The most surprising thing about the last three years is not the technology but how few people recognise we are near the end of the exponential.

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• The thing worth finding is the exponential with the steepest curve that will run the longest — decades ago that was Moore’s law, and today it is AI progress. AWAlexandr Wang29 Jul 2026similar wording
• It would be disappointing and surprising if the next five years of AI progress in mathematics produced no economically valuable improvements traceable to it. GSGrant Sanderson30 Jun 2026similar wording
• The case for a technological slowdown since about 1970 is not convincing. JCJason Crawford23 Jan 2021similar wording
• We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. AKAndrej Karpathy17 Oct 2025similar wording
• The big companies are already dead and simply do not know it yet; every innovation from here comes from the fringes. SYSteve Yegge11 Mar 2026similar wording

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