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← Continual learning will probably be solved within a year or two, but…

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8 connected korrents · 8 moments on record from 1 Oct 2024 to 26 Aug 2026.

Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Continual learning willprobably be solved within ayear or two, but the… DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 Agents will take a decade rather than a year, because today's models are cognitively lacking in too many independent ways at once. Agents will take adecade rather than a… AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 Large language models could still plateau, and that possibility should be held open even though no evidence of it has appeared. Large language modelscould still plateau… DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 Future AI, say in fifteen years, will not be built on the LLM stack; it will have to move to symbolic learning. Future AI, say infifteen years, will not… FC François Chollet — holds since 2026-08-07 Leaning on AI trades knowledge for speed, and the price may be a generation of programmers in which juniors stay juniors forever. Leaning on AI tradesknowledge for speed… TH ThePrimeagen — holds since 2025-03-22 Even a country of geniuses in a datacentre will not be an infinitely compelling product; it buys three to ten times growth a year, not instant adoption. Even a country ofgeniuses in a… DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 There will be no overnight intelligence explosion, because a model's best work takes so much test-time compute that time itself is the bottleneck. There will be noovernight intelligence… NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 Broad deployment of AI that can learn on the job will very likely produce rapid economic growth for some period of time. Broad deployment of AIthat can learn on the… IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 Within a couple of decades there will not be many people who can write, because AI has removed the pressure to learn. Within a couple ofdecades there will not… PG Paul Graham — holds since 2024-10-01
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