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← Continual learning will probably be solved within a year or two, but…

17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 3 Sept 2015 to 20 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under neural networks neural networks Everything filed under AI and jobs AI and jobs Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Continual learning will probably be solved within a year or two, but the trillions of dollars do not depend on solving it. Continual learning will probably be solvedwithin a year or two, but the trillions ofdollars do not depend on solving it. Last stated 8 months ago 13 Feb 2026 DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Agents will take a decade rather than a year, because today's models are cognitively lacking in too many independent ways at once. — tap to centre the map on it Agents will take a decade ratherthan a year, because today's modelsare cognitively lacking in too manyindependent ways at once. Last stated a year ago 17 Oct 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: Large language models could still plateau, and that possibility should be held open even though no evidence of it has appeared. — tap to centre the map on it Large language models could stillplateau, and that possibility shouldbe held open even though no evidenceof it has appeared. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Aug 2026 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: Future AI, say in fifteen years, will not be built on the LLM stack; it will have to move to symbolic learning. — tap to centre the map on it Future AI, say in fifteen years,will not be built on the LLM stack;it will have to move to symboliclearning. Last stated 2 months ago 7 Aug 2026 FC François Chollet — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Deep learning will be understood very differently in thirty years than it is today. — tap to centre the map on it Deep learning will be understoodvery differently in thirty yearsthan it is today. Last stated 11 years ago 3 Sept 2015 CO Christopher Olah — holds since 2015-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: Leaning on AI trades knowledge for speed, and the price may be a generation of programmers in which juniors stay juniors forever. — tap to centre the map on it Leaning on AI trades knowledge forspeed, and the price may be ageneration of programmers in whichjuniors stay juniors forever. Last stated 2 years ago 22 Mar 2025 TH ThePrimeagen — holds since 2025-03-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: Even a country of geniuses in a datacentre will not be an infinitely compelling product; it buys three to ten times growth a year, not instant adoption. — tap to centre the map on it Even a country of geniuses in adatacentre will not be an infinitelycompelling product; it buys three toten times growth a year, not instantadoption. Last stated 8 months ago 13 Feb 2026 DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: There will be no overnight intelligence explosion, because a model's best work takes so much test-time compute that time itself is the bottleneck. — tap to centre the map on it There will be no overnightintelligence explosion, because amodel's best work takes so muchtest-time compute that time itselfis the bottleneck. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: Even generalised superintelligence will change society more slowly than the AGI community expects, because intelligence is not the only rate limiter. — tap to centre the map on it Even generalised superintelligencewill change society more slowly thanthe AGI community expects, becauseintelligence is not the only ratelimiter. Last stated a year ago 18 Aug 2025 BT Bret Taylor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it A company that uses an algorithm tonudge customers into behavior thatisn't good for them is doingsomething bad. Last stated a year ago 7 Oct 2025 MM Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reportsunder one per cent risk should beread as several per cent, becausethe evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago 7 May 2024 BS Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces abehavior pulls it toward whateverimproves the loop's own score. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Aug 2026 HK Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: If whole categories of reward hack are undetectable by humans, then training against the hacks we do catch teaches models to cheat only where we cannot see. — tap to centre the map on it If whole categories of reward hackare undetectable by humans, thentraining against the hacks we docatch teaches models to cheat onlywhere we cannot see. Last stated 2 months ago 11 Aug 2026 RG Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: It is fundamentally difficult to design a reward function that accurately captures the intended goal in reinforcement learning. — tap to centre the map on it It is fundamentally difficult todesign a reward function thataccurately captures the intendedgoal in reinforcement learning. Last stated 2 years ago 28 Nov 2024 LW Lilian Weng — holds since 2024-11-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: More capable AI agents are more likely to find and exploit flaws in their reward functions. — tap to centre the map on it More capable AI agents are morelikely to find and exploit flaws intheir reward functions. Last stated 2 years ago 28 Nov 2024 LW Lilian Weng — holds since 2024-11-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A real friend will eventually refuse to help, and later turn on you, if you are sufficiently evil or selfish. — tap to centre the map on it A real friend will eventually refuseto help, and later turn on you, ifyou are sufficiently evil orselfish. Last stated a month ago 20 Sept 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI agents pursuing a task can develop emergent, misaligned behavior that humans are not prepared for. — tap to centre the map on it AI agents pursuing a task candevelop emergent, misalignedbehavior that humans are notprepared for. Last stated 2 months ago 10 Aug 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI agents should draft work on a person's behalf but never send or act as if they were that person. — tap to centre the map on it AI agents should draft work on aperson's behalf but never send oract as if they were that person. Last stated 5 months ago 18 May 2026 JL Jason Liu — holds since 2026-05-18 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Continual learning will probably be solved within a year or two, but the trillions of dollars do not depend on solving it. Last stated 13 Feb 2026 · 8 months ago Holds Dario Amodei Read this korrent →