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← How big a system will eventually have to be is not worth speculating…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 5 Nov 2019 to 18 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under robotics
robotics
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under measuring intelligence
measuring intelligence
Everything filed under Anthropic
Anthropic
Everything filed under software quality
software quality
Everything filed under startups
startups
Everything filed under design
design Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: How big a system will eventually have to be is not worth speculating about; the only useful question is how long the one you have has left before it hits the wall. How big a system will eventually have to be is not worth speculating about; the only useful question is how long the one you have has left before it hits the wall. Last stated 7 months ago
1 Apr 2026
TP
Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Scaling what we already have, with no further breakthroughs, will be enough to reach AGI. — tap to centre the map on it Scaling what we already have, with no further breakthroughs, will be enough to reach AGI. Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Asking when AGI will arrive is a poorly formed question; the answerable question is when a system will be able to do a particular capability. — tap to centre the map on it Asking when AGI will arrive is a poorly formed question; the answerable question is when a system will be able to do a particular capability. Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The useful question about robot data is not how much is needed to finish but how much is needed to start a self-sustaining flywheel. — tap to centre the map on it The useful question about robot data is not how much is needed to finish but how much is needed to start a self-sustaining flywheel. Last stated a year ago
12 Sept 2025
SL
Sergey Levine — holds since 2025-09-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The interesting question is not what the next model will be able to do, but what the models already released can do that nobody has worked out yet. — tap to centre the map on it The interesting question is not what the next model will be able to do, but what the models already released can do that nobody has worked out yet. Last stated 7 months ago
19 Mar 2026
SW
Simon Willison — holds since 2026-03-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Repeated rewrites are the correct answer under fast growth, because a system specified to scale forever would take so long to build that the company would die before it shipped. — tap to centre the map on it Repeated rewrites are the correct answer under fast growth, because a system specified to scale forever would take so long to build that the company would die before it shipped. Last stated 7 months ago
1 Apr 2026
TP
Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The things worth building a business around are the ones that will not have changed in ten years, and those are identifiable in advance. — tap to centre the map on it The things worth building a business around are the ones that will not have changed in ten years, and those are identifiable in advance. Last stated 3 years ago
14 Dec 2023
JB
Jeff Bezos — holds since 2023-12-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: You can build anything now, but not everything is worth building; what matters is whether ideas take a shape somebody else would want to use. — tap to centre the map on it You can build anything now, but not everything is worth building; what matters is whether ideas take a shape somebody else would want to use. Last stated 2 months ago
25 Aug 2026
JB
John Bai — holds since 2026-08-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Even a country of geniuses in a datacentre will not be an infinitely compelling product; it buys three to ten times growth a year, not instant adoption. — tap to centre the map on it Even a country of geniuses in a datacentre will not be an infinitely compelling product; it buys three to ten times growth a year, not instant adoption. Last stated 8 months ago
13 Feb 2026
DA
Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A highly dynamic economy that cheaply mass-produces robots may increase rather than decrease the risk of Malthusian resource dilemmas. — tap to centre the map on it A highly dynamic economy that cheaply mass-produces robots may increase rather than decrease the risk of Malthusian resource dilemmas. Last stated 3 years ago
1 Oct 2023
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A humanoid robot is the wrong tool on a factory floor, because a machine specialised in the task beats it. — tap to centre the map on it A humanoid robot is the wrong tool on a factory floor, because a machine specialised in the task beats it. Last stated 2 years ago
6 Apr 2025
MH
Molson Hart — holds since 2025-04-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A physical AI agent has to be safe on day one, because you cannot ship something merely good enough and let users find the edge cases. — tap to centre the map on it A physical AI agent has to be safe on day one, because you cannot ship something merely good enough and let users find the edge cases. Last stated 3 months ago
3 Aug 2026
DD
Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. Last stated a year ago
7 Oct 2025
MM
Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago
7 May 2024
BS
Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
HK
Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. — tap to centre the map on it A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. Last stated a month ago
15 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them. — tap to centre the map on it Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them. Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
CD
Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. — tap to centre the map on it Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. Last stated 7 years ago
5 Nov 2019
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are
At the centre
How big a system will eventually have to be is not worth speculating about; the only useful question is how long the one you have has left before it hits the wall.
Holds Read this korrent →
Scaling what we already have, with no further breakthroughs, will be enough to reach AGI.
Holds
Asking when AGI will arrive is a poorly formed question; the answerable question is when a system will be able to do a particular capability.
Holds
The useful question about robot data is not how much is needed to finish but how much is needed to start a self-sustaining flywheel.
Holds
The interesting question is not what the next model will be able to do, but what the models already released can do that nobody has worked out yet.
Holds
Repeated rewrites are the correct answer under fast growth, because a system specified to scale forever would take so long to build that the company would die before it shipped.
Holds
The things worth building a business around are the ones that will not have changed in ten years, and those are identifiable in advance.
Holds
You can build anything now, but not everything is worth building; what matters is whether ideas take a shape somebody else would want to use.
Holds
Even a country of geniuses in a datacentre will not be an infinitely compelling product; it buys three to ten times growth a year, not instant adoption.
Holds
A highly dynamic economy that cheaply mass-produces robots may increase rather than decrease the risk of Malthusian resource dilemmas.
Holds
A humanoid robot is the wrong tool on a factory floor, because a machine specialised in the task beats it.
Holds
A physical AI agent has to be safe on day one, because you cannot ship something merely good enough and let users find the edge cases.
Holds
A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad.
Holds
A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
Holds
A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score.
Holds
A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve.
Holds
Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them.
Holds
Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect.
Holds