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← The attitude that most humans are basically trash will not last far beyond 2026

17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 17 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under innovation innovation Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under America America Everything filed under Anthropic Anthropic Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: The attitude that most humans are basically trash will not last far beyond 2026 The attitude that most humans arebasically trash will not last far beyond2026 Last stated 6 days ago 17 Oct 2026 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-10-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligenceis plausibly centuries or millenniaaway, and no trend supports ashorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff. — tap to centre the map on it AI's transformation of society willunfold gradually over decades, notin a single moment of takeoff. Last stated 3 months ago 15 Jul 2026 TF Tiago Forte — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Whatever the term, by 2030 AI progress will be so dramatic that the world will be dealing with its consequences, good and bad, in a big way. — tap to centre the map on it Whatever the term, by 2030 AIprogress will be so dramatic thatthe world will be dealing with itsconsequences, good and bad, in a bigway. Last stated a year ago 5 Jun 2025 SP Sundar Pichai — holds since 2025-06-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: Even after decades of AI-driven progress, most people's daily material lives will look largely unchanged. — tap to centre the map on it Even after decades of AI-drivenprogress, most people's dailymaterial lives will look largelyunchanged. Last stated a month ago 9 Sept 2026 NL Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-09-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI is most likelycenturies or millennia away, sothere is no reason to reorganiseone's work around its arrival. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Humanity is unlikely to change in any fundamental way any time soon. — tap to centre the map on it Humanity is unlikely to change inany fundamental way any time soon. Last stated 4 months ago 24 Jun 2026 JB Jamie Brandon — holds since 2026-06-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI capabilities will either remain below human or quickly become 100x cheaper than human. — tap to centre the map on it AI capabilities will either remainbelow human or quickly become 100xcheaper than human. Last stated 2 weeks ago 8 Oct 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-10-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: Many employees at major AI labs earnestly believe humans may go extinct by the end of the decade. — tap to centre the map on it Many employees at major AI labsearnestly believe humans may goextinct by the end of the decade. Last stated a month ago 11 Sept 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible. — tap to centre the map on it "Lots of anonymous people worked itout by trial and error" is never thereal story of an invention: oncloser investigation, identifiablepeople always turn out to beresponsible. Last stated 3 years ago 25 Oct 2023 AH Anton Howes — holds since 2023-10-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. — tap to centre the map on it A business can have market fit, realadvantages, and sustained effortbehind a hard product and still failif it doesn't give customers astrong enough reason to switch fromwhat they already use. Last stated 5 months ago 2 Jun 2026 JJ Justin Jackson — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves. — tap to centre the map on it A capability existing is not thesame as a capability being absorbed:how fast a technology changes theworld is not set by how fast thetechnology improves. Last stated 3 months ago 21 Jul 2026 RT Ruxandra Teslo — holds since 2026-07-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it A company that uses an algorithm tonudge customers into behavior thatisn't good for them is doingsomething bad. Last stated a year ago 7 Oct 2025 MM Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reportsunder one per cent risk should beread as several per cent, becausethe evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago 7 May 2024 BS Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces abehavior pulls it toward whateverimproves the loop's own score. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Aug 2026 HK Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email isevidence of a bad vendor, not of alimit of AI. Last stated 10 months ago 1 Jan 2026 JL Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does notgive you a smarter model; theintelligence of the model is whatdecides how much of that window itcan actually attend to. Last stated 3 months ago 15 Jul 2026 DH Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it A body of publications is easy forAI models to consume via pretrainingcorpora but cumbersome for mosthumans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts,and paywalls. Last stated a month ago 17 Sept 2026 PC Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2008 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre The attitude that most humans are basically trash will not last far beyond 2026 Last stated 17 Oct 2026 · 6 days ago Holds Noah Smith Read this korrent →