korrents

On the map

Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.

← During the next century people will discover how to modify human intelligence and instincts like aggression.

17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 23 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under AI and human skill AI and human skill Everything filed under measuring intelligence measuring intelligence Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under innovation innovation Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: During the next century people will discover how to modify human intelligence and instincts like aggression. During the next century people willdiscover how to modify human intelligenceand instincts like aggression. SH Stephen Hawking — holds since c. 1996 — tap for who they are Same subject: Humanity will change more in the next decade than it has in the past hundred years. — tap to centre the map on it Humanity will change more in thenext decade than it has in the pasthundred years. Last stated 2 months ago 29 Jul 2026 AW Alexandr Wang — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: Intelligence is becoming a choice rather than a byproduct of daily work: there will still be smart people, but only those who choose to be. — tap to centre the map on it Intelligence is becoming a choicerather than a byproduct of dailywork: there will still be smartpeople, but only those who choose tobe. Last stated 10 months ago 18 Nov 2025 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2024-10-01 — tap for who they are SY Scott H. Young — holds since 2025-11-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: As AI advances, thinking philosophically about its implications will become a common job and pastime for large numbers of people. — tap to centre the map on it As AI advances, thinkingphilosophically about itsimplications will become a commonjob and pastime for large numbers ofpeople. Last stated a month ago 24 Aug 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligenceis plausibly centuries or millenniaaway, and no trend supports ashorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff. — tap to centre the map on it AI's transformation of society willunfold gradually over decades, notin a single moment of takeoff. Last stated 3 months ago 15 Jul 2026 TF Tiago Forte — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Every generation's test for machine intelligence is whatever machines cannot do yet, so in twenty years the question will be whether it can reproduce. — tap to centre the map on it Every generation's test for machineintelligence is whatever machinescannot do yet, so in twenty yearsthe question will be whether it canreproduce. Last stated 3 years ago 29 Jun 2023 GH George Hotz — holds since 2023-06-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming. — tap to centre the map on it No one fully understands theconsequences of how capable AI isbecoming. Last stated a month ago 1 Sept 2026 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI is most likelycenturies or millennia away, sothere is no reason to reorganiseone's work around its arrival. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: A machine doing your work better than you is no reason to stop doing it, because the point of the work was never that only you could do it. — tap to centre the map on it A machine doing your work betterthan you is no reason to stop doingit, because the point of the workwas never that only you could do it. Last stated 4 months ago 2 Jun 2026 LS L. M. Sacasas — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: A skill being automated is not a reason to stop learning it: practising what machines already do is often the stepping stone to what only people can do. — tap to centre the map on it A skill being automated is not areason to stop learning it:practising what machines already dois often the stepping stone to whatonly people can do. Last stated 10 months ago 18 Nov 2025 SY Scott H. Young — holds since 2025-11-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A well-written email does not need an AI summary, and an executive who delegates his reading to one has stopped doing the job. — tap to centre the map on it A well-written email does not needan AI summary, and an executive whodelegates his reading to one hasstopped doing the job. Last stated a year ago 21 May 2025 EZ Ed Zitron — holds since 2025-05-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reportsunder one per cent risk should beread as several per cent, becausethe evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago 7 May 2024 BS Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A deep theoretical understanding to predict AI behavior is unattainable. — tap to centre the map on it A deep theoretical understanding topredict AI behavior is unattainable. Last stated a week ago 23 Sept 2026 TC Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces abehavior pulls it toward whateverimproves the loop's own score. Last stated a month ago 26 Aug 2026 HK Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A unit of AI inference needs to be defined, for example via a chain of increasingly hard problems where each consecutive pair is solvable by one model. — tap to centre the map on it A unit of AI inference needs to bedefined, for example via a chain ofincreasingly hard problems whereeach consecutive pair is solvable byone model. Last stated 3 weeks ago 15 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. — tap to centre the map on it Both the special-purpose-programsview and the blank-slate view ofhuman intelligence are likelyincorrect. Last stated 7 years ago 5 Nov 2019 FC François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: General intelligence (g) reflects an overall pool of neural resources rooted in whole-body developmental integrity, making it a large mutational target rather than a distinct cognitive module. — tap to centre the map on it General intelligence (g) reflects anoverall pool of neural resourcesrooted in whole-body developmentalintegrity, making it a largemutational target rather than adistinct cognitive module. Last stated 5 years ago 11 Jun 2021 GW Gwern — holds since 2021-06-11 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2008 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre During the next century people will discover how to modify human intelligence and instincts like aggression. Last stated c. 1996 Holds Stephen Hawking Read this korrent →