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← Deep learning will be understood very differently in thirty years than it is today.

17 connected korrents · 17 moments on record from 7 Sept 2008 to 12 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under OpenAI OpenAI Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under neural networks neural networks Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under AI and human skill AI and human skill Everything filed under HuggingFace HuggingFace Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Deep learning will be understood very differently in thirty years than it is today. Deep learning will be understood verydifferently in thirty years than it istoday. Last stated 11 years ago 3 Sept 2015 CO Christopher Olah — holds since 2015-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: Future AI, say in fifteen years, will not be built on the LLM stack; it will have to move to symbolic learning. — tap to centre the map on it Future AI, say in fifteen years,will not be built on the LLM stack;it will have to move to symboliclearning. Last stated a month ago 7 Aug 2026 FC François Chollet — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff. — tap to centre the map on it AI's transformation of society willunfold gradually over decades, notin a single moment of takeoff. Last stated 2 months ago 15 Jul 2026 TF Tiago Forte — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligenceis plausibly centuries or millenniaaway, and no trend supports ashorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Deep learning generalises badly, and catastrophic interference with what a network already knew is the proof of it. — tap to centre the map on it Deep learning generalises badly, andcatastrophic interference with whata network already knew is the proofof it. Last stated 12 months ago 26 Sept 2025 RS Richard Sutton — holds since 2025-09-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: Continual learning will probably be solved within a year or two, but the trillions of dollars do not depend on solving it. — tap to centre the map on it Continual learning will probably besolved within a year or two, but thetrillions of dollars do not dependon solving it. Last stated 7 months ago 13 Feb 2026 DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: The knowledge a model soaks up in pre-training is holding it back; what we actually want is the intelligence with the knowledge stripped out. — tap to centre the map on it The knowledge a model soaks up inpre-training is holding it back;what we actually want is theintelligence with the knowledgestripped out. Last stated 11 months ago 17 Oct 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming. — tap to centre the map on it No one fully understands theconsequences of how capable AI isbecoming. Last stated 3 weeks ago 1 Sept 2026 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Within a couple of decades there will not be many people who can write, because AI has removed the pressure to learn. — tap to centre the map on it Within a couple of decades therewill not be many people who canwrite, because AI has removed thepressure to learn. Last stated 2 years ago 1 Oct 2024 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2024-10-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as anonprofit and bolt a for-profit armon later, whatever OpenAI's ownhistory suggests. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing aplausible-sounding name is the samephenomenon as a large oneconfidently stating a false fact. Last stated 7 months ago 12 Feb 2026 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. — tap to centre the map on it Advertising was a necessary phasefor the internet but a momentaryindustry, and an AI people pay foris better because they know theanswers are not influenced byadvertisers. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supplychain should just buy the index —which works only in the world whereAI ends up commoditised rather thanconcentrated. Last stated 4 months ago 4 Jun 2026 AI Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is no substitutefor a well-specified conventionalalgorithm, so it cannot simply bedropped into a complex problem andtrusted. Last stated a year ago 7 Jun 2025 GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. — tap to centre the map on it A poor country should prioritiseowning a piece of AI over retrainingits workers, but it should not beteverything on that. Last stated 4 months ago 4 Jun 2026 PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: By 2027, open-weight AI models more powerful than today's frontier systems will be downloadable by any country or well-resourced non-state group. — tap to centre the map on it By 2027, open-weight AI models morepowerful than today's frontiersystems will be downloadable by anycountry or well-resourced non-stategroup. Last stated a month ago 19 Aug 2026 DT Derek Thompson — holds since 2026-08-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: Frontier AI labs such as Anthropic likely have had internal security incidents similar to OpenAI's HuggingFace attack that were never publicly disclosed. — tap to centre the map on it Frontier AI labs such as Anthropiclikely have had internal securityincidents similar to OpenAI'sHuggingFace attack that were neverpublicly disclosed. Last stated 3 weeks ago 31 Aug 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: OpenAI either could not find their agents' RubyGems attack in their logs after other incidents or knew and chose not to tell RubyGems, and both are bad. — tap to centre the map on it OpenAI either could not find theiragents' RubyGems attack in theirlogs after other incidents or knewand chose not to tell RubyGems, andboth are bad. Last stated a week ago 12 Sept 2026 SW Simon Willison — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2008 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone on record holding the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre Deep learning will be understood very differently in thirty years than it is today. Last stated 3 Sept 2015 · 11 years ago Holds Christopher Olah Read this korrent →