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← If a lab is off by a single year in its revenue forecast, no hedge on…

17 connected korrents · 14 moments on record from 20 Feb 2024 to 3 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under Anthropic Anthropic Everything filed under coding agents coding agents Everything filed under OpenAI OpenAI Everything filed under energy energy Everything filed under semiconductors semiconductors Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: If a lab is off by a single year in its revenue forecast, no hedge on Earth stops the compute it already bought from bankrupting it. If a lab is off by a single year in itsrevenue forecast, no hedge on Earth stopsthe compute it already bought frombankrupting it. Last stated 7 months ago 13 Feb 2026 DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Even a long-horizon deep tech company should chase revenue sooner than it thinks, so that it is valued on its roadmap rather than on its probability of dying. — tap to centre the map on it Even a long-horizon deep techcompany should chase revenue soonerthan it thinks, so that it is valuedon its roadmap rather than on itsprobability of dying. Last stated a month ago 7 Aug 2026 MH Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Nvidia's real miss was not seeing that a frontier lab could never be funded by venture capital, so its compute suppliers had to become its investors. — tap to centre the map on it Nvidia's real miss was not seeingthat a frontier lab could never befunded by venture capital, so itscompute suppliers had to become itsinvestors. Last stated 5 months ago 15 Apr 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-04-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Compute is not a market like phones, where demand is capped by how many buyers there are; intelligence is priced like energy, so the only real question is how much the world uses at a given price. — tap to centre the map on it Compute is not a market like phones,where demand is capped by how manybuyers there are; intelligence ispriced like energy, so the only realquestion is how much the world usesat a given price. Last stated 2 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company priced in the trillions is not thereby overpriced; the test is what revenues and margins that price actually requires. — tap to centre the map on it A company priced in the trillions isnot thereby overpriced; the test iswhat revenues and margins that priceactually requires. Last stated 9 months ago 3 Dec 2025 AD Aswath Damodaran — holds since 2025-12-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: Compute will be the currency of the future and the most precious commodity in the world, so we should be investing heavily to make far more of it. — tap to centre the map on it Compute will be the currency of thefuture and the most preciouscommodity in the world, so we shouldbe investing heavily to make farmore of it. Last stated 2 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: An AI-caused recession requires the owners of capital to hit a hard ceiling on spending and then refuse to invest the rest, which is a very improbable combination. — tap to centre the map on it An AI-caused recession requires theowners of capital to hit a hardceiling on spending and then refuseto invest the rest, which is a veryimprobable combination. Last stated 3 months ago 4 Jun 2026 AI Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: NVIDIA can be a three-trillion-dollar-revenue company in the near future, because nothing physical stands in the way. — tap to centre the map on it NVIDIA can be athree-trillion-dollar-revenuecompany in the near future, becausenothing physical stands in the way. Last stated 6 months ago 23 Mar 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: An investor who never borrows against their securities can afford to think, because no fall in price can force them to sell. — tap to centre the map on it An investor who never borrowsagainst their securities can affordto think, because no fall in pricecan force them to sell. Last stated 3 years ago 20 Feb 2024 BA Bill Ackman — holds since 2024-02-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark that ranks Claude Code last while it stays first in use is measuring the wrong thing, and has been for a year. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark that ranks Claude Codelast while it stays first in use ismeasuring the wrong thing, and hasbeen for a year. Last stated 4 days ago 3 Sept 2026 DR Dax Raad — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A language model asked to summarize its own system prompt risks that prompt's content biasing the summary it produces. — tap to centre the map on it A language model asked to summarizeits own system prompt risks thatprompt's content biasing the summaryit produces. Last stated 5 days ago 2 Sept 2026 SW Simon Willison — holds since 2026-09-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: A trust that owns the mission protects a company better than founder control does, which is why Anthropic needs no dual-class shares. — tap to centre the map on it A trust that owns the missionprotects a company better thanfounder control does, which is whyAnthropic needs no dual-classshares. Last stated 4 months ago 10 May 2026 ER Eric Ries — holds since 2026-05-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as anonprofit and bolt a for-profit armon later, whatever OpenAI's ownhistory suggests. Last stated 2 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A technique that lets an AI model's reasoning shift outside its visible Chain of Thought is dangerous, both because it works and because a leading lab is willing to deploy it. — tap to centre the map on it A technique that lets an AI model'sreasoning shift outside its visibleChain of Thought is dangerous, bothbecause it works and because aleading lab is willing to deploy it. Last stated 4 days ago 3 Sept 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing aplausible-sounding name is the samephenomenon as a large oneconfidently stating a false fact. Last stated 7 months ago 12 Feb 2026 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A coding agent does not learn from its mistakes the way a person does -- it repeats the same error indefinitely unless a human notices and writes it down. — tap to centre the map on it A coding agent does not learn fromits mistakes the way a person does-- it repeats the same errorindefinitely unless a human noticesand writes it down. Last stated 5 months ago 25 Mar 2026 MZ Mario Zechner — holds since 2026-03-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A coding-agent company should not train its own model: it has to stay neutral ground for models to compete on. — tap to centre the map on it A coding-agent company should nottrain its own model: it has to stayneutral ground for models to competeon. Last stated 4 days ago 3 Sept 2026 DR Dax Raad — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A machine can complete the task and completely miss the job -- coding makes this easy to see precisely because its tasks are so legible and verifiable. — tap to centre the map on it A machine can complete the task andcompletely miss the job -- codingmakes this easy to see preciselybecause its tasks are so legible andverifiable. Last stated 3 weeks ago 14 Aug 2026 SP Sunil Pai — holds since 2026-08-14 — tap for who they are
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At the centre If a lab is off by a single year in its revenue forecast, no hedge on Earth stops the compute it already bought from bankrupting it. Last stated 13 Feb 2026 · 7 months ago Holds Dario Amodei Read this korrent →