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← An obvious technological shift can take so long to arrive that…
17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 15 Jul 2021 to 26 Sept 2026.
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climate change Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: An obvious technological shift can take so long to arrive that observers give up expecting it, only for it to happen right after they stop watching for it. An obvious technological shift can take so long to arrive that observers give up expecting it, only for it to happen right after they stop watching for it. Last stated a week ago
23 Sept 2026
HD
Horace Dediu — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Expecting technology to keep accelerating is a bias of our particular moment; for most of human history the tools did not change at all. — tap to centre the map on it Expecting technology to keep accelerating is a bias of our particular moment; for most of human history the tools did not change at all. Last stated 2 years ago
22 Dec 2024
AF
Adam Frank — holds since 2024-12-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Once a technology is released into the world, it becomes very difficult to control. — tap to centre the map on it Once a technology is released into the world, it becomes very difficult to control. Last stated 7 months ago
28 Feb 2026
JS
Jasmine Sun — holds since 2026-02-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Another platform shift, not a break in history: the new technology will be built on for ten or fifteen years, then something else will replace it. — tap to centre the map on it Another platform shift, not a break in history: the new technology will be built on for ten or fifteen years, then something else will replace it. Last stated a year ago
2 Sept 2025
BE
Benedict Evans — holds since 2025-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: In a fast-changing industry, anyone genuinely keeping up will change their mind as the developments happen. — tap to centre the map on it In a fast-changing industry, anyone genuinely keeping up will change their mind as the developments happen. Last stated 4 weeks ago
7 Sept 2026
GO
Gergely Orosz — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The pace of technological advancement needs to be slowed until its implications are understood. — tap to centre the map on it The pace of technological advancement needs to be slowed until its implications are understood. Last stated 6 days ago
26 Sept 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-09-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Change from already-capable AI is inevitable no matter how the frontier is paced, though it will be uneven and not all at once. — tap to centre the map on it Change from already-capable AI is inevitable no matter how the frontier is paced, though it will be uneven and not all at once. Last stated 2 weeks ago
18 Sept 2026
EM
Ethan Mollick — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Physical systems change abruptly past a threshold rather than declining gradually — tap to centre the map on it Physical systems change abruptly past a threshold rather than declining gradually Last stated a month ago
25 Aug 2026
BM
Bill McKibben — holds since 2026-08-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Technological determinism is only believable low down the tech tree; higher up we already choose which paths not to take. — tap to centre the map on it Technological determinism is only believable low down the tech tree; higher up we already choose which paths not to take. Last stated 6 months ago
7 Apr 2026
MN
Michael Nielsen — holds since 2026-04-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. Last stated 9 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JL
Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved. — tap to centre the map on it A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved. Last stated 2 months ago
10 Aug 2026
FL
Fei-Fei Li — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A compound's AI origin story is not by itself a reason to expect it to do better in the clinic. — tap to centre the map on it A compound's AI origin story is not by itself a reason to expect it to do better in the clinic. Last stated 2 years ago
13 May 2024
DL
Derek Lowe — holds since 2024-05-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A computational discovery platform does not make a biotech fast, because the thousand other steps of drug development are still the bottleneck. — tap to centre the map on it A computational discovery platform does not make a biotech fast, because the thousand other steps of drug development are still the bottleneck. Last stated 2 years ago
17 Sept 2024
AT
Alex Telford — holds since 2024-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A computational method can regularly predict protein structures with atomic accuracy even when no similar structure is known. — tap to centre the map on it A computational method can regularly predict protein structures with atomic accuracy even when no similar structure is known. Last stated 5 years ago
15 Jul 2021
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2021-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. — tap to centre the map on it "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. Last stated 8 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it. — tap to centre the map on it A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it. Last stated 2 years ago
23 Mar 2025
RV
Rahul Vohra — holds since 2025-03-23 — tap for who they are
At the centre
An obvious technological shift can take so long to arrive that observers give up expecting it, only for it to happen right after they stop watching for it.
Holds Read this korrent →
Expecting technology to keep accelerating is a bias of our particular moment; for most of human history the tools did not change at all.
Holds
Once a technology is released into the world, it becomes very difficult to control.
Holds
Another platform shift, not a break in history: the new technology will be built on for ten or fifteen years, then something else will replace it.
Holds
In a fast-changing industry, anyone genuinely keeping up will change their mind as the developments happen.
Holds
The pace of technological advancement needs to be slowed until its implications are understood.
Holds
Change from already-capable AI is inevitable no matter how the frontier is paced, though it will be uneven and not all at once.
Holds
Physical systems change abruptly past a threshold rather than declining gradually
Holds
Technological determinism is only believable low down the tech tree; higher up we already choose which paths not to take.
Holds
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Holds
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Holds
A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved.
Holds
A compound's AI origin story is not by itself a reason to expect it to do better in the clinic.
Holds
A computational discovery platform does not make a biotech fast, because the thousand other steps of drug development are still the bottleneck.
Holds
A computational method can regularly predict protein structures with atomic accuracy even when no similar structure is known.
Holds
"If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company.
Holds
A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us.
Holds
A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it.
Holds