. — tap to centre the map on it Continual learning will probably besolved within a year or two, but thetrillions of dollars do not dependon solving it. Last stated 8 months ago 13 Feb 2026 DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: How big a system will eventually have to be is not worth speculating about; the only useful question is how long the one you have has left before it hits the wall. — tap to centre the map on it How big a system will eventuallyhave to be is not worth speculatingabout; the only useful question ishow long the one you have has leftbefore it hits the wall. Last stated 7 months ago 1 Apr 2026 TP Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Even a country of geniuses in a datacentre will not be an infinitely compelling product; it buys three to ten times growth a year, not instant adoption. — tap to centre the map on it Even a country of geniuses in adatacentre will not be an infinitelycompelling product; it buys three toten times growth a year, not instantadoption. Last stated 8 months ago 13 Feb 2026 DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: We will have a country of geniuses in a datacentre within ten years. — tap to centre the map on it We will have a country of geniusesin a datacentre within ten years. Last stated 8 months ago 13 Feb 2026 DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligenceis plausibly centuries or millenniaaway, and no trend supports ashorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI is most likelycenturies or millennia away, sothere is no reason to reorganiseone's work around its arrival. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: The Maya calendar never said the world ends in 2012, and their own texts talk about time after it. — tap to centre the map on it The Maya calendar never said theworld ends in 2012, and their owntexts talk about time after it. Last stated 2 years ago 30 Sept 2024 EB Ed Barnhart — holds since 2024-09-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is probably no bottom level of reality we will ever reach; physics will keep penetrating layers without ever arriving at the last one. — tap to centre the map on it There is probably no bottom level ofreality we will ever reach; physicswill keep penetrating layers withoutever arriving at the last one. Last stated 3 years ago 3 Dec 2023 LR Lisa Randall — holds since 2023-12-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A ban on self-recursive improvement in AI models would create a big incentive for some other parts of the world to invest a lot more in compute. — tap to centre the map on it A ban on self-recursive improvementin AI models would create a bigincentive for some other parts ofthe world to invest a lot more incompute. Last stated a month ago 22 Sept 2026 TC Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: A broken criminal justice institution survives precisely because it serves the people who run it. — tap to centre the map on it A broken criminal justiceinstitution survives preciselybecause it serves the people who runit. Last stated 2 months ago 1 Sept 2026 RB Radley Balko — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A candidate's political success is increasingly disconnected from their actual record of accomplishment. — tap to centre the map on it A candidate's political success isincreasingly disconnected from theiractual record of accomplishment. Last stated 2 months ago 31 Aug 2026 DD Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in advance; the diagnostic is mechanical rather than a matter of judgement. — tap to centre the map on it A government debt crisis ismeasurable and therefore visiblewell in advance; the diagnostic ismechanical rather than a matter ofjudgement. Last stated 2 months ago 21 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. — tap to centre the map on it A government's debt dynamics are ahousehold's or a company's, exceptthat it can print money and tax --and those two powers are what changethe ending. Last stated 2 months ago 21 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases. — tap to centre the map on it A longer average debt maturityprotects a government from temporaryinterest-rate spikes and gives itmore time to adjust to permanentrate increases. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A healthy democracy engages with protesters to hear their claims — tap to centre the map on it A healthy democracy engages withprotesters to hear their claims Last stated 5 years ago 9 Feb 2022 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2022-02-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: Authoritarian order is more natural to human societies than democracy, and may prove more durable over time. — tap to centre the map on it Authoritarian order is more naturalto human societies than democracy,and may prove more durable overtime. Last stated 8 months ago 1 Mar 2026 TG Tanner Greer — holds since 2026-03-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Chamberlain's choice at Munich was understandable rather than craven: no democratic leader in 1938 could have taken his country to war against 92% of its population. — tap to centre the map on it Chamberlain's choice at Munich wasunderstandable rather than craven:no democratic leader in 1938 couldhave taken his country to waragainst 92% of its population. Last stated a year ago 24 May 2025 JH James Holland — holds since 2025-05-24 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2008 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre The world's roughly 193 sovereign nation-states are unlikely to remain a fixed number indefinitely; more will emerge. Last stated 28 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago Holds Balaji Srinivasan Read this korrent →