Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.
← A mass death does not by itself produce a boom afterwards: expecting a…
17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 13 Dec 1968 to 15 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under demographics
demographics
Everything filed under inflation
inflation
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
Everything filed under politics
politics
Everything filed under AI and jobs
AI and jobs
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: A mass death does not by itself produce a boom afterwards: expecting a pandemic to renew an economy on its own misreads what followed the Black Death. A mass death does not by itself produce a boom afterwards: expecting a pandemic to renew an economy on its own misreads what followed the Black Death. Last stated 6 years ago
4 Jun 2020
AP
Ada Palmer — holds since 2020-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is a significant risk that successive inflation shocks will become entrenched in expectations, necessitating a recession to reduce inflation. — tap to centre the map on it There is a significant risk that successive inflation shocks will become entrenched in expectations, necessitating a recession to reduce inflation. Last stated a week ago
15 Oct 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-10-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People systematically overestimate how much any single economic shock affects the macroeconomy. — tap to centre the map on it People systematically overestimate how much any single economic shock affects the macroeconomy. Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
SS
Scott Sumner — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: History does not repeat itself, but patterns of human behaviour do, and what always follows an economic crisis is political upheaval. — tap to centre the map on it History does not repeat itself, but patterns of human behaviour do, and what always follows an economic crisis is political upheaval. Last stated a year ago
24 May 2025
JH
James Holland — holds since 2025-05-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The current tech layoffs are pandemic over-hiring correcting itself, with AI as the convenient excuse. — tap to centre the map on it The current tech layoffs are pandemic over-hiring correcting itself, with AI as the convenient excuse. Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI risk is probably a totally manageable problem that will be brutally mismanaged, the way pandemic response was. — tap to centre the map on it AI risk is probably a totally manageable problem that will be brutally mismanaged, the way pandemic response was. Last stated 2 months ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The software job losses of the past few years were caused more by the end of zero-interest-rate money and the post-COVID crash than by AI. — tap to centre the map on it The software job losses of the past few years were caused more by the end of zero-interest-rate money and the post-COVID crash than by AI. Last stated 3 months ago
29 Jul 2026
HW
Hillel Wayne — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The post-pandemic disinflation was likely driven by Fed commitment and forward-looking expectations. — tap to centre the map on it The post-pandemic disinflation was likely driven by Fed commitment and forward-looking expectations. Last stated a week ago
13 Oct 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-10-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People are not separate individuals protected by money and geography, but deeply interconnected. — tap to centre the map on it People are not separate individuals protected by money and geography, but deeply interconnected. Last stated 6 years ago
5 Feb 2021
MP
Michael Pollan — holds since 2021-02-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A finite world can support only a finite population, so population growth must eventually reach zero — tap to centre the map on it A finite world can support only a finite population, so population growth must eventually reach zero Last stated 58 years ago
13 Dec 1968
GH
Garrett Hardin — holds since 1968-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. — tap to centre the map on it A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. Last stated 2 months ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children. — tap to centre the map on it A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children. Last stated 2 months ago
24 Aug 2026
RB
Ryan Burge — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Governments should pay a lot for children and let the people who respond reveal which cultural compromises are acceptable, rather than deciding in advance which value to give up. — tap to centre the map on it Governments should pay a lot for children and let the people who respond reveal which cultural compromises are acceptable, rather than deciding in advance which value to give up. Last stated 3 years ago
3 Oct 2023
RH
Robin Hanson — holds since 2023-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Improving entertainment technology raises the bar parenthood has to clear, because people have children when it looks more fun than the alternatives. — tap to centre the map on it Improving entertainment technology raises the bar parenthood has to clear, because people have children when it looks more fun than the alternatives. Last stated a year ago
1 Jul 2025
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average, and have more of them. — tap to centre the map on it Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average, and have more of them. Last stated 2 years ago
13 Jan 2025
KD
Kent C. Dodds — holds since 2024-12-29 — tap for who they are
KD
Kent C. Dodds — holds since 2025-01-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Immigration cannot hold a rich country's working-age population steady, because doing so would require it to become 40 to 50 per cent foreign-born. — tap to centre the map on it Immigration cannot hold a rich country's working-age population steady, because doing so would require it to become 40 to 50 per cent foreign-born. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Nov 2024
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2024-11-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Immigration is irrelevant to the real problem low fertility creates, because that problem is people having fewer children than they wanted. — tap to centre the map on it Immigration is irrelevant to the real problem low fertility creates, because that problem is people having fewer children than they wanted. Last stated a year ago
14 Oct 2025
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2025-10-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Without immigrants Spain’s labour force falls from 22.6 to 15.7 million by 2050, far too few to run its economy. — tap to centre the map on it Without immigrants Spain’s labour force falls from 22.6 to 15.7 million by 2050, far too few to run its economy. Last stated 3 years ago
29 Nov 2023
LP
Lant Pritchett — holds since 2023-11-29 — tap for who they are
At the centre
A mass death does not by itself produce a boom afterwards: expecting a pandemic to renew an economy on its own misreads what followed the Black Death.
Holds Read this korrent →
There is a significant risk that successive inflation shocks will become entrenched in expectations, necessitating a recession to reduce inflation.
Holds
People systematically overestimate how much any single economic shock affects the macroeconomy.
Holds
History does not repeat itself, but patterns of human behaviour do, and what always follows an economic crisis is political upheaval.
Holds
The current tech layoffs are pandemic over-hiring correcting itself, with AI as the convenient excuse.
Holds
AI risk is probably a totally manageable problem that will be brutally mismanaged, the way pandemic response was.
Holds
The software job losses of the past few years were caused more by the end of zero-interest-rate money and the post-COVID crash than by AI.
Holds
The post-pandemic disinflation was likely driven by Fed commitment and forward-looking expectations.
Holds
People are not separate individuals protected by money and geography, but deeply interconnected.
Holds
A finite world can support only a finite population, so population growth must eventually reach zero
Holds
A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change.
Holds
A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children.
Holds
Governments should pay a lot for children and let the people who respond reveal which cultural compromises are acceptable, rather than deciding in advance which value to give up.
Holds
Improving entertainment technology raises the bar parenthood has to clear, because people have children when it looks more fun than the alternatives.
Holds
Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average, and have more of them.
Holds
Immigration cannot hold a rich country's working-age population steady, because doing so would require it to become 40 to 50 per cent foreign-born.
Holds
Immigration is irrelevant to the real problem low fertility creates, because that problem is people having fewer children than they wanted.
Holds
Without immigrants Spain’s labour force falls from 22.6 to 15.7 million by 2050, far too few to run its economy.
Holds