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← The most surprising thing about the last three years is not the…
17 connected korrents · 16 moments on record from 7 Sept 2008 to 18 Aug 2026.
Everything filed under mathematics
mathematics
Everything filed under innovation
innovation
Everything filed under AI and human skill
AI and human skill
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physics
Everything filed under AI and science
AI and science
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Read this korrent: The most surprising thing about the last three years is not the technology but how few people recognise we are near the end of the exponential.
The most surprising thing about the last three years is not the technology but how few people recognise we are near the end of the exponential.
Last stated 7 months ago
13 Feb 2026
DA
Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The thing worth finding is the exponential with the steepest curve that will run the longest — decades ago that was Moore’s law, and today it is AI progress. — tap to centre the map on it
The thing worth finding is the exponential with the steepest curve that will run the longest — decades ago that was Moore’s law, and today it is AI progress.
Last stated a month ago
29 Jul 2026
AW
Alexandr Wang — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: It would be disappointing and surprising if the next five years of AI progress in mathematics produced no economically valuable improvements traceable to it. — tap to centre the map on it
It would be disappointing and surprising if the next five years of AI progress in mathematics produced no economically valuable improvements traceable to it.
Last stated 2 months ago
30 Jun 2026
GS
Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The case for a technological slowdown since about 1970 is not convincing. — tap to centre the map on it
The case for a technological slowdown since about 1970 is not convincing.
Last stated 6 years ago
23 Jan 2021
JC
Jason Crawford — no longer holds since 2021-01-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. — tap to centre the map on it
We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it.
Last stated 11 months ago
17 Oct 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The big companies are already dead and simply do not know it yet; every innovation from here comes from the fringes. — tap to centre the map on it
The big companies are already dead and simply do not know it yet; every innovation from here comes from the fringes.
Last stated 6 months ago
11 Mar 2026
SY
Steve Yegge — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Within a couple of decades there will not be many people who can write, because AI has removed the pressure to learn. — tap to centre the map on it
Within a couple of decades there will not be many people who can write, because AI has removed the pressure to learn.
Last stated 2 years ago
1 Oct 2024
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2024-10-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is probably no bottom level of reality we will ever reach; physics will keep penetrating layers without ever arriving at the last one. — tap to centre the map on it
There is probably no bottom level of reality we will ever reach; physics will keep penetrating layers without ever arriving at the last one.
Last stated 3 years ago
3 Dec 2023
LR
Lisa Randall — holds since 2023-12-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it
Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate.
Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A competitor six months or a year behind the frontier can stay close, because the cost of AI falls more than tenfold every year. — tap to centre the map on it
A competitor six months or a year behind the frontier can stay close, because the cost of AI falls more than tenfold every year.
Last stated 8 months ago
8 Jan 2026
JH
Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-01-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country cannot have radical technological breakthroughs and also refuse to tolerate uncomfortably rich people, because the financial system it resents is what funds the innovation. — tap to centre the map on it
A country cannot have radical technological breakthroughs and also refuse to tolerate uncomfortably rich people, because the financial system it resents is what funds the innovation.
Last stated a year ago
13 Aug 2025
KJ
Keyu Jin — holds since 2025-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model company may face a winner's curse: it does all the hard innovation and is then one copy away from being commoditised. — tap to centre the map on it
A model company may face a winner's curse: it does all the hard innovation and is then one copy away from being commoditised.
Last stated 10 months ago
12 Nov 2025
SN
Satya Nadella — holds since 2025-11-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A proof and an explanation are different things, and a theorem can stay an unsolved expository problem long after it is proved. — tap to centre the map on it
A proof and an explanation are different things, and a theorem can stay an unsolved expository problem long after it is proved.
Last stated 2 months ago
30 Jun 2026
GS
Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent. — tap to centre the map on it
A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent.
Last stated 2 months ago
30 Jun 2026
GS
Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Academic credentials — grades, major, the prestige of the degree — barely matter to industry hiring. — tap to centre the map on it
Academic credentials — grades, major, the prestige of the degree — barely matter to industry hiring.
Last stated 15 years ago
28 Oct 2011
PM
Patrick McKenzie — holds since 2011-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI could compete with human mathematicians once it acquires a mathematical sense of smell: knowing which way of splitting a problem makes it easier rather than harder. — tap to centre the map on it
AI could compete with human mathematicians once it acquires a mathematical sense of smell: knowing which way of splitting a problem makes it easier rather than harder.
Last stated a year ago
14 Jun 2025
TT
Terence Tao — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI in chess and mathematics does not explain anything; it says which position is better, and humans build the theory from that. — tap to centre the map on it
AI in chess and mathematics does not explain anything; it says which position is better, and humans build the theory from that.
Last stated a year ago
14 Jun 2025
LF
Lex Fridman — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will transform how scientific discovery is done, and within two or three years a working scientist's job will already look dramatically different. — tap to centre the map on it
AI will transform how scientific discovery is done, and within two or three years a working scientist's job will already look dramatically different.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
18 Aug 2026
MK
Michael Kratsios — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2008 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone on record holding the claim — tap it for who they are faded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind
At the centre
The most surprising thing about the last three years is not the technology but how few people recognise we are near the end of the exponential.
Last stated 13 Feb 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds DA Dario Amodei
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
The thing worth finding is the exponential with the steepest curve that will run the longest — decades ago that was Moore’s law, and today it is AI progress.
Last stated 29 Jul 2026 · a month ago
Holds AW Alexandr Wang
Similar wording
It would be disappointing and surprising if the next five years of AI progress in mathematics produced no economically valuable improvements traceable to it.
Last stated 30 Jun 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds GS Grant Sanderson
Similar wording
The case for a technological slowdown since about 1970 is not convincing.
Last stated 23 Jan 2021 · 6 years ago
No longer holds JC Jason Crawford
Similar wording
We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it.
Last stated 17 Oct 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds Andrej Karpathy
Similar wording
The big companies are already dead and simply do not know it yet; every innovation from here comes from the fringes.
Last stated 11 Mar 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds SY Steve Yegge
Similar wording
Within a couple of decades there will not be many people who can write, because AI has removed the pressure to learn.
Last stated 1 Oct 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Paul Graham
Similar wording
There is probably no bottom level of reality we will ever reach; physics will keep penetrating layers without ever arriving at the last one.
Last stated 3 Dec 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds LR Lisa Randall
Similar wording
Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate.
Last stated 13 Dec 2023 · 3 years ago
No longer holds SA Scott Aaronson
Same subject: innovation
A competitor six months or a year behind the frontier can stay close, because the cost of AI falls more than tenfold every year.
Last stated 8 Jan 2026 · 8 months ago
Holds JH Jensen Huang
Same subject: innovation
A country cannot have radical technological breakthroughs and also refuse to tolerate uncomfortably rich people, because the financial system it resents is what funds the innovation.
Last stated 13 Aug 2025 · a year ago
Holds KJ Keyu Jin
Same subject: innovation
A model company may face a winner's curse: it does all the hard innovation and is then one copy away from being commoditised.
Last stated 12 Nov 2025 · 10 months ago
Holds SN Satya Nadella
Same subject: mathematics
A proof and an explanation are different things, and a theorem can stay an unsolved expository problem long after it is proved.
Last stated 30 Jun 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds GS Grant Sanderson
Same subject: mathematics
A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent.
Last stated 30 Jun 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds GS Grant Sanderson
Same subject: mathematics
Academic credentials — grades, major, the prestige of the degree — barely matter to industry hiring.
Last stated 28 Oct 2011 · 15 years ago
Holds PM Patrick McKenzie
Same subject: AI and science
AI could compete with human mathematicians once it acquires a mathematical sense of smell: knowing which way of splitting a problem makes it easier rather than harder.
Last stated 14 Jun 2025 · a year ago
Holds TT Terence Tao
Same subject: AI and science
AI in chess and mathematics does not explain anything; it says which position is better, and humans build the theory from that.
Last stated 14 Jun 2025 · a year ago
Holds LF Lex Fridman
Same subject: AI and science
AI will transform how scientific discovery is done, and within two or three years a working scientist's job will already look dramatically different.
Last stated 18 Aug 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds MK Michael Kratsios