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← The case for a technological slowdown since about 1970 is not convincing.

17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 1 Jan 2014 to 11 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under innovation innovation Everything filed under market efficiency market efficiency Everything filed under aviation aviation Everything filed under semiconductors semiconductors Everything filed under AI and jobs AI and jobs Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: The case for a technological slowdown since about 1970 is not convincing. The case for a technological slowdownsince about 1970 is not convincing. Last stated 6 years ago 23 Jan 2021 JC Jason Crawford — no longer holds since 2021-01-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: Technological progress did not slow down from 1970 to the present, compared with its pre-1970 speed — tap to centre the map on it Technological progress did not slowdown from 1970 to the present,compared with its pre-1970 speed Last stated 7 years ago 19 Nov 2019 SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2014-01-01 — tap for who they are SA Scott Alexander — no longer holds since 2019-11-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: Technology has made markets less efficient at long horizons rather than more efficient. — tap to centre the map on it Technology has made markets lessefficient at long horizons ratherthan more efficient. Last stated 2 years ago 3 Sept 2024 CA Cliff Asness — holds since 2024-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: Supersonic flight is the most obvious example of technological stagnation there is: we fly slower today than the Concorde did. — tap to centre the map on it Supersonic flight is the mostobvious example of technologicalstagnation there is: we fly slowertoday than the Concorde did. Last stated 2 months ago 18 Aug 2026 MK Michael Kratsios — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: The bottleneck in AI is no longer the progress of the models but their diffusion — if the models froze today, the economy would still take decades to absorb what already exists. — tap to centre the map on it The bottleneck in AI is no longerthe progress of the models but theirdiffusion — if the models frozetoday, the economy would still takedecades to absorb what alreadyexists. Last stated 3 months ago 29 Jul 2026 AW Alexandr Wang — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: Semiconductor infrastructure has not kept up with AI's growth, and closing that gap needs capacity built in unconventional ways. — tap to centre the map on it Semiconductor infrastructure has notkept up with AI's growth, andclosing that gap needs capacitybuilt in unconventional ways. Last stated 4 months ago 18 Jun 2026 LT Lip-Bu Tan — holds since 2026-06-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI does not appear to be driving the recent decline in the U.S. college wage premium. — tap to centre the map on it AI does not appear to be driving therecent decline in the U.S. collegewage premium. Last stated 2 months ago 2 Sept 2026 TC Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-09-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: Technology has changed, but how companies are run has not. — tap to centre the map on it Technology has changed, but howcompanies are run has not. Last stated 9 years ago 25 Jan 2018 BC Brian Chesky — holds since 2018-01-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: People with business theses based on the idea that we are not yet at a certain technological threshold will be disrupted by AI's exponential progress faster than they think. — tap to centre the map on it People with business theses based onthe idea that we are not yet at acertain technological threshold willbe disrupted by AI's exponentialprogress faster than they think. Last stated 2 weeks ago 11 Oct 2026 PL Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-10-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible. — tap to centre the map on it "Lots of anonymous people worked itout by trial and error" is never thereal story of an invention: oncloser investigation, identifiablepeople always turn out to beresponsible. Last stated 3 years ago 25 Oct 2023 AH Anton Howes — holds since 2023-10-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. — tap to centre the map on it A business can have market fit, realadvantages, and sustained effortbehind a hard product and still failif it doesn't give customers astrong enough reason to switch fromwhat they already use. Last stated 5 months ago 2 Jun 2026 JJ Justin Jackson — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves. — tap to centre the map on it A capability existing is not thesame as a capability being absorbed:how fast a technology changes theworld is not set by how fast thetechnology improves. Last stated 3 months ago 21 Jul 2026 RT Ruxandra Teslo — holds since 2026-07-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A person who works from a recipe, even an innovative one, starts from something that already exists. — tap to centre the map on it A person who works from a recipe,even an innovative one, starts fromsomething that already exists. Last stated 11 years ago 6 Nov 2015 TU Tim Urban — holds since 2015-11-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: A system trained only on what is already known cannot produce genuine surprises, because a known thing stops being a surprise. — tap to centre the map on it A system trained only on what isalready known cannot produce genuinesurprises, because a known thingstops being a surprise. Last stated a month ago 18 Sept 2026 CD Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A too-faithful remake of an existing work squanders creative effort that could have made something new. — tap to centre the map on it A too-faithful remake of an existingwork squanders creative effort thatcould have made something new. Last stated 2 months ago 4 Sept 2026 MW Matt Webb — holds since 2026-09-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A minor bust in the AI industry would be a good thing, not a bad one. — tap to centre the map on it A minor bust in the AI industrywould be a good thing, not a badone. Last stated a month ago 18 Sept 2026 RS Robin Sloan — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI capability progress in a given skill tends to arrive as a sudden phase change rather than as steady improvement. — tap to centre the map on it AI capability progress in a givenskill tends to arrive as a suddenphase change rather than as steadyimprovement. Last stated 2 months ago 24 Aug 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI represents the largest change to society in a very long time, perhaps ever. — tap to centre the map on it AI represents the largest change tosociety in a very long time, perhapsever. Last stated 6 months ago 10 Apr 2026 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2026-04-10 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2014 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre The case for a technological slowdown since about 1970 is not convincing. Last stated 23 Jan 2021 · 6 years ago No longer holds Jason Crawford Read this korrent →