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← Humanity will change more in the next decade than it has in the past hundred years.
17 connected korrents · 16 moments on record from 7 Sept 2008 to 7 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under education
education
Everything filed under OpenAI
OpenAI
Everything filed under AI and jobs
AI and jobs Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Humanity will change more in the next decade than it has in the past hundred years. Humanity will change more in the next decade than it has in the past hundred years. Last stated a month ago
29 Jul 2026
AW
Alexandr Wang — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: How children are educated will change more in the next five to ten years than it has in the last hundred. — tap to centre the map on it How children are educated will change more in the next five to ten years than it has in the last hundred. Last stated a week ago
31 Aug 2026
JL
Joe Liemandt — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Whatever the term, by 2030 AI progress will be so dramatic that the world will be dealing with its consequences, good and bad, in a big way. — tap to centre the map on it Whatever the term, by 2030 AI progress will be so dramatic that the world will be dealing with its consequences, good and bad, in a big way. Last stated a year ago
5 Jun 2025
SP
Sundar Pichai — holds since 2025-06-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb. — tap to centre the map on it AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb. Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: This is the golden age of humanity and the end of its beginning; in a thousand years these decades will be studied the way we study the end of the Roman Republic. — tap to centre the map on it This is the golden age of humanity and the end of its beginning; in a thousand years these decades will be studied the way we study the end of the Roman Republic. Last stated 12 months ago
18 Sept 2025
TL
Tobias Lütke — holds since 2025-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Many occupations will eventually be mostly replaced by AI, but humans will still have plenty to do. — tap to centre the map on it Many occupations will eventually be mostly replaced by AI, but humans will still have plenty to do. Last stated today
7 Sept 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Whether India gets rich will decide much of the course of human flourishing this century. — tap to centre the map on it Whether India gets rich will decide much of the course of human flourishing this century. Last stated a year ago
14 Jul 2025
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2025-07-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. Last stated 3 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. — tap to centre the map on it A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. Last stated 9 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. Last stated a year ago
7 Jun 2025
GM
Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A puzzle whose categories can only be seen by the broadly educated is elitist by construction. — tap to centre the map on it A puzzle whose categories can only be seen by the broadly educated is elitist by construction. Last stated 3 years ago
2 Sept 2023
RK
Raph Koster — holds since 2023-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A school should be judged on how fast its students are learning, not on how much they already know when measured. — tap to centre the map on it A school should be judged on how fast its students are learning, not on how much they already know when measured. Last stated a week ago
31 Aug 2026
JL
Joe Liemandt — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A worked example whose scaffolding is progressively removed teaches faster than making a child figure the problem out unaided. — tap to centre the map on it A worked example whose scaffolding is progressively removed teaches faster than making a child figure the problem out unaided. Last stated a week ago
31 Aug 2026
JL
Joe Liemandt — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. Last stated 2 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A technique that lets an AI model's reasoning shift outside its visible Chain of Thought is dangerous, both because it works and because a leading lab is willing to deploy it. — tap to centre the map on it A technique that lets an AI model's reasoning shift outside its visible Chain of Thought is dangerous, both because it works and because a leading lab is willing to deploy it. Last stated 4 days ago
3 Sept 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. Last stated 7 months ago
12 Feb 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Humanity will change more in the next decade than it has in the past hundred years.
Holds AW Alexandr WangRead this korrent →
Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate.
No longer holds SA Scott Aaronson
How children are educated will change more in the next five to ten years than it has in the last hundred.
Holds JL Joe Liemandt
Whatever the term, by 2030 AI progress will be so dramatic that the world will be dealing with its consequences, good and bad, in a big way.
Holds
AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb.
Holds DH Demis Hassabis
Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival.
No longer holds SA Scott Aaronson
This is the golden age of humanity and the end of its beginning; in a thousand years these decades will be studied the way we study the end of the Roman Republic.
Holds
Many occupations will eventually be mostly replaced by AI, but humans will still have plenty to do.
Holds
Whether India gets rich will decide much of the course of human flourishing this century.
Holds
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Holds AI Alex Imas
A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean.
Holds IS Ilya Sutskever
A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted.
Holds GM Gary Marcus
A puzzle whose categories can only be seen by the broadly educated is elitist by construction.
Holds RK Raph Koster
A school should be judged on how fast its students are learning, not on how much they already know when measured.
Holds JL Joe Liemandt
A worked example whose scaffolding is progressively removed teaches faster than making a child figure the problem out unaided.
Holds JL Joe Liemandt
A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests.
Holds
A technique that lets an AI model's reasoning shift outside its visible Chain of Thought is dangerous, both because it works and because a leading lab is willing to deploy it.
Holds ZM Zvi Mowshowitz
A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact.
Holds