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← Human civilization is on a trajectory that will lead to the death of…
17 connected korrents · 20 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 25 Sept 2026.
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Anthropic Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Human civilization is on a trajectory that will lead to the death of 40-70% of the population starting around mid-century. Human civilization is on a trajectory that will lead to the death of 40-70% of the population starting around mid-century. Last stated 2 weeks ago
22 Sept 2026
JS
John Scalzi — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: China's ageing population will not do serious damage to its economy until the second half of this century. — tap to centre the map on it China's ageing population will not do serious damage to its economy until the second half of this century. Last stated 2 years ago
20 Jun 2024
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2024-06-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The late 20th and early 21st centuries may be reinterpreted as a period of capital accumulation that enabled future technological advancement. — tap to centre the map on it The late 20th and early 21st centuries may be reinterpreted as a period of capital accumulation that enabled future technological advancement. Last stated a week ago
25 Sept 2026
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-09-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Even after decades of AI-driven progress, most people's daily material lives will look largely unchanged. — tap to centre the map on it Even after decades of AI-driven progress, most people's daily material lives will look largely unchanged. Last stated 3 weeks ago
9 Sept 2026
NL
Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-09-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff. — tap to centre the map on it AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff. Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
TF
Tiago Forte — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The real danger in AI-driven growth is geographic: 50% growth in and around Silicon Valley and business as usual everywhere else. — tap to centre the map on it The real danger in AI-driven growth is geographic: 50% growth in and around Silicon Valley and business as usual everywhere else. Last stated 8 months ago
13 Feb 2026
DA
Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Many employees at major AI labs earnestly believe humans may go extinct by the end of the decade. — tap to centre the map on it Many employees at major AI labs earnestly believe humans may go extinct by the end of the decade. Last stated 3 weeks ago
11 Sept 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. — tap to centre the map on it We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. Last stated 12 months ago
17 Oct 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A mass death does not by itself produce a boom afterwards: expecting a pandemic to renew an economy on its own misreads what followed the Black Death. — tap to centre the map on it A mass death does not by itself produce a boom afterwards: expecting a pandemic to renew an economy on its own misreads what followed the Black Death. Last stated 6 years ago
4 Jun 2020
AP
Ada Palmer — holds since 2020-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. — tap to centre the map on it A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. Last stated a month ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children. — tap to centre the map on it A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children. Last stated a month ago
24 Aug 2026
RB
Ryan Burge — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A romantic, low-yield farming system would need far more land and would produce more hunger, not less. — tap to centre the map on it A romantic, low-yield farming system would need far more land and would produce more hunger, not less. Last stated 3 years ago
28 May 2023
GM
George Monbiot — holds since 2023-05-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Beef and lamb are the most land-hungry and climate-damaging farm products there are. — tap to centre the map on it Beef and lamb are the most land-hungry and climate-damaging farm products there are. Last stated a year ago
12 May 2025
GM
George Monbiot — holds since 2025-05-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Believing that higher yields do not spare land would push investment away from the thing that actually protects wild habitat. — tap to centre the map on it Believing that higher yields do not spare land would push investment away from the thing that actually protects wild habitat. Last stated 3 years ago
13 Mar 2024
LB
Linus Blomqvist — holds since 2024-03-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Governments should pay a lot for children and let the people who respond reveal which cultural compromises are acceptable, rather than deciding in advance which value to give up. — tap to centre the map on it Governments should pay a lot for children and let the people who respond reveal which cultural compromises are acceptable, rather than deciding in advance which value to give up. Last stated 3 years ago
3 Oct 2023
RH
Robin Hanson — holds since 2023-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Improving entertainment technology raises the bar parenthood has to clear, because people have children when it looks more fun than the alternatives. — tap to centre the map on it Improving entertainment technology raises the bar parenthood has to clear, because people have children when it looks more fun than the alternatives. Last stated a year ago
1 Jul 2025
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average, and have more of them. — tap to centre the map on it Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average, and have more of them. Last stated 2 years ago
13 Jan 2025
KD
Kent C. Dodds — holds since 2024-12-29 — tap for who they are
KD
Kent C. Dodds — holds since 2025-01-13 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Human civilization is on a trajectory that will lead to the death of 40-70% of the population starting around mid-century.
Holds Read this korrent →
Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate.
No longer holds
China's ageing population will not do serious damage to its economy until the second half of this century.
Holds
The late 20th and early 21st centuries may be reinterpreted as a period of capital accumulation that enabled future technological advancement.
Holds
Even after decades of AI-driven progress, most people's daily material lives will look largely unchanged.
Holds
AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff.
Holds
The real danger in AI-driven growth is geographic: 50% growth in and around Silicon Valley and business as usual everywhere else.
Holds
Many employees at major AI labs earnestly believe humans may go extinct by the end of the decade.
Holds
We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it.
Holds
A mass death does not by itself produce a boom afterwards: expecting a pandemic to renew an economy on its own misreads what followed the Black Death.
Holds
A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change.
Holds
A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children.
Holds
A romantic, low-yield farming system would need far more land and would produce more hunger, not less.
Holds
Beef and lamb are the most land-hungry and climate-damaging farm products there are.
Holds
Believing that higher yields do not spare land would push investment away from the thing that actually protects wild habitat.
Holds
Governments should pay a lot for children and let the people who respond reveal which cultural compromises are acceptable, rather than deciding in advance which value to give up.
Holds
Improving entertainment technology raises the bar parenthood has to clear, because people have children when it looks more fun than the alternatives.
Holds
Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average, and have more of them.
Holds