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← Expecting technology to keep accelerating is a bias of our particular…

17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 8 Jan 2013 to 23 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under innovation innovation Everything filed under ambition ambition Everything filed under creativity creativity Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under AI and jobs AI and jobs Everything filed under robotics robotics Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Expecting technology to keep accelerating is a bias of our particular moment; for most of human history the tools did not change at all. Expecting technology to keep acceleratingis a bias of our particular moment; formost of human history the tools did notchange at all. Last stated 2 years ago 22 Dec 2024 AF Adam Frank — holds since 2024-12-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: An obvious technological shift can take so long to arrive that observers give up expecting it, only for it to happen right after they stop watching for it. — tap to centre the map on it An obvious technological shift cantake so long to arrive thatobservers give up expecting it, onlyfor it to happen right after theystop watching for it. Last stated 4 weeks ago 23 Sept 2026 HD Horace Dediu — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: The date that matters for robotics is not when the technology is finished but when the data flywheel starts turning. — tap to centre the map on it The date that matters for roboticsis not when the technology isfinished but when the data flywheelstarts turning. Last stated a year ago 12 Sept 2025 SL Sergey Levine — holds since 2025-09-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: Another platform shift, not a break in history: the new technology will be built on for ten or fifteen years, then something else will replace it. — tap to centre the map on it Another platform shift, not a breakin history: the new technology willbe built on for ten or fifteenyears, then something else willreplace it. Last stated a year ago 2 Sept 2025 BE Benedict Evans — holds since 2025-09-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: The share of income spent on things only a human can do will stay negligible, because new things to buy keep being invented faster than we satiate on the old ones. — tap to centre the map on it The share of income spent on thingsonly a human can do will staynegligible, because new things tobuy keep being invented faster thanwe satiate on the old ones. Last stated 5 months ago 4 Jun 2026 PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: What matters in judging technological progress is the trend over time, not the state at any single moment. — tap to centre the map on it What matters in judgingtechnological progress is the trendover time, not the state at anysingle moment. Last stated 7 months ago 21 Mar 2026 TG Tanner Greer — holds since 2026-03-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: Technological progress did not slow down from 1970 to the present, compared with its pre-1970 speed — tap to centre the map on it Technological progress did not slowdown from 1970 to the present,compared with its pre-1970 speed Last stated 7 years ago 19 Nov 2019 SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2014-01-01 — tap for who they are SA Scott Alexander — no longer holds since 2019-11-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: Technological determinism is only believable low down the tech tree; higher up we already choose which paths not to take. — tap to centre the map on it Technological determinism is onlybelievable low down the tech tree;higher up we already choose whichpaths not to take. Last stated 7 months ago 7 Apr 2026 MN Michael Nielsen — holds since 2026-04-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: In a fast-changing industry, anyone genuinely keeping up will change their mind as the developments happen. — tap to centre the map on it In a fast-changing industry, anyonegenuinely keeping up will changetheir mind as the developmentshappen. Last stated a month ago 7 Sept 2026 GO Gergely Orosz — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A contest between five paid firms is not the way to get good creative work. — tap to centre the map on it A contest between five paid firms isnot the way to get good creativework. Last stated 2 months ago 14 Aug 2026 SK Susan Kare — holds since 2026-08-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: A feeling of responsibility is probably the greatest inhibitor of creativity; great ideas came from people not paid to have them — tap to centre the map on it A feeling of responsibility isprobably the greatest inhibitor ofcreativity; great ideas came frompeople not paid to have them IA Isaac Asimov — holds since c. 1959 — tap for who they are Same subject: A free-wheeling, anarchic neural organization may be the secret of human creativity, at the price of susceptibility to mental illness — tap to centre the map on it A free-wheeling, anarchic neuralorganization may be the secret ofhuman creativity, at the price ofsusceptibility to mental illness Last stated 14 years ago 8 Jan 2013 DD Daniel Dennett — holds since 2013-01-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email isevidence of a bad vendor, not of alimit of AI. Last stated 10 months ago 1 Jan 2026 JL Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does notgive you a smarter model; theintelligence of the model is whatdecides how much of that window itcan actually attend to. Last stated 3 months ago 15 Jul 2026 DH Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it A body of publications is easy forAI models to consume via pretrainingcorpora but cumbersome for mosthumans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts,and paywalls. Last stated a month ago 17 Sept 2026 PC Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. — tap to centre the map on it "If you're not growing, you'redying" is truer of the person thanof the company. Last stated 9 months ago 25 Jan 2026 JC Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it A common-sense utopia is much closerto the present day than it is to thebest futures actually available tous. Last stated a year ago 3 Aug 2025 WM William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress — tap to centre the map on it A company can run at a fast pacesustainably without constantoverwork or undue stress Last stated 4 years ago 4 Nov 2022 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2022-11-04 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2013 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre Expecting technology to keep accelerating is a bias of our particular moment; for most of human history the tools did not change at all. Last stated 22 Dec 2024 · 2 years ago Holds Adam Frank Read this korrent →