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← Expecting technology to keep accelerating is a bias of our particular…
17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 8 Jan 2013 to 23 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under innovation
innovation
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ambition
Everything filed under creativity
creativity
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
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AI and jobs
Everything filed under robotics
robotics
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Read this korrent: Expecting technology to keep accelerating is a bias of our particular moment; for most of human history the tools did not change at all.
Expecting technology to keep accelerating is a bias of our particular moment; for most of human history the tools did not change at all.
Last stated 2 years ago
22 Dec 2024
AF
Adam Frank — holds since 2024-12-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An obvious technological shift can take so long to arrive that observers give up expecting it, only for it to happen right after they stop watching for it. — tap to centre the map on it
An obvious technological shift can take so long to arrive that observers give up expecting it, only for it to happen right after they stop watching for it.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
23 Sept 2026
HD
Horace Dediu — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The date that matters for robotics is not when the technology is finished but when the data flywheel starts turning. — tap to centre the map on it
The date that matters for robotics is not when the technology is finished but when the data flywheel starts turning.
Last stated a year ago
12 Sept 2025
SL
Sergey Levine — holds since 2025-09-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Another platform shift, not a break in history: the new technology will be built on for ten or fifteen years, then something else will replace it. — tap to centre the map on it
Another platform shift, not a break in history: the new technology will be built on for ten or fifteen years, then something else will replace it.
Last stated a year ago
2 Sept 2025
BE
Benedict Evans — holds since 2025-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The share of income spent on things only a human can do will stay negligible, because new things to buy keep being invented faster than we satiate on the old ones. — tap to centre the map on it
The share of income spent on things only a human can do will stay negligible, because new things to buy keep being invented faster than we satiate on the old ones.
Last stated 5 months ago
4 Jun 2026
PT
Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: What matters in judging technological progress is the trend over time, not the state at any single moment. — tap to centre the map on it
What matters in judging technological progress is the trend over time, not the state at any single moment.
Last stated 7 months ago
21 Mar 2026
TG
Tanner Greer — holds since 2026-03-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Technological progress did not slow down from 1970 to the present, compared with its pre-1970 speed — tap to centre the map on it
Technological progress did not slow down from 1970 to the present, compared with its pre-1970 speed
Last stated 7 years ago
19 Nov 2019
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2014-01-01 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Alexander — no longer holds since 2019-11-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Technological determinism is only believable low down the tech tree; higher up we already choose which paths not to take. — tap to centre the map on it
Technological determinism is only believable low down the tech tree; higher up we already choose which paths not to take.
Last stated 7 months ago
7 Apr 2026
MN
Michael Nielsen — holds since 2026-04-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: In a fast-changing industry, anyone genuinely keeping up will change their mind as the developments happen. — tap to centre the map on it
In a fast-changing industry, anyone genuinely keeping up will change their mind as the developments happen.
Last stated a month ago
7 Sept 2026
GO
Gergely Orosz — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A contest between five paid firms is not the way to get good creative work. — tap to centre the map on it
A contest between five paid firms is not the way to get good creative work.
Last stated 2 months ago
14 Aug 2026
SK
Susan Kare — holds since 2026-08-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A feeling of responsibility is probably the greatest inhibitor of creativity; great ideas came from people not paid to have them — tap to centre the map on it
A feeling of responsibility is probably the greatest inhibitor of creativity; great ideas came from people not paid to have them
IA
Isaac Asimov — holds since c. 1959 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A free-wheeling, anarchic neural organization may be the secret of human creativity, at the price of susceptibility to mental illness — tap to centre the map on it
A free-wheeling, anarchic neural organization may be the secret of human creativity, at the price of susceptibility to mental illness
Last stated 14 years ago
8 Jan 2013
DD
Daniel Dennett — holds since 2013-01-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Last stated 10 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JL
Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it
A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls.
Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
PC
Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. — tap to centre the map on it
"If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company.
Last stated 9 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it
A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us.
Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress — tap to centre the map on it
A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress
Last stated 4 years ago
4 Nov 2022
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2022-11-04 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2013 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are faded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind
At the centre
Expecting technology to keep accelerating is a bias of our particular moment; for most of human history the tools did not change at all.
Last stated 22 Dec 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Adam Frank
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
An obvious technological shift can take so long to arrive that observers give up expecting it, only for it to happen right after they stop watching for it.
Last stated 23 Sept 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Horace Dediu
Similar wording
The date that matters for robotics is not when the technology is finished but when the data flywheel starts turning.
Last stated 12 Sept 2025 · a year ago
Holds Sergey Levine
Similar wording
Another platform shift, not a break in history: the new technology will be built on for ten or fifteen years, then something else will replace it.
Last stated 2 Sept 2025 · a year ago
Holds Benedict Evans
Similar wording
The share of income spent on things only a human can do will stay negligible, because new things to buy keep being invented faster than we satiate on the old ones.
Last stated 4 Jun 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Phil Trammell
Similar wording
What matters in judging technological progress is the trend over time, not the state at any single moment.
Last stated 21 Mar 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds Tanner Greer
Similar wording
Technological progress did not slow down from 1970 to the present, compared with its pre-1970 speed
Last stated 19 Nov 2019 · 7 years ago
No longer holds Scott Alexander
Similar wording
Technological determinism is only believable low down the tech tree; higher up we already choose which paths not to take.
Last stated 7 Apr 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds Michael Nielsen
Similar wording
In a fast-changing industry, anyone genuinely keeping up will change their mind as the developments happen.
Last stated 7 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Gergely Orosz
Same subject: creativity
A contest between five paid firms is not the way to get good creative work.
Last stated 14 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Susan Kare
Same subject: creativity
A feeling of responsibility is probably the greatest inhibitor of creativity; great ideas came from people not paid to have them
Last stated c. 1959
Holds Isaac Asimov
Same subject: creativity
A free-wheeling, anarchic neural organization may be the secret of human creativity, at the price of susceptibility to mental illness
Last stated 8 Jan 2013 · 14 years ago
Holds Daniel Dennett
Same subject: LLMs
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Last stated 1 Jan 2026 · 10 months ago
Holds Jason Lemkin
Same subject: LLMs
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Last stated 15 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Dex Horthy
Same subject: LLMs
A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls.
Last stated 17 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Patrick Collison
Same subject: ambition
"If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company.
Last stated 25 Jan 2026 · 9 months ago
Holds Jason Cohen
Same subject: ambition
A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us.
Last stated 3 Aug 2025 · a year ago
Holds William MacAskill
Same subject: ambition
A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress
Last stated 4 Nov 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds David Heinemeier Hansson