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← 'Everyone gets it wrong sometimes' is a bad argument when assessing track records.
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 28 Oct 2011 to 29 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under management
management
Everything filed under hiring
hiring
Everything filed under team size
team size
Everything filed under humility
humility
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under Trauma
Trauma Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: 'Everyone gets it wrong sometimes' is a bad argument when assessing track records. 'Everyone gets it wrong sometimes' is a bad argument when assessing track records. Last stated 3 months ago
2 Aug 2026
AK
Adam Kucharski — holds since 2026-08-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When the data and the anecdotes disagree, the anecdotes are usually right and the metric is usually measuring the wrong thing. — tap to centre the map on it When the data and the anecdotes disagree, the anecdotes are usually right and the metric is usually measuring the wrong thing. Last stated 3 years ago
14 Dec 2023
JB
Jeff Bezos — holds since 2023-12-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A priori arguments on empirical matters, such as that AI will certainly kill everyone, are usually wrong however convincing they seem. — tap to centre the map on it A priori arguments on empirical matters, such as that AI will certainly kill everyone, are usually wrong however convincing they seem. Last stated 3 years ago
by 27 Dec 2023
NQ
Nabeel S. Qureshi — holds since 2023-12-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People often dismiss a new idea on one good argument against it, without ever formulating the arguments against the status quo. — tap to centre the map on it People often dismiss a new idea on one good argument against it, without ever formulating the arguments against the status quo. Last stated 9 months ago
18 Jan 2026
TL
Tobias Lütke — holds since 2026-01-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Trying to prove how right one is leads to ignoring the evidence to the contrary. — tap to centre the map on it Trying to prove how right one is leads to ignoring the evidence to the contrary. Last stated 3 years ago
3 Oct 2023
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2023-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Saying nothing can be even more damaging than saying the wrong thing. — tap to centre the map on it Saying nothing can be even more damaging than saying the wrong thing. Last stated 10 years ago
29 Dec 2016
AB
Andrew Bosworth — holds since 2016-12-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When somebody accuses you of being arrogant about an idea, almost all they ever mean is that they disagree with you. — tap to centre the map on it When somebody accuses you of being arrogant about an idea, almost all they ever mean is that they disagree with you. Last stated 3 years ago
22 Apr 2024
SC
Sean Carroll — holds since 2024-04-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Coming into a project with a guess about what the data will show has, again and again, turned out to be wrong. — tap to centre the map on it Coming into a project with a guess about what the data will show has, again and again, turned out to be wrong. Last stated 6 months ago
8 May 2026
DR
David Reich — holds since 2026-05-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A retraction can itself be wrong, and be worth retracting. — tap to centre the map on it A retraction can itself be wrong, and be worth retracting. Last stated 3 years ago
22 Jun 2023
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2023-06-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role. — tap to centre the map on it "Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role. Last stated 2 years ago
17 Dec 2024
CM
Charity Majors — holds since 2024-12-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A career goes better attached to the part of a business that brings the money in than to a cost centre, whatever the work itself is. — tap to centre the map on it A career goes better attached to the part of a business that brings the money in than to a cost centre, whatever the work itself is. Last stated 15 years ago
28 Oct 2011
PM
Patrick McKenzie — holds since 2011-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A career ladder must not be a checklist that guarantees promotion, because a promotion depends on the organisation’s needs as much as on the employee’s skills. — tap to centre the map on it A career ladder must not be a checklist that guarantees promotion, because a promotion depends on the organisation’s needs as much as on the employee’s skills. Last stated a year ago
28 May 2025
CF
Camille Fournier — holds since 2025-05-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A few senior individual contributors can be paid VP money and still cost less than the layered product org they replace. — tap to centre the map on it A few senior individual contributors can be paid VP money and still cost less than the layered product org they replace. Last stated 3 months ago
2 Aug 2026
TV
Tom Verrilli — holds since 2026-08-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A functionally organised engineering team seizes up at around a hundred people, because every feature then has to be negotiated against every other team's bandwidth. — tap to centre the map on it A functionally organised engineering team seizes up at around a hundred people, because every feature then has to be negotiated against every other team's bandwidth. Last stated 7 months ago
1 Apr 2026
TP
Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A group of fewer than four people is not a team: it behaves like a set of individuals, and a single departure knocks it back into maintenance. — tap to centre the map on it A group of fewer than four people is not a team: it behaves like a set of individuals, and a single departure knocks it back into maintenance. Last stated 8 years ago
14 Jul 2018
WL
Will Larson — holds since 2018-07-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A CEO cannot be a calibrated interviewer for every role, so insisting on interviewing every candidate makes hiring worse rather than better. — tap to centre the map on it A CEO cannot be a calibrated interviewer for every role, so insisting on interviewing every candidate makes hiring worse rather than better. Last stated 2 years ago
17 Dec 2024
CM
Charity Majors — holds since 2024-12-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company hiring a designer is not hiring a politician or spokesperson, so it should just get into the design work. — tap to centre the map on it A company hiring a designer is not hiring a politician or spokesperson, so it should just get into the design work. Last stated a month ago
29 Sept 2026
DM
Danny Martinez — holds since 2026-09-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company is not sensitive to the few thousand dollars a candidate is afraid to ask for, because the fully-loaded cost of employing them dwarfs it. — tap to centre the map on it A company is not sensitive to the few thousand dollars a candidate is afraid to ask for, because the fully-loaded cost of employing them dwarfs it. Last stated 15 years ago
23 Jan 2012
PM
Patrick McKenzie — holds since 2012-01-23 — tap for who they are
At the centre
'Everyone gets it wrong sometimes' is a bad argument when assessing track records.
Holds Read this korrent →
When the data and the anecdotes disagree, the anecdotes are usually right and the metric is usually measuring the wrong thing.
Holds
A priori arguments on empirical matters, such as that AI will certainly kill everyone, are usually wrong however convincing they seem.
Holds
People often dismiss a new idea on one good argument against it, without ever formulating the arguments against the status quo.
Holds
Trying to prove how right one is leads to ignoring the evidence to the contrary.
Holds
Saying nothing can be even more damaging than saying the wrong thing.
Holds
When somebody accuses you of being arrogant about an idea, almost all they ever mean is that they disagree with you.
Holds
Coming into a project with a guess about what the data will show has, again and again, turned out to be wrong.
Holds
A retraction can itself be wrong, and be worth retracting.
Holds
"Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role.
Holds
A career goes better attached to the part of a business that brings the money in than to a cost centre, whatever the work itself is.
Holds
A career ladder must not be a checklist that guarantees promotion, because a promotion depends on the organisation’s needs as much as on the employee’s skills.
Holds
A few senior individual contributors can be paid VP money and still cost less than the layered product org they replace.
Holds
A functionally organised engineering team seizes up at around a hundred people, because every feature then has to be negotiated against every other team's bandwidth.
Holds
A group of fewer than four people is not a team: it behaves like a set of individuals, and a single departure knocks it back into maintenance.
Holds
A CEO cannot be a calibrated interviewer for every role, so insisting on interviewing every candidate makes hiring worse rather than better.
Holds
A company hiring a designer is not hiring a politician or spokesperson, so it should just get into the design work.
Holds
A company is not sensitive to the few thousand dollars a candidate is afraid to ask for, because the fully-loaded cost of employing them dwarfs it.
Holds