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Robin Hanson

@robin-hanson · 3 positions · 0 changes of mind

Associate professor of economics at George Mason University, originator of decision markets and futarchy, and author of the blog Overcoming Bias.

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  1. You can be contrarian and usually right by finding and resolving conflicts between the consensus results of different fields

    If you learn key consensus results from many different fields, you will often find that they are in conflict, in ways one or both fields are unaware.

    How To Be A Usually-Right Contrarianovercomingbias.com

  2. 3 months earlier
  3. Decision markets are the idea of mine with the biggest expected impact, though not the deepest

    It’s not my deepest, grandest, beautiful, or hardest won insight, just the one with the biggest expected impact.

    My Best Idea: Decision Marketsovercomingbias.com

  4. The world is shaped by how consistently incompetent governance is, and competent governance would remake it

    As an econ professor who specialized in governance, I can assure you that the world is greatly structured by the fact that we typically have pretty incompetent governance.

    My Best Idea: Decision Marketsovercomingbias.com